Will the Gunners consolidate their lead at the top of the table?
On Saturday afternoon, Burnley FC and Arsenal FC will face each other in the Premier League. The Gunners were able to further consolidate their lead at the top of the table after last week’s 1-0 win against Crystal Palace and are now four points ahead of second-placed Bournemouth. During the week, the Londoners recorded another clean sheet victory in the EFL Cup, beating Brighton 2-0.
The Clarets also secured a win against Wolves last week and are now in 16th place in the table. As no more than two goals have ever been scored at their home ground, Turf Moor Stadium, our Burnley vs. Arsenal tip is once again “under 2.5 goals” for the entire game.
Burnley go into the game with renewed confidence after the Clarets celebrated two consecutive Premier League wins. However, three wins in a row would be a minor sensation for Scott Parker’s team – the last time they achieved this was in April 2022 under Michael Jackson. Parker’s last three-game winning streak as coach was also several years ago: in April 2019 with Fulham. If you believe in this surprise, you can bet on Burnley vs. Arsenal odds of 10.00 for a home win.
However, the record clearly speaks against Burnley against Arsenal: they have won only one of their 18 Premier League matches so far, and in none of those games did they score more than one goal. Furthermore, Burnley have never won a Premier League game against a team that was top of the table on that matchday. In addition, they are winless in eleven home games against the Gunners (six defeats, five draws).
Arsenal are currently in outstanding form, winning their last four Premier League games, the last three without conceding a goal. Their last long winning streak was between April and August 2024, when the Gunners triumphed eight times in a row. In our Burnley vs. Arsenal prediction, we are therefore tipping another win for the Gunners without conceding a goal – you can also place this bet in the Betano app.
Mikel Arteta’s team is particularly strong from set pieces: eleven of their 16 league goals so far have come from dead balls – the best record in the league. Arsenal are a force to be reckoned with when playing against promoted teams: they have won 23 of their last 24 games, including the last 13 in a row. Eberechi Eze is currently one of the key players – the England international has been involved in eight goals in his last 13 Premier League appearances. You can secure Burnley vs. Arsenal betting odds of 2.94 for another goal.
Burnley – Arsenal Head-to-head record/H2H record
Burnley and Arsenal have faced each other 98 times in total – 94 times in the Premier League, three times in the FA Cup, and once in the League Cup. Both the record and the goal difference clearly favor the Gunners: Arsenal have celebrated 48 victories, while Burnley have been successful 29 times and 21 encounters have ended in a draw. The Londoners also have a clear advantage in terms of goal difference – 166 goals to 113 underscore the dominance of Arteta’s team in direct comparison.
Burnley – Arsenal Tip
Arsenal have won their last eight games in a row and have not conceded a goal in their last six. They are also unbeaten at home, winning seven of their eight competitive games so far. Overall, the Gunners have only lost one of their 15 competitive games this season. We are tipping another win for the Gunners – again without conceding a goal.
However, Burnley’s defense is solid: they have not conceded more than two goals in any of their six home games – and never more than one in Premier League home games. Arteta’s team has also scored more than two goals in only one of their last ten games. We therefore do not believe that more than two goals will be scored in this game.
