Who can beat this Arsenal team?
The Match of the Week on Matchday 13 of the Premier League will be contested by the two London clubs Chelsea and Arsenal. The second-placed team will host the league leaders at Stamford Bridge – a real top-of-the-table clash. The Blues have won five of their last six games and celebrated a flawless 3-0 victory over FC Barcelona in the Champions League during the week. The Gunners are now unbeaten in 16 games, with 14 wins, and cemented their brilliant form with a victory in the clash of the titans against FC Bayern during the week. They have scored twice in their last six competitive games and in six of their last seven away games – we are betting on over 1.5 goals for Arsenal in the Chelsea vs. Arsenal match.
Chelsea go into the derby against Arsenal with a poor record. The Blues have won only one of their last eleven Premier League matches against the Gunners, with three draws and seven defeats, and have been waiting for a win for seven meetings. The tide has also turned at home: between 2013 and 2018, Chelsea won six of their seven Premier League home games against Arsenal, but since then, the Gunners have remained unbeaten in six games at Stamford Bridge. In our Chelsea vs. Arsenal prediction, we believe this will remain the case and that at least two goals will be scored.
This season, Chelsea have earned only 43.5 percent of their points at home, with only Tottenham having a lower percentage. At least Chelsea are scoring regularly: in their last seven league games, the team has scored the first goal in each game – their longest streak since April 2024 – but that streak was ended by a 5-0 defeat to Arsenal. They have scored in the first half in seven of their last eight home games. Individually, Pedro Neto is in strong form. He has been involved in five goals in his last five Premier League games and could score in three consecutive league games for the first time. In addition, he has been directly involved in three goals in four starts against Arsenal.
Arsenal travel as league leaders and have an impressive derby record. The Gunners have lost only three of their 40 London derbies since the start of the 2022/23 season, and only one of those defeats came away from home. Arsenal’s recent record against Chelsea also speaks for itself: the team is unbeaten in seven games since August 2021 and has won three of its last six away games at Stamford Bridge. As league leaders, Arsenal are entering their fifth Premier League clash with Chelsea – the team has won all four of the previous encounters. Under Mikel Arteta, they have also developed a strong record against the Blues: seven wins from twelve games equates to a 58.3 percent win rate, with only Guardiola and Dalglish having a better record.
Individual players are also making their mark. Martin Ødegaard has been involved in more Premier League goals against Chelsea than against any other team, with a total of seven. He and Gabriel Magalhães are unbeaten in eight games against the Blues. Leandro Trossard has already scored four league goals against Chelsea, more than against any team except Liverpool; his next goal would be his 50th in the Premier League, making him the fifth Belgian to reach this milestone.
Chelsea – Arsenal Head-to-head record / H2H record
Chelsea and Arsenal have faced each other 194 times in head-to-head matches. Arsenal have won 78 of those encounters, Chelsea have won 60, and there have been 56 draws. Arsenal leads in goal difference with 280:249. The matches are spread across two Champions League games, one Europa League match, 176 Premier League matches, eight FA Cup matches, four League Cup matches, and three English Super Cup matches.
Chelsea – Arsenal Tip
According to the Chelsea vs. Arsenal betting odds on sports betting apps, the Gunners are slight favorites going into this London derby with Chelsea FC – and rightly so, if you look at the numbers. Arteta’s team is unbeaten in 16 competitive games, winning 14 of them – including against Bayern Munich during the week. In addition, they have scored at least twice in 11 of their last 13 games and have also kept 11 clean sheets. They have lost only three of their last four London derbies – only one away from home.
Chelsea, on the other hand, will be a worthy opponent – the Blues have lost only one of their last eleven competitive games, winning nine times. At home, Maresca’s team has lost two of nine games, scoring in the first half in seven of their last eight home games. However, they have won only one of their last eleven Premier League matches against the Gunners and have been waiting for a win for seven encounters.
