A must-win game for the Rossoneri!
There are only four games left in Serie A and the home side’s season is already over in 13th place, while the visitors from the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium are still fighting for international places. As a result, the away team can be expected to be significantly more motivated. So is it worth betting on Genoa to win away against AC Milan?
Looking at the hosts’ recent results, the answer is positive. Coach Patrick Vieira’s team has picked up just four points in its last five league games and has failed to score more than once in any of those matches.
It is therefore clear that the Rossoblu have already checked out mentally and are looking forward to their upcoming vacation. For the match between Genoa and AC Milan, the prediction is now also for an away win.
Genoa vs. AC Milan AI prediction
Our artificial intelligence has also looked at the match at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris and found value in the odds for “Both teams to score: No.” BETSiE puts the probability of this outcome at 55.1 percent, which is higher than the odds of 1.92 offered by Bet365, which translates to a probability of 52.1 percent. In light of this difference, the Genoa vs. AC Milan AI prediction is that a maximum of one team will score a goal.
Genoa – Statistics & current form
CFC is a gray mouse in Serie A. Last season, the club from “Marassi” finished eleventh, and this season Genoa is once again in no man’s land in 13th place. The hosts have mainly brought their mediocre position upon themselves with a harmless attack.
After 34 games, the Ligurian side have scored no more than 29 goals, a tally surpassed only by the four teams at the bottom of Serie A! The offensive slump has recently worsened, with Il Grifone failing to score in four of their last five league games.
No goals again for Genoa?
Against this backdrop, the odds for an away win to nil in the match between Genoa and AC Milan are also recommended and can be claimed at Bet365. The bookmaker also offers a fair Bet365 new customer bonus, which includes up to $100 in “bet credits”!
The hosts cannot count on home advantage either. After 17 home league games, their record is only balanced, with five wins, five defeats, and seven draws.
Furthermore, Genoa’s home league games have been relatively low-scoring, with an average of 2.2 goals and only six of the 17 home games ending with more than 2.5 goals. Another characteristic of the hosts in front of their own fans this season is that Genoa find it difficult to get into games on their own turf. So far, the home side have not been ahead at half-time more than once!
AC Milan – Statistics & current form
AC Milan cannot be satisfied with their performance this season, as they are currently only in ninth place. Now, however, the Rossoneri want to at least challenge for the international places and make up their current six-point deficit in the final four games.
Il Diavolo’s form has also been on the up recently, with two wins from their last three league games. The offense has been particularly impressive, scoring seven goals in this period.
Milan with momentum from the Coppa Italia
The team led by Portuguese coach Sérgio Conceição has gained a lot of confidence by reaching the Coppa Italia final. What’s more, they did so against Inter Milan, the champions and arch-rivals from their own city!
The visitors won the second leg against the Nerazzurri 3-0, which fits in with the image of a team that is currently strong in attack. In the match between Genoa and AC Milan, betting odds on more than one goal for the visitors are therefore also worth considering. They are available at Betano, which is one of the sports betting providers that accepts Paysafecard.
Gimenez can still score goals
From the perspective of the country’s 19-time champions, it is also encouraging that new signing Santiago Tomas Gimenez recently scored against Venice, ending a goal drought of more than a month and nine competitive games. This is a very unusual slump for the Mexican, who scored 23 goals for his previous employer Feyenoord Rotterdam last season and finished third in the Dutch top flight’s scoring charts.
Before his move during the current season, he had also scored seven goals in eleven league games for the club from the Maas. However, he now seems to be struggling to adapt to the higher level of Serie A. Three goals in eleven league games so far represent a clear drop in his goal ratio from the Eredivisie.
Genoa – AC Milan Head-to-head record / H2H record
Milan is certainly not Genoa’s favorite opponent. The hosts have been waiting for a win in this fixture for eight league and Coppa Italia matches.
Instead, more than half (five) of these encounters ended in defeat for the Ligurian hosts against the five-time Coppa Italia winners. Looking at the Genoa vs. AC Milan odds for the next edition of this duel, it is clear that the bookmakers expect this streak to continue in favor of the visitors.
Genoa – AC Milan prediction
For the showdown between Genoa and AC Milan, the prediction is a win for the visitors. The club from the “Scala del Calcio” is fundamentally the stronger team and clearly more motivated at this late stage of the season.
The home side are only mid-table and have no sporting goals left in the Italian top flight this season. This has been evident recently, with CFC failing to score in their last three games.
The situation is quite different for AC Milan. Admittedly, they are six points away from the international places, but the three-time World Cup winners have not given up hope of reaching them and will therefore be playing for victory.
Although the visitors could still qualify for the Europa League by winning the Coppa Italia, Milan does not want to rely on such a gamble. The betting base’s prediction of a win for Genoa against AC Milan is supported not least by the statistics: AC has won five of its last six away games at CFC (5-1-0)!