Will Freiburg get revenge for the 1-4 defeat in the first leg?

It’s a busy week for the hosts, who are now looking for their second win. Accordingly, a Freiburg vs. Cologne tip can also be given, with the hosts clearly favored to win.

The SC has a lot to do. Not only did they get just one point from their last two league games, but they also suffered a clear 1-4 defeat in the first leg against 1. FC Cologne. The latter could close the gap to one point behind Freiburg with an away win. They finally secured a victory again recently against Mainz.

The Freiburg vs. Cologne prediction suggests that it will be a close game, as Cologne will not be traveling to lose. Freiburg also has a double burden this week. On Thursday, they took to the pitch against Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Europa League. They celebrated a lackluster 1-0 victory.

Both teams are playing for three points to improve their position for the second half of the season. Both sides have a number of difficult games coming up in the next few weeks.

At the end of August, Freiburg suffered a 1-4 defeat in Cologne, but now they are looking to get their revenge and have a good chance of doing so. Not least, home advantage is an important factor. They have not lost at home in seven games. In fact, their only home defeat this season came against Augsburg at the start of the season.

Since Freiburg has already scored 17% of its goals in the first 15 minutes, you can bet on a home win with the hosts scoring the first goal of the game.

Freiburg vs. Cologne Prediction AI

Our artificial intelligence is also certain that the hosts will leave the pitch as winners. With a 49.7% probability of victory, the chances are more than good that the home side will take all three points. At the very least, a defeat is unlikely given Freiburg’s home strength. This also fits in with the Freiburg vs. Cologne betting odds.

A defeat for Freiburg, i.e. a victory for the visitors from Cologne, is estimated to have a probability of 26.1%. A draw is only 24.2% likely, making it even less probable. Although the hosts’ victory is not set in stone, only Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich have higher probabilities of winning on this 19th match day.

Freiburg – Statistics & current form

SC Freiburg is having a good season, with the only question currently being whether it will be enough to secure a place in the international rankings at the end of the season. Ahead of the upcoming 19th match day, Freiburg is in 8th place with 24 points, three points behind Eintracht Frankfurt.

After picking up just one point from their last two games, Freiburg now need to be careful not to lose touch with the European places. They are already five points behind sixth place, and Leverkusen have a game in hand.

Otherwise, things are going really well for SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga. They are almost certain to reach the round of 16 in the Europa League, where they have yet to lose a game, and in the DFB Cup they will face Hertha BSC Berlin in the quarterfinals in February.

Home strength speaks for Freiburg

The fact that the Breisgauers are not higher up in the league also has to do with their poor away form this year. They have already suffered five defeats on the road, while they have only lost once at home.

Freiburg has won four of eight home games so far, with three more ending in a draw. Since their only home defeat came in the first game of the season, Freiburg has now gone seven home games in a row without a loss. Across all competitions, that figure stands at twelve home games.

There was another home win on Thursday. Maccabi Tel Aviv was defeated 1-0. Interestingly, Freiburg has lost only one of its last 18 competitive home games against Cologne.

The SC is well positioned offensively and has scored an average of two goals per home game so far. There are seven players in the squad who have scored at least twice. Vincenzo Grifo currently has six goals.

Cologne – Statistics & current form

1. FC Köln can be satisfied with their season so far. After promotion, it is always difficult to find your feet in the Bundesliga and avoid immediately fighting against relegation.

Currently, however, Cologne are not involved in the relegation battle. With 20 points, FC are in tenth place. They are seven points ahead of the relegation play-off spot, so there shouldn’t be much to worry about in the second half of the season. However, they need more wins, like last weekend against Mainz.

After eight games without a win, Cologne finally picked up three points again last weekend. They beat the visitors from Mainz 2-1, securing important points. Sunday will be difficult, as Cologne must be considered the weaker team away from home.

Only two away wins this season

Cologne have only won twice away from home this season. However, they have now gone five away games in a row without a win. This streak is likely to continue in Freiburg.

In any case, Cologne’s away record in Freiburg is anything but outstanding. One advantage this weekend could be that the visitors will be more rested, as they did not have to play during the week.

The offense has been a positive this season, thanks in part to Said El Mala, who has already scored seven goals. However, he is expected to miss this weekend’s game due to illness, which is obviously a disadvantage.

In any case, Cologne’s injury list is longer than Freiburg’s, which will not make the game any easier. An away win would be hugely important at this stage of the season, as it would not only bring them to within one point of Freiburg, but also increase the gap to the relegation places.

Freiburg – Cologne Head-to-head record

Duels between these two teams date back to the 1970s, when they were still in the DFB Cup. From the 1990s onwards, they regularly faced each other in the Bundesliga or 2. Bundesliga. To date, Freiburg has 22 wins and 1. FC Köln has 16.

One of Cologne’s successes was a 4-1 victory in the first leg, in which Freiburg did not look good at all. However, Sunday’s match will be played at the Europa-Park Stadium in Freiburg. In their last 18 home games, across all competitions, Freiburg have only lost once to Cologne.

Freiburg – Cologne Tip

There are many reasons to believe that Freiburg will be successful. For example, they have home advantage. They have only lost one home game this season, while Cologne have dropped a number of points away from home and have not won away in five games.

Freiburg score early goals. Seventeen percent of their goals so far have been scored in the opening quarter of an hour. After taking the lead eight times, Freiburg has won four games. In this combination, you can bet on a home win, with SC scoring the first goal of the game.

Goals are definitely to be expected this weekend, as indicated by the expected goals of 2.7. Freiburg has a good offense at home, but its defense is not rock solid. SC Freiburg has only kept four clean sheets so far, while Cologne has only managed to keep two clean sheets.

For the hosts, this game will determine whether they can close the gap on the European places, which are now several points away. A defeat would be a setback that would be difficult to make up for before the end of the season.