Will BVB take the next step towards the top 8?

Efficiency is the magic word for Borussia Dortmund in this Champions League season. The Black and Yellows are the absolute overperformers in Europe’s most important club competition so far. Although the xG model spits out an extremely meager value of 6.43 (excluding penalties), BVB has already scored 15 CL goals from open play. The difference of 8.57 is the highest of all 36 participants. If Kovac’s team can continue this form on Wednesday evening, the tip for three points for Borussia will once again prove true in Dortmund’s home game against Bodö/Glimt!

In any case, the Bundesliga club has three points firmly in its sights when it comes to securing a place in the round of 16 as one of the best eight teams. BVB currently ranks in a strong sixth place, but is level on points with Manchester City in ninth. Each of the three remaining matches is therefore of essential importance for the 2024 Champions League finalists, whose only defeat against a Norwegian opponent dates back to the last millennium. Admittedly, the visitors from the province of Nordland provide few arguments against a Dortmund vs. Bodö/Glimt prediction on matchday 6 of the UEFA Champions League.

Oddset has once again launched a great promotion for BVB’s must-win game against the Norwegian underdogs. With Oddset Quoten Turbo, new customers can get odds of 20.00 on a home win for Borussia. The maximum stake is €5; the potential winnings will be credited as bonus credit.

You can also get 2.25 instead of 2.15 from the German-licensed bookmaker for a favorite win in combination with over 3.5 goals. But the question remains whether there will really be so many goals at Signal Iduna Park on Wednesday evening or whether Kovac’s pragmatism, which we know from the league, will prevail once again.

Dortmund vs. Bodö/Glimt AI prediction

Artificial intelligence has no doubt that BVB will secure their fourth victory in their sixth Champions League game this season. This is confirmed by the calculated probability of victory of over 76%. The xG values also paint a clear picture in favor of the Black and Yellows. Borussia are predicted to score 2.77 goals, while the visitors from Norway are predicted to score only 0.94. The goal difference is therefore 1.83 goals. From this, we can derive the Dortmund vs. Bodö/Glimt AI prediction for the Asian handicap (-1.75).

Dortmund – Statistics & current form

Ten points from five Champions League games is a decent haul for BVB so far. Only away at Manchester City and Juventus did the Black and Yellows fail to pick up three points. Ten of the eleven goals conceded were also in away games. At home against Villarreal (4-0) and Bilbao (4-1), they conceded only one goal. In the Bundesliga, Gregor Kobel has also conceded only four goals in six home games.

Will BVB keep a clean sheet at home again?

In nine competitive games in front of their home crowd, they have kept five clean sheets. Anyone who wants to use this statistic as an opportunity to bet on another “clean sheet” victory for the Westphalians can take advantage of attractive odds of 2.55 at Betano in the run-up to the Dortmund vs. Bodö/Glimt match.

Despite the fact that BVB currently has the second-best offense behind Paris St. Germain with 17 goals scored in five CL games, I think it makes more sense to combine a home win with under goals. After all, this is the sixth competitive game in the last 18 days. In fact, only two of the last ten competitive games would have seen a bet on over 4.5 goals come in.

It is therefore more realistic that Guirassy and Co. will put in a similarly confident, focused performance as they did on Sunday against TSG Hoffenheim (2-0).

Bodö/Glimt – Statistics & current form

Bodö/Glimt’s results so far do not necessarily reflect the underdog’s courageous performances. In their first two games, the Norwegians earned a point against Slavia Prague and Tottenham. However, this was followed by three defeats against Galatasaray, Monaco, and Juventus, which have put the top 24 out of reach. With only two points to their name, the Champions League adventure for the yellow horde will most likely end after the eighth matchday at the end of January 2026.

Will Bodø/Glimt also score in Dortmund?

However, anyone who thinks that coach Kjetil Knutsen’s team will just sit back and defend deep in front of the yellow wall on Wednesday evening is likely to be quickly proven wrong. The four-time national champions prefer a bold approach and are always good for goals. In four of the five Champions League games mentioned, the Northern Europeans scored at least once, and in three of the five games they even scored twice. Perhaps this remarkable offensive output is an indication that the odds between Dortmund and Bodö/Glimt are leaning toward a high-scoring duel.

Nevertheless, it must be noted that “Superlaget” has not yet faced an opponent of Borussia Dortmund’s caliber away from home in this Champions League season. It also remains to be seen how the team has recovered from the shock of the weekend. Despite a 5-0 win on the last matchday in the Norwegian top flight, the defending champions were unable to knock Viking FK off the top spot. As the newly crowned runners-up and with no realistic chance of reaching the Champions League playoffs, the task at Dortmund’s football temple will certainly not be any easier.

Dortmund – Bodö/Glimt Head-to-head record

This is the first time Dortmund and Bodö/Glimt have met in a competitive match. BVB have faced Norwegian teams six times so far. The record is very positive, with four wins, one draw, and only one defeat. A total of 33 goals were scored in those six games, an average of 5.5 per match. In my opinion, Wednesday evening’s game at Signal Iduna Park is unlikely to be as high-scoring. I predict a maximum of four goals over the course of 90 minutes!

Dortmund – Bodö/Glimt Tip

BVB has been very consistent in the UEFA Champions League in front of its home crowd for months and years. Looking back on the last 20 CL home games, there has been just one defeat. Interestingly, in eleven of these 20 matches, the Black and Yellows have even managed to keep a clean sheet. In the current season, Borussia has not conceded a goal in five of nine home games across all competitions. I can well imagine another clean sheet against Bodö/Glimt!

However, if you think it’s too risky to bet on the favorites to win to nil at odds of 2.55, you could go for a match combo. For Dortmund vs. Bodö/Glimt, bet on a home win with a maximum of four goals scored during the game.