Will the Basques remain welcome guests?
The fact that Real Sociedad are currently only in 14th place after a disappointing 11th place finish in the 2024/25 season is primarily due to their poor away form. The Basques are one of five teams that have not won a single away game in La Liga in 2025/26 (two draws, three defeats) and have been welcome guests as a result.
It would therefore be risky to bet on Real Sociedad ending their away misery on the Spanish east coast when they visit Elche. After all, the Franjiverdes are unbeaten in five La Liga home games (three wins, two draws).
Elche CF have only scored six goals at their home ground, Estadio Martínez Valeri. However, these were enough to secure 11 out of a possible 15 points, as they have only conceded two goals in front of their home crowd. This means that the newly promoted team from the province of Alicante in the Autonomous Community of Valencia has the best home defense in the entire La Liga.
Admittedly, apart from Real Betis (1-1), no top team has visited the Costa Blanca yet, so we would not categorically rule out a win for the Basques, who have won all of their last six games against Elche. However, as Real Sociedad have only scored four away goals, the safest option for an Elche vs. Real Sociedad prediction is to bet on a low-scoring game. We recommend betting on under 2.5 goals.
It is also striking that goals on both sides were the exception when the two teams faced each other. Only once in the last nine meetings between the two teams did both teams score. So if you are looking for higher betting odds for Elche vs. Real Sociedad, you can also bet on NEO.bet that a maximum of one club will score in this match.
Elche – Real Sociedad Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 12 – 9 – 26
A total of 47 matches have been played between the two teams so far, with Real Sociedad leading the head-to-head record very clearly with 26 wins. Elche last defeated the Basques in April 2015. Since then, the subsequent six encounters in a row have all gone to the White and Blues.
Elche – Real Sociedad Tip
The best bookmakers are slightly favoring the visitors in Elche vs. Real Sociedad, which is certainly due to the head-to-head record, but also to the fact that the Basques have a squad worth roughly three times as much as their opponents in terms of total market value.
However, one aspect that should not be underestimated is that the Franjiverdes have the best home defense in La Liga and are unbeaten in five home games in the 2025/26 season (three wins, two draws), while Erreala are winless in five away games (two draws, three defeats) and have scored just four goals on the road.
However, the form curve is the opposite. Elche has been waiting for another win for four league games (one draw, three losses) and has been brought back down to earth, while the Basques have picked up six points from their last two games and have thus left the relegation zone. Against this backdrop, we advise against the three-way system and predict that a maximum of two goals will be scored at the Estadio Martínez Valero in Elche’s match against Real Sociedad.
