Can Hellas Verona break free?

A look at the odds distribution at the bookmaker we tested, bet365, shows that there is no clear favorite in this match. The odds for both teams to win are 2.80. However, looking at the table for Italy’s top division, the picture is slightly different.

The visitors have picked up 26 points in their first 21 league games and are already twelve points ahead. Logically, this is also reflected in the standings, as the visiting team is firmly in mid-table (10th), while the home team is threatened with relegation (20th). So why do the Hellas Verona vs. Udinese odds suggest a fairly even match?

We want to take a closer look at this question in our Hellas Verona vs. Udinese prediction and ultimately answer it. To do this, we will first look at the home and away records of the two teams to see whether home advantage will play a role in this case. The answer is clear, because with only six points from ten home games, “I Mastini” are anything but strong at home.

In fact, there is no team in Serie A that has earned fewer points in front of their home crowd. Even the visitors’ away record is significantly better, with 13 points from ten games. So, the first two paragraphs already reveal an initial trend. However, we are not yet at the point where we can confidently present a betting tip.

The Hellas Verona vs. Udinese tip for a point for the visiting team also seems to be the obvious choice after looking at the form comparison. The Yellow-Blues have won only two competitive games this season, remaining winless in over 91% of their matches. Even in the two cup games against Cerignola and Venezia, Paolo Zanetti’s team was unable to secure the three points.

Even the mixed form of the visitors, who have “only” managed to pick up eight points in their last seven games, is already looking good. If we then take into account that there were three defeats against Inter, Como, and Fiorentina, the Zebras can hardly be blamed.

Hellas Verona – Udinese Head-to-head record

So for us, the question remains as to why the Hellas Verona vs. Udinese betting odds are so even. For this reason, we now turn to the H2H comparison. At first glance, however, this does not paint a different picture, as 15 wins in 47 matches cannot really outweigh the aforementioned disadvantages of the home team.

Now comes the big “but.” The Blue and Yellows have remained undefeated in their last six games. This is probably the main reason why the bookmakers were so conservative in their odds distribution. However, that alone is not enough for us, as the hosts have played much better soccer in recent years than they have this season.

Hellas Verona – Udinese  Tip

Based on the facts mentioned so far, we recommend the Hellas Verona vs. Udinese betting tip for a point win for the away team in combination with under 4.5 goals in the game.

The visitors not only have better individual players, but are also in better form. In addition, Kosta Runjaic’s team has earned more points away from home than the Blue and Yellows have at their own stadium. Apart from the series of six winless matches, there is nothing to argue against the visiting team. So now the only question is why we expect few goals. The answer is simple: because neither team has much quality in attack. Alternatively, you could also add the Hellas Verona vs. Udinese odds for “both teams to score – no” to your betting slip. The two teams lack quality in attack, which is why only four goals have been scored in the last four matches. In three of the four encounters, one of the two teams failed to score. We would therefore not be surprised if this were to be the case in the upcoming match as well.