Will the Zebre maintain their Champions League spot?

First, Juventus Turin slipped up in Parma (0-1), allowing Bologna to take fourth place with a 1-0 win over Inter Milan. But then the Veltri could not get past a 0-0 draw at Udinese Calcio, while the Zebre beat bottom-placed Monza (2-0). With three matchdays remaining in the season, the Vecchia Signora currently holds the fourth Champions League spot. However, if Bologna beat Juventus at home, both teams would swap places again for the third week in a row.

However, the statistics do not favor a home win for the Emiliani. The Rossoblù have not beaten the record champions in 27 consecutive competitive games (eight draws, 19 defeats). Nevertheless, Bologna’s current form must also be taken into account in the prediction for the match against Juventus. The Veltri have lost only one of their last nine Serie A games (six wins, two draws), while Juve have recorded three defeats in their last seven league games (three wins, one draw).

It is also striking that both teams have a very defensive approach. This is also reflected in the results in direct comparison. Five of the last six meetings between Bologna and Juventus Turin ended in a draw. It would therefore be an option to consider the mostly risky tip X. In any case, a draw cannot be ruled out.

Bologna – Statistics & current form

After their surprise qualification for the Champions League, Bologna FC not only had to let coach Thiago Motta go, who was recently sacked by today’s visitors from Piedmont, but also several regular players. It is therefore all the more surprising that the Rossoblù, after a cautious start to the season, have now dug their heels in and have been in and out of a Champions League spot recently.

They still have a chance of qualifying for the Champions League on their own. If Bologna beat Juventus at home, Vincenzo Italiano’s side would overtake the Vecchia Signora in the table and knock them out of fourth place.

Bologna is extremely solid defensively, but sometimes too tame offensively

Bologna FC has lost only one of its last nine Serie A games (six wins, two draws) and has also eliminated Juventus conqueror Empoli from the Coppa Italia semifinals. The Veltri will face AC Milan there in a week and a half and could win their first cup title in 51 years, when they defeated Palermo on penalties at the Stadio Olimpico in 1974.

The Rossoblù’s biggest asset is undoubtedly their defensive stability, which means the Italian side rarely lose games. At their home stadium, Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, they suffered only one defeat in 17 Serie A home games in 2024/25 (ten wins, six draws) – the best record in the league. Moreover, only leaders Napoli (eleven) and Torino FC (13) have conceded fewer goals in 17 home games. However, time and again, their compactness has come at the expense of their attacking prowess. Just last weekend, they dropped two important points in a 0-0 draw at Udinese Calcio. This means that Bologna have scored only one goal in their last three games.

Juventus – Statistics & current form

At the end of a generally disappointing season, with an embarrassing exit from the Champions League against Eindhoven and an even more embarrassing exit from the Coppa Italia against relegation-threatened Empoli FC, Juventus Turin’s only goal now is to somehow finish fourth and qualify for the Champions League again. In order not to jeopardize this absolute minimum goal, the club’s management parted ways with Thiago Motta in mid-March after two consecutive defeats with a goal difference of 0-7.

Now Igor Tudor has been tasked with steering the sinking ship to safety. Ten points out of a possible 15 give the 47-year-old Croatian a good start, despite an unexpected 0-1 defeat at Parma Calcio in their most recent away game. At least all three home games under Tudor have been won, with a total score of 5-1. Away from home, however, Juventus have now gone three Serie A games without a win (one draw, two defeats).

Juventus are hoping Kolo Muani will break the deadlock

Against this backdrop, the odds are stacked against Bologna against Juventus. At Bet365, where new customers can also receive up to €100 in betting credits with the Bet365 bonus, odds of 3.25 are available for an away win for the Bianconeri, which takes into account the fact that the Piedmontese have often struggled to score goals in 2024/25, especially against defensively very stable teams.

Ultimately, the Vecchia Signora is currently very similar to Bologna: there is not too much going on at the back, while the team’s attacking play is mostly sluggish. However, Kolo Muani’s goal in the recent 2-0 win over AC Monza is a ray of hope. The Frenchman, who joined the club in the winter break, scored five goals in his first three appearances for Juve before failing to find the net in eight consecutive games. If he has broken his duck, he could well become the difference maker in Emilia-Romagna.

Bologna – Juventus FC Head-to-head record / H2H record

Head to head: 29 – 68 – 94

A total of 191 matches have been played between the two teams, with Juventus Turin leading the head-to-head record by a clear margin with 94 wins. The Zebre are currently unbeaten in 27 matches against Bologna FC (19 wins, seven draws), although they have rarely managed to take all three points recently. Five of the last six encounters between the two teams have ended in a draw, including the last four in a row.

Bologna – Juventus Tip

It should be noted that a draw is a reasonable prediction for Bologna against Juventus, although it is also true that a point would allow AS Roma or Lazio to turn the current two-horse race for a Champions League spot into a three- or four-way battle. The winner of this match, on the other hand, would take or defend fourth place on its own. Thus, neither the Emiliani nor the Zebre are likely to want to settle for a draw, even though the defensive qualities on both sides are very high.

Given the starting position and in light of two teams whose core competence lies not in scoring goals but in preventing their opponents from scoring, there is much to suggest that this top-of-the-table clash in Emilia-Romagna will not be a high-scoring affair. We therefore recommend betting on a maximum of two goals being scored in this match.