Will the Reds continue to slide down the table?
Things are boiling over for the Reds – on and off the pitch, before and after our Inter Milan vs. Liverpool tip. As reigning English champions, L’Pool are languishing in ninth place in the Premier League. LFC have taken a similar position in the Champions League (13th).
Anyone who bases their Inter Milan vs. Liverpool prediction on the roles assigned by the best betting apps will almost have to favor the Nerazzurri. Cristian Chivu has lifted the Italian representatives into the top four clubs with four wins from five Champions League matches.
However, it’s not just two big names that you need to consider when looking at the Inter Milan vs. Liverpool betting odds. Anyone familiar with the expected points will recognize that this is a real top match, even beyond the club names. Chivu’s team ranks second with 11.6 xPTS, closely followed by Liverpool FC (11.3 xPTS).
However, the visitors are in the midst of a results crisis, which has recently been exacerbated by the tense relationship between Mohamed Salah and head coach Arne Slot. The Reds have won only one of their last six competitive games (2D, 3L).
The defense in particular is causing problems for the reigning English champions. Eight goals conceded in five Champions League games is too many for the 4.9 expected goals (6th), but a slight deficit has recently been noticeable in the back line.
A defense lacking in confidence can be extremely painful for the Nerazzurri. We are choosing Inter Milan vs. Liverpool odds of 1.88 and are betting on “Inter Milan Over 1.5 Goals” at Betano.
Inter Milan vs. Liverpool Prediction AI
We have already mentioned the Reds’ excellent position in terms of expected points (3rd). Our artificial intelligence’s Inter Milan vs. Liverpool AI prediction takes these values into account and sees clear value in a bet on “Liverpool to win.”
Inter Milan – Statistics & current form
No defensive line is safe from the Nerazzurri’s offensive forces – Chivu’s team underlined this last weekend. At home, La Beneamata beat Como and conceded four goals (4-0) to one of the three best expected defenses in the Italian top flight.
In Serie A, the hosts are scoring 2.3 goals per matchday this season. The best offense in Italy’s top flight is backed up by by far the most expected goals in Serie A (26.3 xG). These are figures that Cristian Chivu’s team is also achieving in the Champions League.
After five rounds of matches, Inter have won four games in the Champions League (1D) and scored a total of twelve goals (2.4 goals per CL match day). Only against Atletico Madrid (1-2) did Lautaro Martinez and his teammates somewhat unluckily miss out on “over 1.5 goals” in the match. The situation looks very different in the Inter Milan vs. Liverpool prediction.
Cristian Chivu continues the success story
There were doubts about the continuation of the Inter dynasty after Simone Inzaghi’s departure. Cristian Chivu has skillfully dispelled these in the first few months of his tenure. The top Italian team is shining on both the national and international stage and continues to operate in its typical 3-5-2 formation.
Leader and captain Lautaro Martinez carries his team in tricky moments, but receives great support from his teammates. No other team has scored more expected goals than the Nerazzurri (13.6 xG) in the current Champions League season.
This is less due to the volume of shots (32 shots on the opponent’s goal) than to the outstanding quality of chances (0.14 expected goals per shot). Among the clubs participating in this year’s CL league phase, no club has had more big chances than Inter (32). Accordingly, it is understandable that the Inter Milan vs. Liverpool odds give the home side at least a moderate advantage.
Liverpool – Statistics & current form
The visitors also had plenty of big chances. In this particular category, the Reds (28) are the closest challengers behind the Italian hosts. The number of expected goals (12.7 xG) is also enough to place them among the three most dangerous attacks in the Champions League.
Although the slot selection has only won two of five matches in the current Champions League season (3 losses), they have an average of 2.0 goals scored per match. However, their conversion rate (10.20 percent) has been critical.
In addition, the defense has made quite a few mistakes, regardless of which competition you look at this season. If their pressing fails, the opposing teams have so far been given far too many clear scoring opportunities (0.12 xGA/shot).
In search of solutions
Mohamed Salah and his troubled relationship with LFC is currently the number one topic of conversation. Since the Egyptian first pulled on the Reds’ jersey in 2017, he has been a regular starter almost without exception. That has changed recently.
However, there are clear reasons for the 33-year-old’s relegation to the bench. Last year, Slot built the team around Salah’s abilities. The Egyptian was freed from many defensive duties, allowing him to play fresh and focused in attack.
The huge output of 49 goal contributions in 38 Premier League games justified this approach. In the current season, teams are attacking the Egyptian’s defensive weaknesses in a more targeted and successful manner, while Salah himself is not delivering the required output. In search of solutions, Slot had to at least test how the team would perform without Salah.
Inter Milan – Liverpool Head-to-head record / H2H balance
Inter and Liverpool have already played six direct duels in the Champions League. Four of these six encounters went to the Reds. The Nerazzurri won the remaining two matches. There has not been a draw to date.
Inter Milan – Liverpool Tip
There are countless reasons to look forward to this match and the Inter Milan vs. Liverpool tip. Both teams field outstanding players who are among the best in European club soccer – even if LFC is currently in a results crisis.
While Liverpool have won only one of their last six competitive games (2D, 3L), Chivu’s side have won three consecutive matches ahead of our Inter Milan vs. Liverpool prediction. The offense has been brilliant in the last two games, scoring a total of nine goals against Venezia (5-1) and Como (4-0).
Furthermore, Inter rarely gives anything away at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium. The top Italian club is unbeaten in 18 Champions League home games, winning 15 and scoring 36 goals during that period – an average of 2.0 goals per game.
