Will Everton secure their second win in their last 33 away games at United?
The last game of the 12th matchday of the Premier League will be played on Monday evening between Manchester United and Everton. The hosts have been extremely successful at Old Trafford Stadium, winning their last four home games. The Red Devils are seventh in the table with 18 points, but four teams are level on points. However, Everton FC is not one of those teams – David Moyes’ side is in 13th place with 15 points.
One reason for this is their poor away record – they have won only one of six competitive games on the road and lost four. In the Manchester United vs. Everton match, our tip is therefore another home win for the Red Devils.
Manchester United go into this match on a clear upward trend. The Red Devils have won their last four home games in the Premier League, having won only three of their previous 13 games at Old Trafford. Their offensive presence in the early stages is particularly striking: no team has scored more goals before the break this season, with United netting eleven times. At the same time, however, they show a clear weakness after halftime, as no Premier League team has conceded more goals in the second half than the Red Devils, with a total of 14. In our Manchester United vs. Everton prediction, we are therefore betting on a goal from the Red Devils in the first half and a goal conceded in the second half.
The course of the last two games is also interesting: United scored the first goal in each game, then fell behind, and ended up drawing 2-2 against Nottingham Forest and Tottenham. The last time such a sequence occurred was at Manchester City in 2012. Bryan Mbeumo is currently the hosts’ most dangerous attacking player with six direct goal contributions, but he has failed to make an impact in eight games against Everton so far in his career.
Everton travel to Old Trafford with a poor record against United, having won only one of their last twelve league games. Away at Old Trafford, the record is even more pronounced: only one win in the last 32 away games. Added to this is a negative streak on Monday evenings – Everton have been winless in nine games on this day, and even ten away games, with their last Monday win coming in Sunderland in 2016.
In the current season, Everton has been characterized by an unusually consistent starting lineup. No team has used fewer players, with only 19 players seeing action, and at the same time, the club has the oldest average starting lineup in the league. Jack Grealish has recently stalled offensively – after four assists from five chances in the first three games, he failed to register a single assist in the following seven games despite creating 19 chances.
Manchester United – Everton Head-to-head record
In the 199 direct duels between Manchester United and Everton to date, the overall record clearly favors the Red Devils. United have won 91 games, 49 encounters ended in a draw, while Everton have won 59. The goal difference is also clearly in favor of the hosts: United have scored 314 goals, while the Toffees have scored 270. Most of these encounters have taken place in the Premier League, supplemented by matches in the FA Cup, League Cup, and two matches in the Europa League. This long history underscores the traditionally United-dominated rivalry, in which Everton has regularly been competitive but has emerged victorious far less often overall.
Manchester United – Everton Tip
According to the Manchester United vs. Everton betting odds from bookmakers with a German license, Ruben Amorim’s team is naturally the favorite going into this game.
The Red Devils have won their last four home games in a row and have lost only one of their last 32 league games against Everton at home. They are also the team with the most goals before the break, but also the team with the most goals conceded after halftime.
Everton, on the other hand, have lost four of their six away games, are winless in nine Monday night games, and even winless in ten away games. The Toffees have also won only one of their last twelve league games against United. With only two wins in their last eight Premier League games, there is a lot to suggest that the Red Devils will secure their fifth home win in a row.
