Will BVB start with a respectable result in Turin?
When reading about the Juventus vs. Dortmund matchup, soccer fans over 30 automatically think of the legendary 1997 Champions League final, which BVB won 3-1 at Munich’s Olympic Stadium. Lars Ricken, in particular, will fondly remember that beautiful early summer evening and his legendary lob.
Almost 30 years later, the same question arises again in the same competition: which Juventus vs. Dortmund prediction will prove true at the start of the league phase? Although Ricken, now 49, will no longer be appearing as a goalscorer, as sporting director he is naturally hoping for a positive start for the Black and Yellows.
The reigning Champions League finalists from Milan also experienced firsthand how complicated an away game in Turin can be at the weekend. In the Derby d’Italia, the “Old Lady” prevailed 4-3 against Inter Milan after a wild 90 minutes, crowning a perfect start to the season. After three match days, the “Bianconeri” have nine points to their name.
As a result, coach Igor Tudor’s team is going into the first of eight preliminary round games in the Champions League with a lot of anticipation and a healthy dose of confidence. The best sports betting providers are therefore making a prediction on the 36-time Italian champions ahead of the Juventus vs. Dortmund clash.
At least, that’s what the odds offered for Juventus vs. Dortmund suggest. A 2.05 for a home win is contrasted by an impressive 3.75 for an away win on the three-way market at Bet365.
Juventus vs. Dortmund prediction AI
In the Juventus vs. Dortmund match, the AI prediction points relatively clearly in the direction of the Italians. Juve’s xG value (1.49) is significantly higher than that of BVB (0.95). In addition, the home team is given a 51.2 percent chance of winning, which is higher than the probability of occurrence corresponding to the betting odds. Ergo: According to AI, you can bet on Turin with value!
Juventus – Statistics & current form
Juventus has already started 14 Champions League seasons with a home game. None of these 14 matches were lost from the perspective of the black and white team. Instead, the record stands at eleven wins and three draws. In 2024/25, they kicked off with a 3-1 home win against PSV Eindhoven. For the first important league match on Tuesday evening at 9:00 p.m. against BVB, the Italians are determined to maintain this streak and add the first three points to their tally.
Juventus often turns up the heat after the break
The chances of this happening are certainly there, as Tudor’s team has made a perfect start to the Serie A season. They took maximum points from their matches against Parma (2-0), Genoa (1-0), and Inter Milan (4-3). It is striking that Juve scored five of their seven goals after halftime. Against Parma and Genoa, the score was 0-0 at halftime. A bet on more goals in the second half would therefore have always been a good one.
It is quite possible that the odds on a second half with more goals will also pay off on Tuesday evening between Juventus and Dortmund. This is especially true given that the “Old Lady” – despite Saturday night’s spectacle – tends to define itself through its compact defense. Leading the way is defensive stalwart Bremer, who quickly reestablished himself as a key figure in the Turin side after tearing his cruciate ligament last season.
Dortmund – Statistics & current form
Borussia Dortmund has caused quite a stir in the UEFA Champions League over the past two years. In 2023/24, they made a sensational run to the final, which they unfortunately lost to Real Madrid. In 2024/25, FC Barcelona proved too strong in the quarter-finals.
Niko Kovac has helped BVB gain credibility
Nevertheless, the Black and Yellows set various benchmarks in the past season. For example, no other team scored more goals after winning the ball high up the pitch. The ten goals scored after the 75th minute were also the absolute best among all 36 participating clubs! Only finalist Inter Milan had a lower percentage deficit than Borussia, who have long since proven themselves on the international stage and are therefore traveling south with ambition.
Although the statistics listed may even tempt you to place a double chance X2 bet on Juventus and Dortmund, I am more inclined to bet on more goals in the second half. After all, such a bet would have paid off in nine of the last twelve Champions League matches involving the 1997 Henkelpott winners. In the current Bundesliga season, two out of three games have also seen more goals after the break. All three goals conceded have also come after the 46th minute. Seven points from three games is still a solid record, which Guirassy, Beier, and Co. should draw energy from.
Juventus – Dortmund Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
The most historic encounter was already discussed in detail in the introduction. More than ten years ago, in the 2014/15 season, the clubs faced each other again in Europe’s most important club competition. In the round of 16, Juventus confidently prevailed at home (2-1) and away (3-0).
The “Old Lady” has thus won six of the nine matches played, including the friendly match just over a month ago. As guests at the official BVB season opener at Signal Iduna Park, the “Bianconeri” crashed the party and won 2-1. Now, however, it’s all about points, so the cards are being reshuffled and the historic head-to-head record has little to no influence on the Juventus vs. Dortmund betting odds.
Juventus – Dortmund Tip
While Kenan Yildiz is currently attracting attention with consistently strong performances for the hosts, Serhou Guirassy continues to be Borussia’s offensive lifeline. The striker has scored four goals in three Bundesliga matchdays. In 2024/25, Guirassy scored an impressive 13 goals in 14 Champions League games.
That’s exactly why I think Guirassy is a potential goalscorer on Tuesday evening in Turin. At Betano, the maximum odds are 2.67, which is an invitation to take advantage of the €20 Betano free bet.
Basically, however, my assessment is that both teams have a lot of respect for each other after good starts to the season and therefore don’t want to fall behind early on. Both teams are currently playing very seriously and with great concentration, so I believe the first 45 minutes will be low-scoring. After the break, things could get a little more turbulent, which is why I have decided to bet on more goals in the second half between Juventus and Dortmund.
