Will Eintracht follow up with another soccer celebration?
It was another one of those magical European Cup evenings that SGE fans will proudly tell future generations about. In front of almost 60,000 spectators, including many Turks living in Germany, Eintracht Frankfurt swept Turkish champions Galatasaray out of the stadium 5-1 in their Champions League opener. The Hessians want to ride the wave of success as far as possible this weekend. Then they face an opponent who, on paper, should be absolutely beatable. Many sports betting fans will probably put their money on the home team before the Frankfurt vs. Union Berlin match.
From a psychological and sometimes physiological point of view, however, the task against the capital club may be more complicated than expected. The fact is that when it comes to the Frankfurt vs. Union Berlin prediction, it is important to consider that it is quite a challenge for the players to immediately refocus on everyday league life after an absolute highlight match on the international stage. Added to this is physical fatigue, which should not be a dominant factor in the first English week of the still young season.
In view of the performances shown so far, it is nevertheless understandable that the odds offered for a home win between Frankfurt and Union Berlin are significantly lower. In particular, the Ironers’ two most recent defeats and the seven goals they conceded in the process tip the scales in favor of Toppmöller’s team. In the three-way market, Bet-at-home is offering the top odds of 1.60 on SGE’s third three points on matchday 4 in the Bundesliga.
Frankfurt vs. Union Berlin Prediction AI
BETSiE predicts a 68.2% probability of victory, which is even higher than the probability implied by the bookies’ betting odds. In terms of xG values, SGE (2.20) is also given the clear advantage over FC Union (0.91).
Frankfurt – Statistics & current form
Eintracht Frankfurt flexed its muscles on the first two matchdays with commanding victories at home against Werder Bremen and in Hoffenheim. Last Friday, however, the team suffered its first defeat after its weakest performance of the season so far against Leverkusen.
As mentioned, their response in the UEFA Champions League was magnificent. In the fourth matchday, the Hessians now want to get back on track at the national level. In many respects, the chances are pretty good that the prediction for the hosts will come true between Frankfurt and Union Berlin.
Will Uzun and Co. play themselves into a frenzy again?
The SGE’s home strength is exemplary. In the 2025 calendar year, only the German champions from Munich won more home games in the Bundesliga than Eintracht. Across the season, coach Dino Toppmöller’s team has won five Bundesliga home games in a row with a goal difference of 14:3.
The offensive output so far is also remarkable, as the eight goals scored in the first three match days are only surpassed by FC Bayern. Can Uzun stands out once again from the strong team. The young German-Turkish player already has five points to his name. Uzun also scored a spectacular goal in the Champions League. That’s exactly why I recommend betting on another Uzun goal ahead of the Frankfurt vs. Union Berlin match.
Union Berlin – Statistics & current form
Union Berlin has had the weakest start to a Bundesliga season in the club’s history. They have managed to secure just three points in the first three matchdays. Considering that their 2-1 win against VfB Stuttgart in their opening game was anything but convincing and came about with a lot of luck, coach Steffen Baumgart’s team has to be given a rather poor report card so far.
Union coach Baumgart has a strong record against SGE
This applies primarily to the far too vulnerable defense, which has conceded seven goals in the last two games alone and, with a total of eight goals conceded, is the weakest defense in the German top flight. This is further highlighted by the fact that only two other clubs (Augsburg, Heidenheim) have a higher xGA value. The Ironers urgently need to improve their defensive work if they don’t want to be relegated at the start of the season.
Ironically, coach Steffen Baumgart is the source of hope, as he has lost only one of eight Bundesliga games against Eintracht Frankfurt in his coaching career to date. He is currently unbeaten in six meetings against the team from the Main metropolis. Baumgart has celebrated more first division victories against SGE than against any other club in a leading role.
Frankfurt – Union Berlin Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
There have been 20 competitive matches between Eintracht Frankfurt and Union Berlin to date. Half of these were won by the Hessians. Half of these can be attributed to the twelve Bundesliga duels. Conversely, this means that Eintracht has only been victorious in five of the twelve encounters with Union in the German top flight. The Eagles have even gone three games in a row without a win against the Iron Men. Toppmöller’s team even lost their home game 1-2 in the previous season. Their last Bundesliga home win against the team from Berlin-Köpenick came in 2023.
Frankfurt – Union Berlin Tip
After their 5-1 victory against Galatasaray in the Champions League, Eintracht Frankfurt are once again the talk of the town. Everyone is expecting a home win against Union Berlin on Sunday afternoon. But that’s exactly the crux of the matter, because there are no easy games in the Bundesliga, of course. Nevertheless, from a rational point of view, everything points to the Hessians landing their next three points. Their home strength and their outstanding offense so far are particularly compelling arguments.
Although Union Berlin have mostly looked good against Eintracht Frankfurt recently, even preventing three consecutive defeats, my Frankfurt vs. Union Berlin tip is clearly for a home win. I’m even risking a bet of four units on the double result HT1/FT1. In all of their wins this season, Toppmöller’s team has been ahead at halftime. The maximum odds are 2.30.
