Will the Giallorossi spoil the party?

Following a temporary slump in form at SSC Napoli, Inter Milan looked like certain champions. But then the Nerazzurri also hit a slight dip in form. The Lombards have not won in their last three competitive games (one draw, two defeats), which is why a home win for the defending champions is by no means a foregone conclusion in Inter Milan vs. AS Roma. After all, the visitors from the Eternal City are in extremely good form going into the match at the Giuseppe Meazza.

AS Roma are now unbeaten in 17 Serie A games (12 wins, five draws) and have returned to seventh place in the table. There are still 15 points up for grabs and they are only three points behind fourth place. It would therefore be very important for the Wolves that Inter Milan against AS Roma ends in another point against the Nerazzurri.

The statistics generally favor the Lombards, who have won their last four competitive games against AS Roma and eight of their last nine direct encounters (one defeat). However, Inter Milan have struggled against the Wolves at home on several occasions. They have won only six of their last 16 competitive home games against the Giallorossi (five draws, five defeats). The Nerazzurri are therefore in danger of losing their lead in the table.

Inter Milan – Statistics & current form

Inter Milan seem to be throwing away their chances in the final stretch of the 2024/25 season. The Nerazzurri did manage to reach the semi-finals of the Champions League, where they face a difficult away game at FC Barcelona next week. However, they missed out on a place in the Coppa Italia final on Wednesday evening after a crushing 3-0 defeat in the Derby della Madonnina against AC Milan.

As if that weren’t enough, they also suffered a 0-1 defeat at Bologna FC last Sunday, which means their three-point lead in the championship is now gone. If Inter Milan fail to win at home against AS Roma, Napoli could seize the opportunity a day later and take the lead in the table with a home win against Torino FC.

Is the team too old to keep up the pace?

However, the packed schedule remains a problem. One English week follows another, and considering that many of Simone Inzaghi’s key players are already at an advanced age in soccer, the tightly scheduled games are clearly taking their toll. Notable examples include goalkeeper Yann Sommer (36) and Francesco Acerbi (37), who will probably have to play at center back in this important match against AS Roma due to Alessandro Bastoni’s suspension. On Wednesday evening, the average age of Inter’s starting eleven in the Coppa Italia semi-final was once again 28.8 years.

Nevertheless, the results prove the team right overall, as they have won twelve of their 16 Serie A home games in the 2024/25 season (three draws, one defeat) and, with 37 goals, also have the strongest home attack in Italy’s top flight. Nevertheless, the Biscione (Italian for “poisonous snake”) has won only two of its last seven competitive games (three draws, two defeats), which means the Nerazzurri still have a lot of work to do if they are to successfully defend their Scudetto title.

AS Roma – Statistics & current form

AS Roma found themselves fighting relegation from Serie A in late autumn under De Rossi’s successor Ivan Juric, prompting the club’s management to make a second change on the bench and bring in veteran coach Claudio Ranieri. It was a decision that paid off relatively quickly. There were some teething problems, but However, the Giallorossi got rolling in the winter and started a sensational comeback.

The team from the Eternal City is now unbeaten in 17 consecutive Serie A games (twelve wins, five draws). A haul of 41 points from a possible 51 has catapulted “La Lupa” (the wolf) out of the bottom third of the table to seventh place. Even the Champions League is suddenly conceivable again, with only three points separating them from fourth place. However, the Wolves cannot afford to slacken in the final sprint. Five games are still to be played, with 15 points still up for grabs. It will probably take a near-perfect haul to qualify for the Champions League.

Defensive stability is AS Roma’s biggest asset

Remarkably, however, the betting odds from bookmakers offering Paysafecard clearly favor Inter Milan against AS Roma. In the ODDSET app, for example, we find odds of 4.75 for tip 2, even though the Giallorossi are unbeaten in eight Serie A away games (five wins, three draws), have conceded only one goal in their last five league games on the road, and have won four of their last five away games by a minimal margin of 1-0.

In general, the newly found defensive stability, to which World Cup winner Mats Hummels has also contributed, is largely responsible for the Wolves’ resurgence. AS Roma have conceded just three goals in their last ten league games. No other team in the top flight of Italian football has been more solid in the same period. Considering that the capital club has also scored in ten of its last 16 away games against the Nerazzurri (five wins, five draws), it could well prove to be a mistake to write off the team from the Eternal City too quickly.

Inter Milan – AS Roma Head-to-head record / H2H record

Head to head: 98 – 57 – 62

A total of 217 competitive matches have been played between the two teams so far, with Inter Milan leading the head-to-head record by a clear margin with 98 wins. The last four competitive matches have also gone to the Nerazzurri, who have won eight of their last nine games against AS Roma (one defeat). However, at their home ground, the Giuseppe Meazza, the Biscione have won only six of their last 16 games against the Giallorossi (five draws, five defeats).

Inter Milan – AS Roma Tip

Although the betting odds from the top bookmakers favor a home win for Inter Milan against AS Roma, the matter is not so clear-cut. While the Biscione have been winless in their last three competitive games (one draw, two defeats), the visitors from the Eternal City are the only Serie A club not to have lost a league game in the 2025 calendar year. Overall, the Giallorossi are unbeaten in 17 consecutive Serie A games (twelve wins, five draws).

Particularly impressive: the capital club has conceded just three goals in its last ten Serie A games. Accordingly, the prediction for Inter Milan vs. AS Roma is that this top-of-the-table clash at the Giuseppe Meazza will be a tactical affair with few goals.