Will LFC remain unbeaten against Newcastle for the 18th time in a row?
On Monday, the exciting Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Liverpool FC will take place at St. James’ Park. Newcastle United drew 0-0 with Aston Villa on the first day of the season. The Reds, on the other hand, made a convincing start to the Premier League, winning their first game 4-2 against Bournemouth. For the visitors, the personnel situation on the right side of defense could become even more acute in the Newcastle vs. Liverpool tip.
Jeremie Frimpong is likely to miss out due to muscle problems, while Conor Bradley is out injured. Replacement Joe Gomez is in the squad, but his fitness after missing pre-season remains uncertain. Despite the absences, Liverpool are of course clear favorites in this match.
Newcastle are also focusing on an exceptional week: Alexander Isak continues to train in isolation and is not in the squad, which poses additional challenges for the Magpies’ attack. Isak is still highly sought after by Liverpool and is expected to sign this summer. Newcastle have not won against Liverpool since December 2015 and have failed to win any of their last 17 league games (5 draws, 12 defeats). The team is currently lacking punch: the Magpies have gone three Premier League games in a row without scoring – and even four without Alexander Isak (47 shots, xG 5.57). For another goalless PL game for Newcastle, you can find Newcastle vs. Liverpool odds of 3.75 in the NEO.bet app.
At home, however, they are reliable under Eddie Howe: they have won their first home game in all three seasons under him, following a 2-4 defeat to West Ham in 2021/22 under Steve Bruce. Last season, they celebrated six home wins in a row between February and May before ending the season with a 0-1 defeat to Everton. Anthony Gordon stands out, recording the most shots (seven) in the league on the first matchday, but failing to score.
Liverpool have been successful in Newcastle for years: they have won five and drawn two of their last seven Premier League away games. The Reds were 0-1 down twice in their last two games, but still managed to come back and win 2-1 and draw 3-3. Therefore, in our Newcastle vs. Liverpool prediction, we are again assuming that Newcastle will score the first goal. Under Arne Slot, Liverpool have scored 90 goals in 39 league games (2.3 per game) – a club record. Another goal would equal their longest streak of 36 league games with a goal.
However, their away form is poor, but this was due to winning the title early: they have lost three of their last four league games on the road, most recently at Chelsea and Brighton. Mohamed Salah remains the key player, having been directly involved in goals in 18 Premier League games against Newcastle (ten goals, eight assists) and providing an assist in each of his last six appearances against the Magpies – a unique record in the league. He has also scored 13 times against Eddie Howe’s teams, more than any other player against a specific manager. In our Newcastle vs. Liverpool prediction, we expect the Egyptian to score again.
Newcastle – Liverpool Head-to-Head / H2H Record
Newcastle United and Liverpool FC have faced each other 172 times in competitive matches to date. The record clearly favors the Reds, who have celebrated 85 wins, while Newcastle have recorded 44 victories and 43 encounters have ended in a draw. The goal difference is also clearly in Liverpool’s favor, who are clearly ahead with 306:212 goals. Most of these matches have taken place in the Premier League (170), with one meeting each in the FA Cup and the League Cup.
Newcastle – Liverpool Tip
With Liverpool unbeaten in 17 league games against Newcastle and also unbeaten in their last seven PL away games in Newcastle, we are expecting another win for the Reds. The pendulum is also clearly swinging in favor of the Reds in the Newcastle vs. Liverpool betting odds.
With Isak, the Magpies’ top striker, also out of action, Newcastle’s chances of victory do not seem to be improving. However, as they scored the first goal in their last two games, we think they are capable of doing so again in this match.
Mohammed Salah is a game-changer against every team. However, he seems to have a particular preference for Eddie Howe’s teams. He has scored 13 goals against him, more than any other manager, and has also provided an assist in each of his last six games, which is also a personal record. With the added class of Hugo Ekitike and Florian Wirtz in the Reds’ attack, LFC should pick up their next win in this young Premier League season.
