Can Breidablik Kopavogur turn things around?
On Tuesday, July 15, 2025, the second leg of the first qualifying round for the Champions League will take place between Breidablik Kopavogur and FK Egnatia. After losing the first leg 0-1, the Icelandic representative is under some pressure and needs at least a win to advance to the next round. If we believe the German bookmakers’ Breidablik vs. Egnatia tip, then that should be within the realm of possibility. The maximum odds for a home win are only 1.80 and can be found at the bookmaker we tested, Bet-at-home.
We will answer this question at the end of our Breidablik vs. Egnatia prediction. But first, let’s take a closer look at the two teams. We’ll start with the home and away records of the two teams and come up with an initial conclusion. The Icelanders have a slight advantage here, winning 50% of their home games. By comparison, the Albanians have won only 46% of their away games.
In search of a reason for this rather clear division of roles, we now take a look at the form of the two teams. But here, too, the picture is not clear, because while the visitors have won four games in a row, the home team has won only four of its last ten competitive games. The bookies’ odds for Breidablik against Egnatia are nevertheless surprisingly one-sided, which is why we prefer to bet on goals at Bet-at-home.
Breidablik – Statistics & current form
Breidablik Kopavogur is not necessarily one of the top teams in the history of Iceland’s top league, having won only three championships in 113 years. This puts the home side in ninth place in the ranking of Iceland’s most successful teams. KR Reykjavik is the record champion with 27 titles. However, after 2010 and 2022, Halldor Arnason’s team has now secured a place in the Champions League qualifiers for the third time in the club’s history. However, the Icelanders have failed to progress beyond the qualifying rounds on each occasion, meaning that participation in the Conference League in the 2023/23 season is the greatest success in the club’s international history to date. However, the Green-Whites failed to pick up a single point and were eliminated at an early stage.
Breidablik Kopavogur will create chances
With 51 goals in 23 competitive games (⌀ 2.22), the home side have one of the best attacks in Iceland. In fact, only KR Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik have scored more often. In addition, Halldor Arnason’s team has only failed to score twice, finding the back of the net in 91% of their games. At home, the rate is even better, standing at 100%. However, this is by no means due to the Icelandic representative having only one top player in their ranks, but rather to the fact that Breidablik Kopavogur works extremely well as a collective. For us, this is one of the reasons why we believe the home team can win or even turn the tie around in the second leg against KF Egnatia.
Breidablik Kopavogur with slight problems in defense
The home side are clearly capable of posing a threat to the Albanian representatives in attack, but how do they look defensively? Halldor Arnason’s team definitely has room for improvement here, as conceding 30 goals in 23 games (⌀ 1.30) is not particularly good. Nevertheless, Breidablik has kept a clean sheet seven times and conceded at least one goal in only 70% of its games. At home, however, the rate is considerably worse, at just under 85%. Especially when it comes to holding their own internationally, or in this case against FK Egnatia, these are obviously not good figures. Nevertheless, we have to give the home team credit for allowing only five shots on their own goal in the first leg.
Predicted line-up for Breidablik:
A.A. Einarsson – Valgeirsson, Margeirsson, Orrason, Jonsson – Steindorsson, Ludviksson, Gunnlaugsson – Bjarnason, Thomsen, V.K. Einarsson
Egnatia – Statistics & current form
KF Egnatia is a team to keep an eye on. Edlir Tetova’s side only gained promotion to the Albanian top flight in 2021 and has been a force to be reckoned with ever since. After a few teething problems and relegation in the 2021/22 season, KFE secured qualification for the Conference League in only its second season in the top flight. Just one year later, the club celebrated its first league title. But that wasn’t all, because in 2024/25, the team from Rrogozhine even defended its championship title. Now the club dreams of participating in one of the three major international competitions for the first time and must first get Breidablik out of the way. After a 1-0 victory in the first leg, this is a realistic scenario.
KF Egnatia lacking the big punch
To make a better comparison, we are only evaluating the Albanians’ games from 2025 and not their competitive games from the entire 2024/25 season. The visitors cannot keep up with the home side in attack, as they have been much less dangerous this calendar year, scoring only 42 goals in 26 competitive games (⌀ 1.62). In addition, Edlir Tetova’s team has failed to score five times and has found the back of the net in only 81% of its games. Away from home, however, the rate is slightly better at 84%. Two players stand out in particular in attack: Regi Lushkja and Serxho Ujka. The two attacking players collected 39 points last season and are therefore irreplaceable.
KF Egnatia is very compact defensively.
While Edlir Tetova’s team still has room for improvement in attack, the defense looks very solid. With only 19 goals conceded in 26 games, the visitors have conceded an average of just 0.73 goals per game, putting them below the magic 1.0 mark. As a result, the Albanians have kept a clean sheet twelve times and conceded a goal in only 54% of their competitive games. It hardly matters whether Egnatia has to dribble in their own stadium or away from home. Away from home, the rate is only 58%. These are, of course, great conditions for the return leg against Breidablik Kopavogur. However, given the opponent’s offensive power, we doubt that they will manage to keep a clean sheet in the end.
Egnatia’s predicted line-up:
Dajsinani – Fangaj, Sota, Xhemalji, Ndreca – Aleksi, Medeiros, Gruda – Selmani, Guindo, Ujka
Breidablik – Egnatia Head-to-head record / H2H record
In the first two sections of our analysis, we were unable to identify a clear favorite. However, we have not yet examined one important factor, namely the H2H comparison. This paints a fairly similar picture, as the two teams have only met once before, just under a week ago. The first leg went to the Albanians, but they did not dominate the game. With their own fans behind them, the Icelanders are therefore capable of turning the tables. The bookmakers agree, as the Breidablik vs. Egnatia betting odds clearly favor a home win.
Breidablik – Egnatia Tip
Taking all the above factors into account, we have decided against a Breidablik vs. Egnatia tip and are going for a win for the supposed favorites. Not only are the home side in poorer form, they also have less individual quality. In addition, their home record is not good enough for us to consider them a strong home team. Furthermore, the visitors are very compact and will defend their lead from the first leg with passion. We would therefore not be surprised if we see few or even no goals in this match. The 1-0 winning goal in the first leg was not scored without reason in injury time.
Alternatively, you can add the Breidablik vs. Egnatia odds for a point for the away team to your betting slip. As we have already proven in detail in our analysis, there is not a single reason to believe that the home team will win this match. We have examined all the important factors and still cannot see why the bookmakers are expecting a home win. The best odds for “Double Chance Egnatia” can be found at the bookmaker we tested, Bet365. There, we get more than double our stake back, and that with supposedly little risk.