How many high-quality scoring chances will the Rossoblu create?
In mid-May, the Rossoblu made history. Vincenzo Italiano’s team earned the Coppa Italia trophy with a 1-0 victory over AC Milan in the final. It was also the home team’s first major cup win after a 51-year drought. In our Bologna vs. Parma tip, the defending champions begin their next campaign.
While the hosts have yet to get their boots dirty in the Coppa Italia until the round of 16, the challengers have already come through two complicated rounds. However, Carlos Cuesta and his team see themselves as underdogs in the Bologna vs. Parma prediction.
However, the qualities of the Rossoblu can be converted into much better value in other Bologna vs. Parma betting odds. If you are looking for possible goal bets, there are two sensible options that you should search for in the best sports betting apps.
As an alternative to our betting recommendation, “Parma under 0.5 goals” is a good option. The visitors have scored only nine goals (19th) and 12.56 expected goals (18th) in league play. However, the Crusaders are undeniably dangerous on set pieces, which is why we are going with the second option.
Although the defending champions lost last weekend (1-3 vs. Cremonese) as did Parma (0-2 vs. Udinese), the volume and quality of the chances created (2.79 xG) were excellent.
Bologna – Parma Head-to-head record / H2H balance
There has already been a direct comparison between the two Italian first division teams this season. A month ago, Bologna came back from an early 0-1 deficit on matchday ten and ultimately won 3-1 away against Cuesta’s team.
Since December 2012, there have been twelve competitive matches between the two clubs, all of which have taken place in Serie A. Except for one slip-up last season (0-2 away at Parma), the Rossoblu have not lost a single match.
Bologna – Parma Tip
The defending champions have a particular fondness for matches at their home stadium, Stadio Renato Dall’Ara. In Italy’s top flight, Vincenzo Italiano and his players have racked up the second-best expected goal difference in home games (+6.1 xGD).
The hosts’ offense is productive regardless of the venue and has recently scored more than 2.0 expected goals in three consecutive competitive games (a total of 10.36 xG in those three games). With 19.09 expected goals, the Rossoblu have the fifth-best offense in Serie A.
The hosts are even better in the league comparison of goals scored. Only Inter (28) have scored more goals than Bologna (22) in the current season. The level of attack is completely different for the Crusaders. Parma are extremely dependent on set pieces and have scored five of their nine goals this season from their own set pieces.
At least 5.60 set-piece xG underlines the Cuesta team’s goal threat from set pieces. We seriously doubt whether they will be successful against Bologna with this tactic. Away from home, the Gialloblu have scored only three measly goals in Serie A so far.
