Will the Wolves surprise everyone on the Main?

Eintracht Frankfurt are fighting for survival in the UEFA Champions League. Wednesday evening’s 3-0 home defeat to Atalanta Bergamo saw the Hessians slip out of the top 24 for the first time and they now need six points from their remaining three games to secure a playoff spot.

On Sunday evening, however, SGE will first return to league action. On paper, the task at home against VfL Wolfsburg, who are in poor form, should be a straightforward one, but there are various indications that suggest there could be some surprises in store in this match. My Frankfurt vs. Wolfsburg prediction is therefore not necessarily for a home win for Toppmöller’s team!
Although SGE has remained unbeaten in its last five Bundesliga games (3-2-0) and, in sixth place in the table, has twelve points more than its guests from Lower Saxony, who are just above the relegation zone (15th), the Frankfurt vs. Karlsruhe prediction must take into account, for example, that the Eagles have won only one of their last eight direct duels against the Wolves. Apart from that, Frankfurt has rarely covered itself in glory recently, despite decent results. In particular, the defense, which remains far too vulnerable, is causing headaches for the coaching team from the Main.

VfL coach Daniel Bauer currently has even more issues to contend with. Nevertheless, for many, the performance in the 1-3 defeat to Leverkusen a week ago was a step in the right direction. If the Autostädter can now work on their efficiency, then even a point at Deutsche Bank Park seems within the realm of possibility.

Frankfurt vs. Wolfsburg AI prediction

Artificial intelligence also clearly favors Eintracht Frankfurt. This is confirmed by the estimated probability of a home win of almost 60%, which is in line with the betting odds offered by bookmakers. The Hessians are also ahead in terms of xG values. The hosts from the Main are expected to score 2.01 goals, while Wolfsburg are only expected to score 1.19. Even though there is no clear value to be seen, the AI is sticking to its prediction of an SGE victory ahead of the match between Frankfurt and Wolfsburg. The top odds of 1.75 on the three-way market are offered by bookmaker Betway.

Frankfurt – Statistics & current form

After very successful years on the national and international stage, expectations at Eintracht Frankfurt have definitely changed. Despite being sixth in the Bundesliga standings and having at least a halfway realistic chance of advancing in the Champions League, dissatisfaction currently prevails in Germany’s financial capital.

After Burkardt’s injury: Who will shoulder Frankfurt’s offensive burden?

Partly responsible for this is the flood of goals conceded in the German top flight. After eleven match days, they have conceded 22 goals. Only once in this millennium have the Hessians conceded more goals at this stage of a Bundesliga season. In a league comparison, only 1. FC Heidenheim and FC Augsburg have more vulnerable defenses than SGE, who needed four away goals at 1. FC Köln last week to leave the field as winners (4-3). During the week against Bergamo, they conceded three goals again.

It will be exciting to see whether coach Dino Toppmöller makes further adjustments and possibly even switches back to a back three. With this formation, the Eagles defended much more compactly, but lost all their attacking power. The back four, on the other hand, stands for spectacle – both at the front and at the back.

To make matters worse, the Black, Red and Whites will have to do without their best striker on Sunday. Jonathan Burkardt was injured in the Champions League during the week and will probably be out for the rest of the calendar year with a calf muscle injury. The new signing from Mainz has scored eight goals for Eintracht in the Bundesliga. The Hessians do not have a backup player who is anywhere near as strong. The loss of this goal-scoring threat could therefore have a negative impact on the Frankfurt vs. Wolfsburg prediction. For a maximum of one SGE goal, odds of up to 2.32 are available in the Betano app for the weekend match between Frankfurt and Wolfsburg.

Wolfsburg – Statistics & current form

Daniel Bauer has only been in charge as head coach of VfL Wolfsburg’s professional team for around two weeks. Of course, you can’t expect miracles in such a short time. Nevertheless, the long-time U19 coach, who also performed brilliantly with his A-youth team this season and won twelve out of twelve competitive games before his promotion, has already made an impression.

Key player Lovro Majer recently stated that he is enthusiastic about the work of his new boss and hopes for a long-term collaboration. However, a final decision on Bauer’s future is still pending and is obviously linked to who will be appointed as the new sporting director.

Will Wolfsburg reward itself with points again?

Despite the 1-3 defeat at home to Bayer 04 Leverkusen last week, there were definitely signs of an improvement in form. Especially after conceding three goals in the first 45 minutes, the Wolves played lively up front, created some excellent chances and could even have come back into the game if they had been more clinical in front of goal. However, the bottom line was a seventh defeat in the last eight Bundesliga matches. Eight points after eleven matchdays is the worst start ever for a VfL team in the German top flight.

Nevertheless, in my opinion, the Frankfurt vs. Wolfsburg odds for a home win are far too low. After all, the Green-Whites have picked up six of their eight points on the road, are in a solid tenth place in the away table, and have conceded only seven goals in opposing stadiums. Only in Augsburg did VfL lose by more than one goal. The fact that Eintracht is coming off a busy week and is currently unable to draw on its full roster further increases the Wolves’ chances.

Frankfurt – Wolfsburg Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

VfL Wolfsburg has won more Bundesliga games against Borussia Mönchengladbach and VfB Stuttgart than against Eintracht Frankfurt. The Wolves have also regularly performed well against the Eagles in the recent past. Hessen has won only one of the last eight Bundesliga duels (1-4-3).

Also exciting: in 25 consecutive league games, the Lower Saxony side has always scored at least once against SGE. Nevertheless, in three of the last four encounters, a bet on under 3.5 would have paid off. On Sunday, I also have the betting odds for a maximum of three goals in the game between Frankfurt and Wolfsburg on my betting slip. Betano is offering a solid 1.67.

Frankfurt – Wolfsburg Tip

In the entire 2025 calendar year, VfL Wolfsburg has won only seven matches in the German top flight so far. However, six of these seven victories were celebrated by the Wolves away from home. In the current 2025/26 season, the Autostädter are also stronger away than at home, where they have been waiting for a win for 14 (!) Bundesliga games. I think a surprise is entirely possible, especially since SGE has struggled recently across all competitions, has obviously fallen back into old patterns in terms of the number of goals conceded, and will also have to do without Jonny Burkardt.

All of these are arguments that lead me to place a double chance X2 bet on Frankfurt and Wolfsburg. SGE has won only one of its last eight matches against Wolfsburg and is coming off a busy week that has taken its toll. The visitors showed improvement in their first match under new coach Bauer. The Green-Whites have nothing to lose anyway, as hardly anyone expects them to score points on the Main.