Will the Gunners remain unstoppable?

Both teams earned a full twelve points in the first four matchdays of the Champions League group stage. While Arsenal FC also won the following two games and therefore tops the current Champions League table, the Nerazzurri then suffered two defeats in a row. However, Inter still occupy sixth place and, as things stand, would have avoided the intermediate round. But if Inter Milan lose to Arsenal, who have been flawless so far, the Biscione (Italian for “poisonous snake”) could slip out of the top eight.

It is striking that this match pits the two best defenses in the competition against each other. While the Nerazzurri conceded only four goals in the first six matchdays of the Champions League group stage, the Gunners conceded just one. Accordingly, it makes sense to predict that a maximum of two goals will be scored in this top match between Inter Milan and Arsenal, which does not rule out a possible home win for the Italians, who already beat the North Londoners 1-0 at the Giuseppe Meazza in the league phase last season.

Although things have been going really well for FC Internazionale at the national level recently, they have suffered two consecutive defeats in the Champions League, while the Gunners have been historically strong with 18 out of a possible 18 points and a goal difference of +16 (17:1). Our tendency is therefore definitely towards the visitors.

Inter Milan vs. Arsenal AI prediction

AI sees the Gunners as having the advantage in Lombardy. Accordingly, the AI prediction for Inter Milan vs. Arsenal is an away win for the Londoners, which is priced at 2.65 at Interwetten. This implies a probability of 37.7 percent. However, AI calculates that Mikel Arteta’s team has a 44.7 percent chance of winning at the Giuseppe Meazza. That is significantly higher and therefore generates a really high level of value.

Inter Milan – Statistics & current form

Inter Milan had a good season in 2024/25, but ultimately missed out on all titles. In Serie A, they finished one point behind champions Napoli. In the Champions League, they suffered a crushing 5-0 defeat to PSG in the final. And in the Coppa Italia, they were knocked out in the semifinals by city rivals AC Milan. As a result, there were changes on the coaching bench in the summer. Cristian Chivu’s debut season will only be evaluated at the end, but the Nerazzurri are currently on track in all respects.

In Serie A, the Biscione are top of the table, and in the Champions League, despite two defeats in a row, they still have a chance of finishing in the top eight on their own, and in the Coppa Italia, FC Internazionale are still in contention and are the clear favorites in the quarterfinals against Turin FC in front of their home crowd at the beginning of February.

Will Inter Milan build on their last home win against Arsenal?

The Nerazzurri beat the Gunners 1-0 at the Giueappe Meazza in the CL league phase last season, although they have lost two of their last three European home games against English teams – as many as in their previous ten games against Premier League representatives (five wins, three draws).

In addition to a compact defense, however, the Lombards will need Lautaro Martínez to be in top form again to secure a home win. Since the beginning of 2025, he has scored the most Champions League home goals in Europe (eight, the same as Serhou Guirassy) and has thus been responsible for as many of his team’s home goals during this period as all other Inter players combined (eight goals from seven different players).

Arsenal – Statistics & current form

Arsenal FC was already on the verge of finally rewarding itself with something tangible for its good work over the years last season. However, 2026 could finally be the year of the Gunners, who missed out on an away win at Nottingham Forest in the Premier League at the weekend (final score: 0-0), but have 50 points to their name after 22 matchdays, giving them a seven-point lead over their closest rivals Manchester City and Aston Villa.

The Gunners have won all six games they have played, scoring 17 goals and conceding just one, making them by far the best defense in the competition.

Arsenal on a dry spell in Italy

If the Londoners win again when Inter Milan take on Arsenal, the 13-time English champions will have set a new club record. The Gunners have never before won seven games in a row in the European Cup.

However, their recent mixed record in Italy suggests otherwise. Away to Serie A sides, the North Londoners have been waiting for another win since a 2-0 victory at AC Milan in March 2008, with five games since then resulting in one draw and four defeats, and not a single away goal scored. Nevertheless, with a six-point lead over ninth place, a 0-0 draw at the Giuseppe Meazza would secure their place in the round of 16.

Inter Milan – Arsenal Head-to-head record

Head to head: 2 – 0 – 1

A total of three international competitive matches have been played between the two teams so far, who first met in the 2003/04 season in the preliminary round of the UEFA Champions League. At that time, a 3-0 away win for the Nerazzurri was followed by a 5-1 away win for the Gunners, before the two teams met again in the 2024/25 season in the league phase. After two wins for the away team, Inter Milan prevailed 1-0 against Arsenal FC in front of their home crowd in November 2024 and thus leads the head-to-head comparison with two wins.

Inter Milan – Arsenal Tip

The Londoners have struggled in Italy recently, failing to win any of their last five European away games here (one draw, four defeats). Nevertheless, the Gunners are flying high in 2025/26, as evidenced by their maximum haul of 18 points and a goal difference of 17:1.

Accordingly, the prediction for Inter Milan vs. Arsenal is that Arteta’s team will take all three points at the Giuseppe Meazza, especially since the Nerazzurri have lost two games in a row after four consecutive wins at the start of the season.

It is striking that this match pits the two best defenses in the competition against each other. The Biscione have conceded only four goals in six games in the CL league phase. The Gunners have conceded only one. Since a draw would also help the visitors to secure early qualification for the round of 16, we expect a low-scoring match in Lombardy.

We therefore recommend betting on under 2.5 goals, for which Betano offers odds of 1.83 for Inter Milan vs. Arsenal, which we are betting on with four out of ten units.

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