Who will secure important points in the battle to avoid relegation?
In La Liga, RCD Mallorca and FC Sevilla will face each other on Monday. There is no clear favorite ahead of this match, as Los Bermellones are in 18th place with 21 points and are in the relegation zone, while the visitors are only three points ahead in 13th place.
Accordingly, this will be a decisive match in the battle to avoid relegation. For this reason, the Mallorca vs. Sevilla odds offered by betting providers are fairly even. The highest odds for a home win are currently 2.55, while the best odds for an away win are 3.10. Now, of course, the question arises as to which of the two teams actually has the better chance of winning.
We want to answer this question in our Mallorca vs. Sevilla prediction. To do this, we will first take a look at the home and away records of both teams. It quickly becomes clear why the bookmakers’ odds favor a win for the home team.
RCD has already earned 16 points in its own stadium, losing only two of its ten home games. One of the two home defeats was against FC Barcelona, so we would say that the team has a certain home strength overall.
In addition to the home team’s good home record, the visitors’ poor away record also suggests that the home team is more likely to win. Matias Almeyda’s team has only managed to pick up 11 points from ten away games, losing half of them. What’s more, the visitors have been waiting for a win for six away games.
On top of that, the Blanquirrojos are not really in good form, picking up only four points from their last six competitive games. This is another point that speaks in favor of a Mallorca vs. Sevilla tip for a win for the away team. However, there is a big “but” here, because the home team also picked up only four points during this period. So neither club is in great form.
Mallorca – Sevilla Head-to-head record
For us, the question remains as to why the Mallorca vs. Sevilla betting odds favor a win for Jagoba Arrasate’s team. The home side are slightly better at home than the visitors are away, but with a market value of only €81 million, they are clearly inferior.
For this reason, we are now looking at the H2H comparison between the two teams for a possible reason. And indeed, this is where we find the second point that favors the home team. RCD has picked up five points in the last three games and has remained unbeaten three times in a row. The visitors have been waiting for a win since April 22, 2024. At the Estadi de Son Moix, Matias Almeyda’s team has not managed to score three points against their upcoming opponents since October 15, 2022.
Mallorca – Sevilla Tip
Taking all of the above factors into account, we have nevertheless decided against a win bet and in favor of the Mallorca vs. Sevilla betting tip “both teams to score – no.” In our opinion, home advantage and the head-to-head record are only of secondary importance and are offset by the higher individual quality. For us, this is the decisive factor in choosing a goal bet.
Given the room for improvement in both teams’ offensive performances, there are many indications that this will be a low-scoring game. In line with this, the 2.5 goal mark has not been reached in eight of the last ten meetings.
Alternatively, we recommend the odds for under 2.5 goals in the game. The bookmaker bet365, which we have tested, is particularly suitable for this bet, as it not only offers attractive odds but also a large selection of goal bets. Our decision is based primarily on the recent lack of offensive power of both teams and on the head-to-head comparison, which has regularly produced low-scoring games in the past. In addition, neither team has been particularly successful in terms of “goal scoring” in their recent competitive games.
