Will there be a change at the top of the table in the Derby della Madonnina?

For the 245th time in history, the prestigious Derby della Madonnina will take place on Sunday evening in the Lombard capital, with nothing less than the top spot in the table at stake. Inter leads Serie A with 24 points, but is only two points ahead of the Rossoneri.

So if Inter Milan lose to AC Milan, Il Diavolo would at least overtake their city rivals. In fact, there are currently only three points separating first and fifth place in Italy’s top flight.

Interestingly, the Rossoneri have not lost any of their last five derbies against Inter (three wins, two draws). Overall, “Il Diavolo” are extremely difficult to beat under Massimiliano Allegri. The 1-2 defeat to Cremonese on the first matchday was AC Milan’s only defeat of the season, and they go into the derby on an eleven-game unbeaten run (seven wins, four draws). However, Inter Milan are playing exciting attacking football under Cristian Chivu, which could also be a factor. Given this background, we expect goals to be scored, so the Inter Milan vs. AC Milan prediction that both teams will score covers the widest range of possible outcomes.

Nevertheless, it should be noted that not only does the recent record slightly favor AC Milan, but also the fact that the Rossoneri, despite their strong squad, are not represented internationally and can therefore concentrate fully on Serie A. This is reflected in consistent results, while the Nerazzurri have already lost three times.

So if you’re not afraid to take a risk, you can get odds of 1.87 for the double chance X2 on Inter Milan vs. AC Milan, which also promises a positive expected value.

Inter Milan – AC Milan Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

Head to head: 91 – 71 – 82

The Derby della Madonnina has been played a total of 244 times, with Inter Milan still leading the way with 91 wins, although the Rossoneri have been catching up noticeably recently. AC Milan are currently unbeaten in five Milan derbies against the Nerazzurri (three wins, two draws) and have also won the last two games at the shared Giuseppe Meazza stadium, where the Biscione had home advantage.

Inter Milan – AC Milan Tip

In our opinion, the betting odds for Inter Milan against AC Milan are leaning far too heavily in favor of Cristian Chivu’s team. Bet365 is offering odds of just 1.90 for tip 1, but 4.00 for tip 2. This does not do justice to the recent results, nor does it take into account the fact that the Rossoneri are difficult to beat and go into the Derby della Madonnina with an unbeaten run of eleven competitive games (seven wins, four draws).

From a mathematical point of view, it would therefore even be justifiable to bet on the underdog, which is already in the value range with a probability of 26 percent.

It is also interesting to note that two concepts clash in the Derby della Madonnina. While the Rossoneri under Massimiliano Allegri strive above all for consistent results and are adaptable, the Nerazzurri under Cristian Chivu play aggressive attacking soccer, which has already produced 26 goals in eleven league games, but also the first three defeats.

Accordingly, it is interesting to bet on both teams scoring in Inter Milan vs. AC Milan. We are placing this bet at Bet365 at odds of 1.72 with five out of ten units.