Will Bayer continue their run?
The Werkself and their guests from Wuhlheide are separated by only one point in the table, but their current form is quite different. While the hosts are unbeaten in four games and have collected all eight points this season, Berlin have only half as many points in this period. So is it worth betting on Leverkusen against Union Berlin?
Given the difference in form, definitely. The home advantage also speaks in favor of coach Kasper Hjulmand’s team. However, the visitors recently surprised everyone with an away win against the top team from Frankfurt.
In addition, the home team will be more tired, as they also had to play in the Champions League this week. Despite this double burden, we still consider the hosts to be the favorites and are predicting a win for the 2024 champions in the match between Leverkusen and Union Berlin.
Leverkusen vs. Union Berlin Prediction AI
BETSiE estimates the probability of a Bayer win at 63.8 percent, which is higher than the odds of 1.63 available at Oddset for this outcome (as of 01.10.2025, 1:43 p.m.), which corresponds to a probability of 61.3 percent.
The Leverkusen vs. Union Berlin AI prediction therefore includes a win for the hosts.
Leverkusen – Statistics & current form
The Werkself has recovered after a botched start to the season with only one point from the first two rounds of games. Leverkusen has been unbeaten for four match days and, above all, the offense has woken up. They have scored nine goals in their last four league games!
Given this upturn in the BayArena team’s attacking play, the betting odds for more than one goal by the hosts are also worth considering in the match between Leverkusen and Union Berlin.
However, the defense of the two-time DFB Cup winners still has room for improvement. This is hardly surprising, as the team now has less quality in this area due to various departures. The home side has yet to record a clean sheet this season.
In addition, as the visitors’ offense scored no less than four times in their recent away game at Frankfurt, we believe that the Leverkusen vs. Union Berlin odds for both teams to score are also attractive.
Bayer likes to take the lead
Another quality feature of Bayer this season is that the home team gets off to a quick start in league games. This is easily seen in the fact that Leverkusen has taken the lead in all five Bundesliga games this season! On the other hand, however, they are not good at managing their leads: no other team has given up more points after taking the lead (7) this season!
Union Berlin – Statistics & current form
Like their opponents, the players from Köpenick have room for improvement from a defensive perspective. The club from the capital only managed a clean sheet in their last home game against HSV. Criticism of the visitors’ defense primarily concerns their performance after the break.
Union conceded seven of their eleven goals this season after the break! This represents 64 percent, and only three teams in the league have conceded more.
Furthermore, the Berliners are not very consistent. Although they got off to a successful start to the season with a home win against Stuttgart, they have only picked up three more points since then and half of their last four league games have ended in defeat.
Union Berlin’s games are not short on goals
Thanks to a combination of a reliable offense and a vulnerable defense, there is no shortage of goals in coach Steffen Baumgart’s team’s league games. On average, 3.8 goals have been scored in the visitors’ games this season, and only one of the five league games played has not ended with three or more goals.
Ilyas Ansah has also been particularly efficient in attack: four goals in five league games this season demonstrate the German junior international’s strong form.
Leverkusen – Union Berlin Head-to-head record
The 1988 UEFA Cup winners are unbeaten in nine Bundesliga matches against Union (4-5-0). In addition, Bayer are unbeaten in front of their own fans against Berlin in all competitions (5-3-0).
The home side’s defense in particular has had little trouble against Berlin in recent times: In five of the last six matches, the Spree kickers have failed to score! For the next edition of Leverkusen vs. Union Berlin, the odds are once again in favor of the home side.
Leverkusen – Union Berlin Tip
The hosts already had to compete in the Champions League this week, but at least it was a home game, so there was no additional travel stress. On top of that, we have seen a significant improvement in their form since the change of coach.
Under Danish coach Kasper Hjulmand, Bayer have not lost in three league games and two Champions League games. In light of this positive development, the Leverkusen vs. Union Berlin prediction is for a home win.
This is also supported by the fact that Bayer’s upcoming opponent can be considered one of the lighterweights in the league and that the Berliners’ form has been on the decline, with the exception of their win in Frankfurt on the penultimate matchday. Union’s defense in particular has been shaky in recent weeks.
In three of their last four league games, they have conceded at least three goals! On top of that, Union have the home advantage: since January 2021, they have not lost any of their nine subsequent matches against Berlin!
