Will the Rossoneri pass the test on Lake Como?
Because AC Milan were in Saudi Arabia in December for the Supercoppa Italiana, the Rossoneri’s eagerly awaited catch-up game on Lake Como is now taking place four weeks later during the week. The Lombardy derby also promises to be an exciting affair in terms of the league table, as the current sixth-placed team welcomes the current second-placed team.
Against this backdrop, betting on an away win for Massimiliano Allegri’s team against Como is by no means a sure thing, even though the Biancoblù have been waiting for another victory against “Il Diavolo” (English: the Devil) for 14 competitive games now (five draws, nine defeats).
Although the Rossoneri have not lost a single one of their last 18 Serie A games since their surprise opening defeat to Cremonese (eleven wins, seven draws), they have recently been held to two consecutive 1-1 draws against bottom-of-the-table Genoa and Fiorentina. The team is simply struggling to score goals, and winter signing Niclas Füllkrug still needs time to settle in.
What’s more, with only 13 goals conceded in 19 Serie A games, Como 1907 has the second-best defense in Serie A behind AS Roma (twelve). Since almost anything is possible in a three-way system, the obvious tip is for a low-scoring Lombardy derby with under 2.5 goals.
While the odds for the under bet are still relatively low for Como against AC Milan, an alternative option would be to bet on a maximum of one team scoring in this Lombardy duel on Lake Como, which would offer significantly higher odds. Ultimately, this tip only excludes a 1-1 draw, but otherwise nothing that would not also be covered by betting on under 2.5 goals. Given the odds of 2.00 that we found in the Betano app, there is also value to be had, especially since the Rossoneri have conceded only 15 goals in 19 league games, meaning that a home goal for the Biancoblù is by no means guaranteed.
Como – AC Milan Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 5 – 10 – 19
Only 34 competitive matches have been played between the two teams so far, and AC Milan has won 19 of those 34 games. The Rossoneri are currently unbeaten in 14 meetings with Como 1907 (nine wins, five draws) and took all six points against their Lombardy rivals in the 2024/25 season. Both the first leg at Lake Como and the return leg at San Siro ended 2-1 in favor of “Il Diavolo.”
Como – AC Milan Tip
Just how close this Lombardy derby between the current sixth and second-placed teams promises to be is also evident from the fact that German-licensed betting providers are offering even odds on Como against AC Milan. The Rossoneri are slight favorites, but their away win comes with a high risk, especially since the Biancoblù have not only conceded only 13 goals in 19 league games, but have also lost only three of their 19 league games. Only Il Diavolo has done better in the league, having not lost since the first matchday, but they have only managed two 1-1 draws in a row against Fiorentina and Genoa.
Behind AS Roma, the two Lombardy protagonists of this Thursday evening game have the best defenses in Serie A. The Biancoblù have conceded only 13 goals in 19 league games, while the Rossoneri have conceded 15. Accordingly, the forecast for Como vs. AC Milan is for a low-scoring battle at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
