Will the Rossoneri take points from Naples?
It took the defending champions less than two minutes in their last league match before the international break for Scott McTominay to put the Partenopei ahead. The midfielder kept his cool amid the scramble following a corner and slotted home from close range for the only goal of the day against Cagliari (1-0). With that, the Gli Azzurri moved within one point of second place in the standings just ahead of the Napoli vs. AC Milan match.
Throughout the rest of the evening, head coach Antonio Conte saw a composed performance from his team, which made hardly any mistakes and also dominated the expected goals (xG) comparison (2.03:0.32). The Rossoneri struggled more in their last match before our Napoli vs. AC Milan prediction.
The second-place team scraped out a 3-2 win against Torino and narrowly avoided a second consecutive slip-up. Just the previous matchday, Massimiliano Allegri’s side had lost 0-1 to Lazio Rome.
These recent performances have not gone unnoticed in the Napoli vs. AC Milan betting odds. At home, the defending champions are being tipped as favorites by the top sportsbook providers. We’re not really surprised by this assessment.
To find the Partenopei’s last home league defeat, we had to go back to the previous season. We found it in December 2024—back then, SSC lost 0-1 to Lazio Rome at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Naples – AC Milan Head-to-Head Record
The Gli Azzurri have gone four consecutive home games against AC Milan without a loss. SSC won the last two head-to-head matches at their home stadium, scoring twice in each. Looking at the recent matchups between these two top Italian teams, we see three wins out of the four previous encounters.
Just before this rematch, the momentum suddenly swings back in favor of the hosts. Visiting coach Massimiliano Allegri not only has to do without the long-term injured Ruben Loftus-Cheek, but also cannot rely on the skills of Rafael Leao—a real blow for the second-place team.
Napoli – AC Milan Prediction
Defensive discipline and control of the game are hallmarks of both teams. Milan brings the second-best defense in Serie A to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (23 goals conceded). In addition, the Rossoneri have conceded the fewest away goals in the league (10).
Away from home, the Red-and-Blacks have kept a clean sheet in 47 percent of their league matches – which explains our caution in the Napoli vs. AC Milan prediction. Nevertheless, we believe the defending champions have the better chances of success.
Napoli is in strong form (4 straight wins), has yet to lose a league home game this season (10W, 4D), and has conceded fewer than one goal per home match (13 goals conceded in 14 home games). Furthermore, Conte’s side has held three of their last four opponents to fewer than one expected goal—a clear improvement over previous matches and a promising sign for the top-of-the-table clash against AC Milan.
