Will Freiburg’s upswing continue?

SC Freiburg is gaining momentum! After a desolate start to the season with two clear defeats against Augsburg and Cologne, the hosts have recently returned to winning ways with two consecutive victories in the league and a triumph against their neighbors from Basel in the Europa League last Wednesday.

One factor behind the hosts’ recent success is the resurgence of Schuster’s team’s offense, which has scored three goals in each of the last two league games. However, the visitors also have a functioning attacking line, which means there should be no shortage of goals in the upcoming match.

This would not be a new pattern anyway: none of SC’s last four home games against Kraichgau ended without goals on both sides and more than two goals. The Freiburg vs. Hoffenheim prediction now aims to continue this series.

Freiburg vs. Hoffenheim prediction AI

Our artificial intelligence has also analyzed the match in Breisgau and found value in the odds for a home win. BETSiE estimates the probability of a SC win at 55.7 percent, which is higher than the odds of 2.27 available at Betano (as of 09/27/2025, 09:52), which corresponds to a probability of only 44.1 percent.

Freiburg – Statistics & current form

SC Freiburg lost a key midfielder in Ritsu Doan in the summer, and his departure initially left a big gap in the team’s attacking play. However, Freiburg’s offense has picked itself up in the last two rounds, scoring six of its eight goals this season.

Furthermore, new signing Igor Matanovic has at least made brief appearances in the last two league games, which were both wins. The Croatian has quickly become a fan favorite, scoring twice on his debut in the prestigious derby against Stuttgart.

A great start, especially considering that he only played for around 15 minutes against Stuttgart. With him on board, the Breisgauers’ offense can undoubtedly be considered stronger again.

In addition, the hosts have a real penalty killer in Noah Atubolu. The SC goalkeeper saved his fifth penalty in a row in the last game against Bremen – a new record in Bundesliga history!

Is the Europa League taking its toll?

However, the home side will be more tired than their opponents against Hoffenheim, as they also had to play Basel in the Europa League this week, as mentioned at the beginning, and the narrow 2-1 victory took a lot out of them.

Against this backdrop, the betting odds for the double chance in favor of the visitors are equally worth considering in the match between Freiburg and Hoffenheim.

The visiting team should also keep a close eye on Vincenzo Grifo in defense. The midfielder has scored 67 goals in 240 Bundesliga games for SC and is only two goals behind Freiburg’s Bundesliga record goalscorer Nils Petersen (69).

What’s more, he has a good record against his upcoming opponents: Grifo has been directly involved in more goals against Augsburg in the Bundesliga (13) than against Hoffenheim (three goals and eight assists).

Hoffenheim – Statistics & current form

TSG have been inconsistent: since their surprise opening win at Leverkusen, they have alternated between wins and defeats. In view of this, another win for the Sinsheim-based club would now be due. In attack, the club from Kraichgau can rely above all on a new signing.

We are talking about Fisnik Asllani, who joined from Elversberg in the 2. Bundesliga in the summer. He scored 18 goals for the Saarland club last season and played a key role in helping SV reach the promotion play-offs.

He also scored once in that game, even though it wasn’t quite enough against Heidenheim in the end. In the Bundesliga, the Kosovar is now seamlessly continuing his great previous season. After four rounds of games, the 23-year-old already has three goals to his name. On top of that, he also scored for his new employer in the cup game against Hansa Rostock.

Will Asllani strike again against Freiburg?

Given his continued efficiency, the odds on his next personal goal celebration in the match between Freiburg and Hoffenheim are also worth considering.

This prediction is backed up by his penchant for away goals. Asllani has scored all four of his goal contributions in this Bundesliga season away from home (three goals and one assist). Only Harry Kane of Bayern Munich has recorded more goal contributions (5) than Asllani on foreign soil in this Bundesliga season!

The visitors can also count on a strong away record at the moment. Under coach Christian Ilzer, TSG have remained unbeaten in their last four Bundesliga away games (2-2-0). This is the longest run under him as coach, and the Kraichgauers have not dropped a point in two away games this season!

TSG continues to wobble defensively

However, the defense remains a work in progress. Hoffenheim has already conceded ten goals in this Bundesliga season. Only Union Berlin (11) has conceded more goals in the league.

In addition, no Bundesliga team has conceded as many goals as TSG (50) since the start of 2023. During this period, Hoffenheim also recorded the fewest clean sheets (2) of all teams that have played in both seasons.

Freiburg – Hoffenheim Head-to-head record / H2H record

TSG have been waiting for their next three points against Freiburg (0-2-5) for seven league games. In addition, the last three away games at SC in league competition ended in defeat and with no fewer than eight goals conceded for the Sinsheimers.

Even looking further back, things don’t get any better for the visitors: TSG have won only one of their last twelve Bundesliga games against Freiburg (1-3-8) – a 2-1 away win in December 2021. For the next edition of Freiburg vs. Hoffenheim, the odds are once again pointing slightly towards another defeat for the visitors.

Freiburg – Hoffenheim Tip

For the clash between Freiburg and Hoffenheim, the tip includes more than two goals and goals for both sides. This is a pattern that has been observed in all four of the visitors’ league games this season and in only one of the home team’s games.

The Black Forest clash will see two currently strong attacking lines face each other. Both teams have an average of two goals per game this season. Another parallel is that the offenses are paired with solid defenses.

Due to this combination, there is no shortage of goals in SC and TSG games. In the visitors’ four league games, an average of 4.5 goals were scored, and in SC’s games, the average is slightly lower at four.

The combined Freiburg vs. Hoffenheim prediction of more than two goals and goals on both sides is further supported by the statistics: the last four home games between the Breisgauers and the Sinsheimers have ended in exactly the same way!