Will the title race get exciting again?
Pervis Estubian became the celebrated hero of the Derby della Madonnina. For the first time this season, the full-back turned to celebrate a goal. His strike in the 35th minute sealed the final score early in the Milan Derby and kept the suspense alive at the top of the table ahead of our Lazio Rome vs. AC Milan tip.
The visitors head into Matchday 29 trailing their city rivals Inter by seven points. Visiting the Olympic Stadium in Rome, Massimiliano Allegri and his squad are clear favorites—even in our Lazio vs. AC Milan prediction, there is little doubt that the second-place team will secure three points.
Sportsbook operators aren’t quite as clear in their Lazio vs. AC Milan odds. Although the Lombards are traveling to the Italian capital as the odds-on favorites, an away win would still yield double the payout.
From this perspective, using a no-deposit free bet is recommended. If you take advantage of such an option, you can further increase the risk and maximize the value. A combo bet with a direct goal reference is best suited for this.
The Rossoneri won the Milan derby 1-0. It was already their twelfth clean sheet of the season. They have a total of 13 clean sheets under their belt—only Inter has more in the current competition (15). You should keep a clean sheet on your radar again for the visitors in Rome.
Lazio Rome – AC Milan Head-to-Head Record
The past encounters haven’t produced many goals. After the Rossoneri won the first-leg clash 1-0, Sarri’s side got their revenge and also won the Round of 16 match in the Coppa Italia 1-0. This means that three of the last five head-to-head matches have yielded a total of just one goal.
Based on our analysis, another match with a maximum of one goal is realistic. AC Milan boasts the most successful defense in Serie A (20 goals conceded). On the other side, the Sky Blues have conceded no more than 28 goals themselves (6th).
Lazio Rome – AC Milan Prediction
The home team’s fans have the most cause for concern regarding their team’s attacking play. Lazio Rome has scored the fourth-fewest goals in the league (28). Offensive set pieces have created virtually no danger so far—no other Italian first-division team has scored fewer goals from set pieces than Sarri’s squad (3).
On the other side, there is at least order in their own penalty area when teams take set pieces against Lazio. The hosts have conceded only five goals from set pieces—fourth-best in the league. The Rossoneri should therefore focus primarily on their goal-scoring threat from open play.
Massimiliano Allegri has enough creative players at his disposal for this.
Luka Modric and Adrien Rabiot are the playmakers in the second-place team’s midfield and are extremely composed. Despite his advanced age in soccer terms, the 40-year-old Croatian is the central midfielder with the third-highest expected assists (3.8 xA).
