Will the Eagles remain winless in the 2026 calendar year?
Maurizio Sarri originally returned to the capital club with a clear goal. He wanted to get the Eagles flying again on the European stage. However, ahead of our Hellas Verona vs. Lazio Rome tip, the mood among the 66-year-old and the club officials is gloomy.
With a 2-2 draw against Fiorentina, the Biancocelesti finished the first half of the season in ninth place in the table, eight points behind Como in sixth. Sarri was also recently annoyed by the sale of two key players. Offensive artists Valentin “Taty” Castellanos (West Ham) and Matteo Guendouzi (Fenerbahce) have brought money into the coffers, but have diminished the prospects of an away win in the Hellas Verona vs. Lazio Rome prediction.
The confidence of the best betting providers in the capital club has fallen. This is quite clear from the Hellas Verona – Lazio Rome odds. Although the Eagles are facing a relegation candidate, their odds of winning are 2.30 and higher.
Sarri’s team is currently on a negative run of four consecutive league games without a win (3D, 1L). Uncharacteristic for Sarri’s teams is the limited output of the offensive department. Lazio has scored only 20 goals in 19 games (13th) and, with 20.7 xG (14th), is one of the weaker expected offenses in Serie A.
The Biancocelesti create too few scoring chances, especially away from home. The ninth-placed team has scored only 25 percent of its goals this season (5/20) on the road. The visitors usually secure points through a stable defense (16 goals conceded). Away from home, the Eagles have conceded only seven goals in nine games.
Fans may soon start avoiding home games of their favorite team when the visitors from the Italian capital come to town. On average, Sarri’s protégés have scored the fewest goals per away game in the league (1.33 per game).
Hellas Verona – Lazio Rome Head-to-head record
Let’s rewind a few months and look at the two head-to-head matches from last season. Lazio Rome won both games comfortably, keeping a clean sheet in each (3-0, 4-0). Including the two matches from the 2023/2024 season, the Eagles have won the last four encounters, three of them without conceding a goal.
As in the previous year, Paolo Zanetti is on the bench for the hosts. The 43-year-old is fighting against relegation (18th) with his team and plays classic underdog football. No other team crosses the field faster in possession than the Gialloblu (2.04 m/s). However, their sometimes hectic approach to attacking has not resulted in many goals (15 goals in 18 games this season).
Hellas Verona – Lazio Rome Tip
As we have come to expect from Maurizio Sarri, he expects his team to build up play in a structured manner. Lots of short passes are intended to open up central spaces and allow the players to penetrate the opponent’s penalty area. No other team covers less ground on average when in possession than Lazio (1.54 m/s).
This means that high-percentage finishes are still too rare. Like Hellas Verona, the professionals from the Italian capital take their shots with an average value of 0.10 expected goals. That’s not enough if they want to make their way back into European soccer.
The structured style of play with lots of short passes definitely has one positive side effect: the Eagles’ goal isn’t threatened too often, and there are clear procedures for dealing with turnovers in build-up play, which have worked pretty well so far. Sarri’s team has finished almost half of its league games this season without conceding a goal (47 percent). On the other side, Zanetti’s players have failed to score in eight of 19 matches (44 percent).
