Home strength meets away weakness

On Friday evening, AFC Bournemouth and Fulham FC kick off the 7th matchday of the Premier League. In terms of the table, the sixth-placed team welcomes the eleventh-placed team. AFC have had two consecutive draws against Newcastle and Leeds United, while Fulham FC suffered a 1-3 defeat against Aston Villa after three consecutive wins.

Bournemouth are still unbeaten at home in the Premier League, winning two of their three home games. In our Bournemouth vs. Fulham prediction, we are expecting another three points for the Cherries.

Bournemouth are currently in strong form. The Cherries have lost only two of their last 16 league games against Fulham (eight wins, six draws) and have lost only once in their last eight meetings – a 3-1 defeat in February 2024. Their home form is also back on track: after losing four home games in a row between February and April, Bournemouth have since picked up 14 points from seven games at Vitality Stadium (four wins, two draws, one defeat), keeping four clean sheets in the process.

With 11 points from their first six games, the team has also made the best start to a season in its Premier League history – three points more than last season and a full eight more than in Andoni Iraola’s debut season in 2023/24. Antoine Semenyo is particularly dangerous, having scored eight of his team’s last 15 league goals. Since April, only Man City’s Erling Haaland and West Ham’s Jarrod Bowen (nine each) have scored more goals than the Ghanaian (eight). In our Bournemouth vs. Fulham prediction, we’re tipping him to score another goal.

Fulham travels to Bournemouth with a difficult record. The Cottagers have lost their last three Premier League away games at AFC and could suffer four consecutive away defeats against the Cherries for the first time. In their last away league game, Fulham took an early lead at Aston Villa but still lost 3-1. This means the team has lost four of its last seven games despite taking the lead – no other team has lost more games after taking the lead in the last two seasons (seven in total).

Since his Premier League away win as Everton coach in Bournemouth (2-0) in 2017, manager Marco Silva has only managed to pick up one point from five away games at Vitality Stadium and has lost four in a row. The only source of hope is Raul Jimenez, who has already scored five Premier League goals in six starts against Bournemouth. For another goal from the Mexican, Bournemouth vs. Fulham odds of 3.25 are available in the Bet365 app.

Bournemouth – Fulham Head-to-head record

The overall statistics between Bournemouth and Fulham clearly favor the Cherries. In twelve head-to-head matches so far – eight in the Premier League and four in the Championship – Bournemouth has won six times, while Fulham has only celebrated two victories. Four games ended in a draw. The goal difference also underlines Bournemouth’s dominance, with a clear lead of 23:12 goals.

Bournemouth – Fulham Tip

AFC Bournemouth goes into the match against Fulham as the clear favorite. While the Cherries have won two of their three PL home games and are still undefeated, the Cottagers are still winless and have lost two of their three PL away games.

The AFC has a particularly strong record against Fulham. Only two of the last 16 league games against Fulham have been lost. One factor contributing to their current good form is Semenyo, who has scored eight of Bournemouth’s last 15 league goals.

Added to this is Fulham manager Silva’s poor record. He has only picked up one point in his last five away games at Bournemouth and has lost the last four games in a row. Furthermore, the Bournemouth vs. Fulham betting odds also suggest few goals, as AFC have scored less than three goals in four of their home games, while Fulham have done so in two of their three away games. Based purely on the facts and figures for the game, everything points to another home win for the Cherries.

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