Are the French women currently too strong for the DFB women?

The last quarter-final of this Women’s European Championship will be played on Tuesday evening between the DFB women and the French women. Before the start of this European Championship final round, both teams were considered to be on par, but after the preliminary round, the starting position has shifted slightly in favor of Les Bleues. That is precisely why, ahead of the clash between France and Germany, the team coached by Laurent Bonadei is considered to have a higher probability of winning.

The French have won all three of their tournament games so far, scoring an impressive eleven goals and gaining a lot of confidence ahead of the knockout stages. The German women, on the other hand, got off to a successful start with six points from two games, but were shown their limits in their third group game, losing 4-1 to Sweden while playing with one player down. A lack of consistency remains an issue for the seven-time European champions, who will nevertheless do everything in their power to ensure that the prediction for the DFB team’s progress is proven correct on Saturday evening between France and Germany.

From a German perspective, the last meeting between the two sides at a European Championship will be fondly remembered. In the semi-finals three years ago, Alexandra Popp and Co. won 2-1, maintaining their unbeaten record against their opponents in major tournaments. A German women’s team has never lost to Les Bleues in a World Cup or European Championship final.

France – statistics & current form

Together with Spain, France has made the strongest impression at this European Championship in Switzerland so far. In a very complicated preliminary round group with the Netherlands, England, and underdog Wales, Les Bleues picked up nine out of a possible nine points. Better still, they scored an outstanding eleven goals in 270 minutes of play. This is an outstanding achievement, surpassed in the group stage only by the footballing superiority of the Iberian Peninsula.

However, the remarkable offensive output is, in a way, both a blessing and a curse for the current world number ten. Their uncompromising attacking play is accompanied by an undeniable defensive vulnerability, especially in this tournament. In all three of the preliminary round matches mentioned above, they were unable to keep a clean sheet. So if you want to bet on both teams scoring at least once in Coach Bonadei’s side’s fourth tournament game, you can get odds of 1.58 at Bet365 in the France vs. Germany Women betting app ahead of the match.

The speed of the nimble French women could be the X factor

The Dutch women experienced first-hand what the 2023 World Cup quarter-finalists and 2022 European Championship semi-finalists are capable of in the second 45 minutes of their final group match. At half-time, the underdogs were somewhat surprisingly leading 2-1. In the end, it was 5-2 to the French, who were able to rely on the individual quality of the experienced Delphine Cascarino. Although the 28-year-old was only in the starting line-up for the second time in this tournament, she now has two goals and three assists to her name. The German defense will also have to keep a close eye on the lightning-fast Marie-Antoinette Katoto. However, the DFB defense has had great difficulty in recent times, especially when defending against similar attackers who consistently run deep.

In addition, Bonadei’s team currently makes many things look easy, which is primarily attributable to their self-confidence and conviction. Since the 55-year-old took over as coach after the 2024 Olympics, there have been only two defeats in 15 international matches, both of which came last year. In 2025, the French won all eleven matches they played and are therefore rightly considered serious contenders for the title at the Women’s European Championship. As I believe this status quo is not adequately reflected in the France vs. Germany women’s odds, I see value in betting on “Les Bleues.” Possibly even with a handicap. Betano is offering odds of 3.75 for a French victory by at least two goals, which you can also play with the $20 Betano free bet.

Predicted line-up:
Peyraud-Magnin – de Almeida, Lakrar, Sombath, Bacha – Karchaoui, Jean-Francois – Geyoro – Baltimore, Katoto, D. Cascarino

Germany – Statistics & current form

The German women’s national soccer team has suffered several setbacks in the last two weeks. It started with the injury of captain Giulia Gwinn and continued with a completely botched group final against Sweden, in which, after an early 1-0 lead, everything that could go wrong did go wrong, as if following Murphy’s Law.

Instead of facing the second-placed team in Group D in the quarter-finals and getting a chance to take revenge against England, they will now face France. If they win, they will face the dominant Spanish team in the semi-finals. Three years after finishing runners-up in the European Championship, the road to the final is not only rocky, but also extremely challenging.

Although the DFB women’s team licked their wounds after their disappointing performance against Sweden and national coach Wück gave his players a day and a half off to refocus, they currently lack the unshakeable belief that they can still achieve something great in this final tournament. This is particularly true of the fans at home, who have not necessarily perceived the women’s national team as a perfectly functioning and harmonious collective to date. Their performances in the first three matches were too inconsistent. There were good signs, but also serious shortcomings.

Are the DFB women overrated?

In particular, the defense often failed to make the best and most stable impression. Speed disadvantages, poor timing in deep defense, and gaps in central midfield ensured that the respective opponents were able to create several scoring chances in virtually all three matches.

Despite solid preparation, which included winning their group in the UEFA Nations League in the spring, it seems as if the reshaped German team, which is not yet infinitely experienced at this level in many positions, is sometimes overwhelmed (at times) by good opponents. In my opinion, the Germans, who are often referred to as a tournament team, continue to be overrated by the most popular bookmakers, which is another reason to bet on the French women.

To make matters worse, the unstable back four will have to be reshuffled again. After Gwin’s absence in the opening game and Wamser’s red card against Sweden, the right-back position is completely vacant. New Wolfsburg signing Kleinherne is a possible stopgap solution. In central defense, Hendrich could be preferred to the very stiff-looking Knaak. However, even Hendrich is not capable of keeping Katoto and Co. in check under normal circumstances at her advanced age. It threatens to be a long evening for the DFB women in Basel…

Predicted line-up:
Berger – Kleinherne, Minge, Knaak, Linder – Senss, Nüsken – Brand, Dallmann, Bühl – Schüller

France – Germany Women Head-to-head record / H2H record

With 23 international matches between them, France and Germany are already a classic pairing in women’s soccer. The DFB women lead the head-to-head record relatively comfortably with 13 wins, four draws, and six defeats. In major tournaments such as World Cups and European Championships, the Germans have never lost to the French. Among other things, a 2-1 victory in July 2022 secured them a place in the final. The most recent direct duel in February 2024 went 2-1 to France.

France – Germany Women Tip

In order to predict the outcome of the match between France and Germany Women, the previous tournament performances must be taken into account. While the DFB women have not really impressed in any of their three matches and have already had to deal with many setbacks, the French are riding a wave of euphoria that has slowly built up over the last few months under new coach Bonadei. Eleven international wins in a row, including three in this tournament in Switzerland, mean that “Les Bleues” have the advantage on Saturday evening.

This is also supported by the tactical approach. The German defense, weakened by substitutions, traditionally has problems with fast attackers. The French have several of these. Eleven goals scored in 270 minutes of play also underline the offensive threat posed by the co-favorites. I therefore expect a high-scoring quarter-final, but also believe that Bonadei’s team will progress. All in all, I recommend betting on France to win in regular time in the match between France and Germany. Interwetten is offering odds of 2.20, which I am betting four units on.