Will BVB stumble against Heidenheim too?
The Bundesliga is back! After the international break, the top teams in the German top flight are under pressure, as they need to avoid slip-ups against smaller teams in the race for Champions League places.
Teams that don’t have to send most of their squad away for international matches certainly always have a slight advantage in such games when the season restarts. Nevertheless, the Swabians’ two performances so far have been less than convincing, which is why we do not expect the underdogs to score any points in our Heidenheim vs. Dortmund prediction. Admittedly, BVB are much more vulnerable away from home than at home and slipped up in their first away game of the new season at St. Pauli.
On the other hand, the hosts’ home misery, which has been going on since the start of the coming season, makes us doubt Schmidt’s team’s chances of winning a point even more than BVB’s weakness in foreign stadiums makes us doubt their chances of an away win.
Heidenheim vs. Dortmund prediction AI
Lo and behold, our AI lady BETSiE believes that the offensively weak Swabians will score a goal in their home game against BVB following the departure of Leo Scienza in her Heidenheim vs. Dortmund AI prediction (xG value 1.04). The visitors from Westphalia, on the other hand, have an xG value of 2.08, which is why, according to BETSiE, a bet on both teams scoring and more than two goals in the upcoming match is interesting.
According to the Heidenheim vs. Dortmund AI prediction, there is no value to be found on the normal three-way market. The probabilities for the outcome of the game calculated by BETSiE largely coincide with the bookmakers’ odds.
Heidenheim – Statistics & current form
It’s going to be tough for 1. FC Heidenheim in the early stages of the new season. After losing their first two games against Wolfsburg and Leipzig, Champions League participants Dortmund are coming to Schlossberg this Saturday, and points are not necessarily expected against them either.
How much can Heidenheim offer against the favorites?
The Swabians’ transfer policy during this transfer window is difficult for outside observers to understand. After the Brenzstadt team barely managed to save themselves from relegation last season, the squad has hardly been strengthened. With goalkeeper Diant Ramaj, Leart Paçarada, and Bayern loan player Arijon Ibrahimovic, only three new players found their way to Heidenheim. In addition, playmaker Leo Scienza was transferred to Southampton last week, further weakening the team.
Good for the bank account, bad for the team, especially since there is no adequate replacement available. With Scienza, FCH loses its most dangerous offensive player. In addition, the Brazilian was one of the few players who made a difference for the small club from the Ostalb region and also one of the few offensive players who could bring creativity and moments of surprise to Schmidt’s team.
That’s another reason why we’re betting on an away win for Dortmund in Heidenheim. Added to this is the home weakness of coach Frank Schmidt’s team. Heidenheim has won only one of its last ten home games (1-1-8), and that was against relegated Holstein Kiel. Since the beginning of last season, no team has suffered more home defeats (13), and only St. Pauli scored fewer goals in home games in the top flight (13) than Heidenheim (14) during this period.
Dortmund – Statistics & current form
Niko Kovac has got BVB back on track. The reward for his work was a contract extension until 2027, which is also a sign of the club management’s confidence in the Croatian. However, in their first away game, his team showed the mentality problem that is so often discussed at BVB and let St. Pauli snatch victory from their grasp after leading 3-1.
Will Dortmund slip up again away from home?
Of course, this should not be repeated in Heidenheim. And if Kovac’s team quickly gets back on track after the international break, we see few reasons why the betting odds for an away win at Heidenheim against Dortmund should not pay off after a successful Bet-at-Home registration. Borussia are now unbeaten in ten Bundesliga games across two seasons, winning eight of those, while the Swabians have been desolate at home on the Schlossberg in recent weeks and months.
Incidentally, only Bayern have picked up more points than BVB during this period. Could Dortmund have a say in the title race this season? Above all, BVB must win the games against the smaller teams in the league. In the past, this has not always been possible, especially away from home – keyword: mentality! If BVB brings this to the pitch, nothing should stand in the way of an away win. Because the question of who has the better team on the pitch will not even arise this coming Saturday.
Heidenheim – Dortmund Head-to-head record
There have been a total of four Bundesliga matches between these two teams so far. The smaller FCH has never won. While the Swabians managed to hold their own in their first season, remaining unbeaten against the big favorites on both occasions, Frank Schmidt’s team suffered two defeats against the Black and Yellows last season. It’s clear that the Heidenheim vs. Dortmund prediction for the upcoming match is therefore leaning towards the Westphalians.
Heidenheim – Dortmund Tip
Following the departure of Leo Scienza, quite a few experts believe that 1. FC Heidenheim’s squad is not ready for the Bundesliga this season. Of course, there are still many points to be awarded in this young season, but in our Heidenheim vs. Dortmund tip, we do not expect the Swabians to score their first points of the new season this coming Saturday. After all, they are facing a Borussia team in top form.
For the first time in Bundesliga history, Borussia Dortmund has scored at least three goals in seven consecutive games. And it is by no means out of the question that they will add an eighth game to this streak against the Brenzstädter. The Swabians’ defense has been vulnerable recently, with five goals conceded by new Heidenheim keeper Diant Ramaj, who will face his old club on Saturday. Heidenheim conceded nine big chances to their opponents in the first two matchdays; only FCA (12) has been worse in this respect, but they faced Bayern on the last matchday.
Dortmund, on the other hand, created the most big chances (8) after Bayern (15) in the first two matchdays. The Swabians, on the other hand, have been less effective in attack so far, which is why we would not rule out a clean sheet victory for BVB. They scored only one goal in the first two matchdays, courtesy of a free kick from Scienza, who has since left the club. In fact, the Brazilian has scored three of FCH’s six competitive goals so far this season and set up all three of Heidenheim’s big chances in this Bundesliga season.
All in all, we expect a clear victory for the favorites this Saturday. The decisive factor will be how well BVB performs after the international break. Therefore, our tip for the upcoming match is that more goals will be scored in the second half.
In fact, it could take a while for the black and yellow engine to get back up to speed. Heidenheim is likely to focus largely on defense and will have to be worn down before gaps appear in the tight Swabian defense. Defensively, Dortmund is unlikely to face much danger from the harmless offense of the Ostälbler.
