A clear win for the favorites?

The Giuseppe Meazza Stadium will host the first ever meeting between Inter Milan and Kairat Almaty on Wednesday evening. Last year’s Champions League finalists have had a flawless league campaign so far, winning all three games without conceding a goal. This puts the Italians in third place in the table with a goal difference of 9:0. The visitors from Kazakhstan, on the other hand, are in 34th place with a goal difference of 1:9 and one point.

Inter Milan have been flawless in the Champions League so far and are also back on track in their domestic Serie A. At the weekend, they secured a 2-1 win against Hellas Verona, putting the Milanese side in second place in Serie A with 21 points – level on points with Milan and Roma (third and fourth). Hakan Calhanoglu has been Inter’s key player recently, scoring in three of the last four games, including the last Champions League game against Union St. Gilloise. In Inter Milan’s upcoming game against Almaty, we’re tipping another goal from the Turkish player.

Almaty, on the other hand, is struggling with the high quality of the competition and has only managed to pick up one point against a decimated Pafos. The odds clearly favor the favorites, who have also not conceded a goal. After victories against Ajax (2-0), Prague (3-0), and Union (4-0), will a 5-0 win against Almaty follow?

Inter Milan vs. Almaty Prediction AI

With such a clear division of roles, it is of course more difficult to place a bet with good value. Inter are expected to win the game with a 50% probability and an Asian handicap of -3.25. Since Kairat conceded nine goals against Sporting and Madrid and Inter have yet to concede a goal, we are betting on an Inter home win with a handicap of 0:3.

Inter Milan – Statistics & current form

Inter goes into its first duel with Kairat with confidence – and is making history at the same time, as this is the first ever meeting between an Italian and a Kazakh club in a European competition. The Milanese are currently in outstanding form: they have won nine of their last ten Champions League games against new opponents, the only exception being last year’s 5-0 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain in the final.

Inter have been virtually impenetrable defensively in the group stage. The team has kept a clean sheet in nine of its last ten group games – more often than any other team in the current competition. No club has recorded more clean sheets in the group or league phase since the start of last season. As we also believe in another clean sheet, we expect Inter to score at least four goals again to win the Inter Milan vs. Almaty tip with a handicap of 0:3.

Chivu on the verge of a historic record

Coach Cristian Chivu’s team is also delivering offensively. With a 4-0 win over Union Saint-Gilloise, Inter celebrated the highest victory in its Champions League history and has already scored nine goals in the first three group games – as many as in the 2010/11 season, when it was the defending champion. In our Inter Milan vs. Almaty prediction, we are also tipping another victory for the Italians in both halves, as in their first three CL group games.

Chivu is also on the verge of a historic milestone: he could become the first coach since Hansi Flick in 2020 to win his first four Champions League games as a coach – and the first ever to do so without conceding a goal. Lautaro Martínez has played a key role in this success, with 24 goals in the Champions League, putting him just behind three Argentine players: Lionel Messi, Sergio Agüero, and Hernán Crespo. With eleven goals in his last ten European Cup games, he is currently one of the most prolific strikers on the continent. Another goal from the Argentine is priced at 1.50 in the Inter Milan vs. Almaty match.

Almaty – Statistics & current form

For Kairat Almaty, the current Champions League season is a historic but difficult adventure so far. The Kazakhs are undergoing a steep learning curve in their debut year on the big stage and are still winless after three games (one draw, two defeats).

The team has scored only one goal so far, while conceding nine – a record that puts them in line with previous debutants such as Levski Sofia in 2006, MSK Zilina in 2010, and Nordsjælland in 2012, who also had only one goal and more than ten conceded after four games. The problem is particularly evident in attack: Kairat has the worst conversion rate of any team in the competition, with only 2.4 percent of their shots on target (42 shots, one goal).

Almaty too harmless in attack

The recent 0-0 draw against Pafos also highlighted the offensive difficulties. Despite having a numerical advantage for almost 90 minutes – Pafos had a player sent off in the fourth minute – Kairat failed to score. At least goalkeeper Temirlan Anarbekov was able to shine: With five saves on his debut, the 22-year-old became the fourth-youngest keeper in the last 20 years to keep a clean sheet in his first Champions League appearance. We don’t expect a clean sheet this time in our prediction for the match between Inter Milan and Almaty, at least not from the Kazakhs.

This defensive snapshot was one of the few bright spots in an otherwise difficult group stage. Against Inter, Kairat will now try to hold their own with a compact and courageous performance – even if the statistics clearly speak against the underdogs. If you think the visitors will score at least one goal, as they did against Sporting, you can secure Inter Milan vs. Almaty odds of 2.59 for that.

Inter Milan – Almaty Head-to-head record

There has never been a direct duel between the two clubs before.

Inter Milan – Almaty Tip

Inter are the clear favorites going into this game, having won all three of their CL games without conceding a goal. In addition, the Italians have won nine of their last CL games against new opponents and have kept a clean sheet in nine of their last ten CL games in the league phase across two seasons. In Hakan Calhanoglu, they also have a prolific striker in their ranks, who has scored in three of the last four games.

Almaty, on the other hand, conceded nine goals in their first two matchdays against the top teams from Lisbon and Madrid and failed to score against Pafos. The Kazakhs have made a historically poor start to the Champions League with a goal difference of 1:9 and one point after three games, and also have the worst scoring rate of any team in the competition.