Will the Greeks have to swallow another setback?
In Group C, a two-horse race for a guaranteed ticket to the 2026 World Cup in the USA, Canada, and Mexico is currently shaping up. After three of six matchdays, Denmark and Scotland each have seven points, four more than Greece, who are currently in third place. Belarus is trailing behind in last place.
Conversely, this means that the 2004 European champions will not only have their backs against the wall on Saturday evening at Parken in Copenhagen, but will also be fighting for their last chance to finish in one of the top two places. If the prediction of a home win in the Denmark vs. Greece match comes true and Scotland wins against Belarus as expected, it would be confirmed early that the upcoming World Cup will take place without the participation of the “Ethniki.”
However, considering their last two performances in World Cup qualifying, it would be surprising if coach Ivan Jovanovic’s team were to pick up three points away from home on the fourth matchday. After a successful start against Belarus (5-1), the world number 40 suffered a 3-0 home defeat to Denmark and a bitter 3-1 defeat in Scotland on Thursday evening, despite leading 1-0 at one point. first suffered a 0-3 home defeat against Denmark and then a bitter 1-3 defeat in Scotland on Thursday evening, despite leading 1-0 at one point. The number of goals conceded in the three match days so far is simply too high to be able to compete with the solid opposition in the long term.
At least offensively, however, the Blue and Whites are definitely to be considered dangerous opponents. On the one hand, because the Greeks have scored at least one goal in twelve of their last 15 international matches and even managed to secure promotion to the A Division of the UEFA Nations League in the spring with a playoff triumph against Scotland.
On the other hand, the Serbian head coach has a wealth of individual quality at his disposal in attack. Players such as Tzolis, Pavlidis, Ioannidis and top talent Karetsas are capable of creating and converting top-class chances at any time. That is precisely why my prediction for Denmark vs. Greece is that both teams will score.
The fact that, in the end, significantly higher odds are being offered on a win for the visitors ahead of Denmark’s return match against Greece is primarily due to the strength of the opposition. “Danish Dynamite” has suffered only one defeat in seven international matches in the 2025 calendar year (five wins, one draw). In five of these seven matches, they kept a clean sheet. This was also the case in all three World Cup qualifiers at home against Scotland (0-0), in Greece (3-0), and on Thursday evening in the dress rehearsal in Hungary against Belarus (6-0).
These results are probably also the reason why the bet on “both teams to score” is so attractive. However, I’m going to disregard the statistics somewhat and argue primarily that the visitors are doomed to win. Even a draw would not be enough to put pressure on the competition. Therefore, it is quite possible that more goals will be scored than expected on Sunday evening. The over 2.5 is therefore marked as a value bet, especially since you can find odds of 2.20 for it at Merkur Bets.
Denmark – Greece Head-to-head record
There have been 16 encounters between these national teams in the annals. Eleven of these 16 matches took place in the course of World Cup qualifiers. The Danes currently lead the H2H record with nine wins. Four games ended in a draw, while the Greeks only managed three wins. The first leg was also a surprisingly clear victory for the Northern Europeans, who won 3-0 away from home. At the same time, it was the first competitive match in over 20 years, so the relevance of the head-to-head comparison and its impact on the Denmark vs. Greece betting odds is limited.
Denmark – Greece Tip
The Greek national soccer team suffered a bitter setback on Thursday evening in the first match of October’s international double-header. The 3-1 defeat in Scotland means that Jovanovic’s team has almost blown its chances of qualifying for the 2026 World Cup. Only a perfect second half of the season with nine points from three games could still be enough for one of the top three places. However, I assume that even the last glimmer of hope will be lost on Sunday. My preference between Denmark and Greece is clearly in favor of the home team, which impresses with its greater consistency.
Nevertheless, I wouldn’t write off the Greeks, especially given the quality they have in attack. Only three points will help the 2004 European champions in Copenhagen, so the direction is clear. In conjunction with the (too) high odds, I therefore recommend betting on both teams to score.
