Can Heidenheim pull off a miracle escape?
What a strong finish to the season for 1. FC Heidenheim. Thanks to their away win at Union Berlin last week, they have at least secured a place in the relegation play-offs. And if Heidenheim beat Werder Bremen at home, they could even secure direct survival. However, Schmidt’s side would need help from German champions Bayern Munich to do so.
Their upcoming opponent, on the other hand, squandered their chance to finish seventh and possibly qualify for European competition with a scoreless draw against Leipzig last matchday. Even if Heidenheim’s prediction of an away win against Werder Bremen comes true and Leipzig loses at the same time, the Saxons would still have the better goal difference.
Heidenheim vs. Werder Bremen prediction AI
The Heidenheim vs. Werder Bremen AI prediction considers the bookmakers’ odds for an away win to be too high. According to BETSiE, the odds for an away win should be around 2.25, which is why there is value in betting on an away win.
In addition, the AI, like us, expects both teams to score on Saturday and for there to be more than two goals in the game. While the home team has an xG value of 1.19, the visitors’ xG value is 1.4.
Heidenheim – Statistics & current form
Being knocked out of the Conference League has clearly done Frank Schmidt’s team good. Since the Swabians have had the unusual double burden behind them, the Bundesliga trend has been clearly upward. With one matchday left in the season, it is already certain that FCH will at least have the chance to stay up via the relegation play-offs.
Next FCH victory?
One thing is clear: if the Brenzstadt team had only played at home on the Brenz this season, the outlook would be bleak. The team, which was so strong at home last season, has picked up just eleven points in front of their home crowd this season. No team in the Bundesliga has performed worse at home this year.
The mere twelve goals scored at the Voith Arena are also the second-worst tally for a home team in the Bundesliga this season. However, the history against their upcoming opponents gives them hope of improving their record at home. Three of the four home games against Bremen have gone to the Swabians, who are even unbeaten at home against the Green-Whites (3-1-0).
Nevertheless, due to this year’s poor home record, a Heidenheim vs. Werder Bremen tip for a home win is not our first choice, but rather an option for the exclusive free bet at Winamax, which can be claimed with the bonus code “BRUTAL10.” Rather than a home win, we expect to see a few goals at the Voith Arena this Saturday. This is because Heidenheim’s offense has been in good form recently and Bremen’s defense is still prone to conceding goals.
Heidenheim itself has been surprisingly solid in recent weeks after conceding a flood of goals in the second half of the season, but Bremen’s offense has rarely been stopped in away games this year. The visitors have only failed to score in three away games in the league.
Werder Bremen – Statistics & current form
The dream is over on the Weser! The goalless draw against Leipzig was ultimately not enough to overtake the Saxons in the table. In all likelihood, there will be no European football in Bremen next season. Werder had raised hopes in recent weeks that they could achieve more this season with some strong performances.
Next away win for Bremen?
Ole Werner’s team has been particularly strong on the road recently, as it has been throughout the season. They have picked up an impressive ten points from their last four away games, including wins at Leverkusen and Stuttgart. It is therefore understandable that the betting odds for Heidenheim against Werder Bremen with Klarna are predicting a very even match at the Schlossberg.
However, the Voith Arena has not been a happy hunting ground for the North Germans so far. In four attempts, there has not yet been a victory on the Brenz. And the hosts from Swabia have the greater motivation to win the upcoming match anyway. That’s why we’re refraining from a Heidenheim vs. Werder Bremen tip for an away win – despite the Green-Whites’ convincing performances in foreign stadiums this season.
Heidenheim – Werder Bremen Head-to-head record / H2H record
The two teams have faced each other nine times in total, with the record surprisingly in Heidenheim’s favor. The Swabians have four wins to Werder’s two. The points have been shared three times in this duel.
The North Germans have never won at the Voith Arena. In four attempts at the Brenz, they have suffered three defeats and only managed one draw. Nevertheless, the betting odds for Heidenheim against Werder Bremen only slightly favor the Swabian hosts.
Heidenheim – Werder Bremen Tip
Bremen wants to finish the season on a high note, while Heidenheim has already achieved its minimum goal of a relegation spot thanks to a strong finish to the season. With a win, Schmidt’s team could even pull off the miracle of direct salvation. The question of which team will show the greater passion for victory on the pitch this Saturday should therefore not arise in our Heidenheim vs. Werder Bremen tip.
However, in order to achieve the necessary victory, Schmidt’s team must overcome the weaknesses they have often shown in home games this season. Bremen is one of the strongest away teams in the league. If they can do that, however, FCH, who have been in good form in recent weeks, should be capable of extending their unbeaten run against Werder Bremen at the Voith Arena.
Ultimately, though, both teams have little to lose in the upcoming duel. A defeat would change little for either side in terms of their final position. Therefore, both teams are likely to play freely. In any case, only a big win would be enough for Heidenheim to secure their survival.
As both teams can play without any major pressure to win, we expect a lively, attacking game at the Schlossberg in our Heidenheim vs. Werder Bremen prediction. In any case, there has always been plenty of action when the Green-Whites have been on the road this season. It is no coincidence that twelve of Werder’s 16 away games have featured more than two goals, but rather a reflection of coach Ole Werner’s style of play. That’s why our main tip is over 3.5 goals at Betano at odds of 2.15.