Will the Blancos end several dry spells at once?

At Real Madrid, Xabi Alonso is currently experiencing his first mini-crisis as coach. Not only did the Blancos lose 1-0 away to Liverpool on the last matchday, but they also slipped up twice in a row in La Liga against Rayo Vallecano (0-0) and Elche (2-2), reducing their lead over Barcelona to one point. If the Merengues fail to win away at Olympiacos Piraeus, it would be their fourth consecutive competitive game without a win, which would definitely turn a mini-crisis into a full-blown crisis.

The Royal’s goal is therefore to end their recent dry spell, but that in turn requires that an unusual dry spell finally come to an end overall. Curiously, one of the most feared clubs in the world is not actually that feared in Greece. When predicting the outcome of Olympiacos Piraeus vs. Real Madrid, it is important to note that the record Champions League winners have never won a competitive away game in Greece in nine attempts (three draws, six defeats). Incidentally, this statistic also includes the 2-1 defeat to Chelsea in the 1971 European Cup Winners’ Cup final.

But even in Piraeus, the Merengues have remained winless in four Champions League attempts so far (three draws, one defeat), which is why the Erythroleykoi (meaning “the red and whites”) will definitely be hoping for something from this home game – especially since José Luis Mendilíbar’s team is unbeaten in nine international home games (five wins, four draws). Although we don’t expect a high-scoring match at Karaiskakis Stadium, we still believe that the time has come for the Madrid team to finally win on Greek soil for the first time.

Our main tip is for the match combo of tip 2 and under 4.5 goals. Alternatively, you can bet on under 3.5 goals in Olympiacos vs. Real Madrid at odds of 1.64 at Winamax, which also promises plenty of value.

Olympiacos Piraeus vs. Real Madrid AI prediction

AI agrees with our tip that there should not be a goal fest at Karaiskakis Stadium. The AI has set the Asian line at under 3.25 goals, for which odds of 1.77 are listed in the clear Bet365 app. This implies a probability of 56.5 percent. Since the AI prediction calculates a 60.7 percent chance of this bet coming in for Olympiacos Piraeus vs. Real Madrid, this makes for a nice value bet.

Olympiacos Piraeus – Statistics & current form

Olympiacos Piraeus is once again the absolute benchmark in the Greek Super League, confidently leading the table with 28 out of a possible 33 points. However, in the Champions League group stage table, the Erythroleykoi are only in 31st place with just two out of a possible twelve points and would therefore be eliminated as things stand.

Nevertheless, a look at the history books is remarkable: the 2024 Conference League winners have lost only two of their 16 international home games against Spanish clubs (six wins, eight draws) and remain unbeaten against Real Madrid in four home games (one win, three draws). If you want to bet on the club with the illustrious name Thrylos (meaning “legend”) extending this streak, you can get odds of 3.00 for the double chance 1X in Olympiacos Piraeus vs. Real Madrid, which we found in the Betano app.

Home streak meets long-term slump in the Champions League

At the same time, the long-term record in the group and league phases of the Champions League weighs heavily. Only two wins in the last 24 Champions League games have been recorded. Currently, the Erythroleykoi have been winless for nine games.

Nevertheless, the Karaiskakis Stadium is also a real fortress on the international stage. The Greeks have not lost any of their last nine European home games (five wins, four draws), and they also drew 1-1 with PSV Eindhoven in this year’s league phase. Another strong performance in the Greek port city is therefore not completely out of the question, although José Luis Mendilíbar’s team will undoubtedly have to have an absolutely perfect day to achieve this.

Real Madrid – Statistics & current form

Recently, however, the Merengues’ new look has been scratched several times. After three wins in the Champions League group stage, they suffered a 1-0 defeat in Liverpool, ending a run of six consecutive wins across two seasons.

To make matters worse, they then failed to pick up three points in two La Liga games, despite facing Rayo Vallecano (0-0) and Elche (2-2), who are both in the lower half of the table. If Olympiacos Piraeus also fails to win away against Real Madrid, the situation will definitely not calm down four days before the complicated away game in Girona. The pressure on the record winners of the Champions League is correspondingly high.

Real Madrid is fundamentally solid defensively

However, the Greeks’ offense, which has been unconvincing so far, scoring only two goals in four games, would now have to overcome one of the strongest defenses in the Champions League in order to really trip up the Merengues. Real has conceded only two goals so far, and the team is not known for scoreless draws. In the last 63 CL preliminary round games involving the Blancos (group and league phase), there has always been at least one goal.

Meanwhile, two players are also eyeing individual milestones. Federico Valverde could become the third Uruguayan to reach 70 Champions League appearances in Greece, while Vinícius Júnior would draw level with Kaká (30) in second place among Brazilian CL goalscorers with his next goal.

Olympiakos Piraeus – Real Madrid Head-to-head record

Head to head: 1 – 3 – 4

The two teams have met eight times in total, with all matches taking place in the preliminary round of the UEFA Champions League. The Blancos have won all four home games against the Greeks. Away at the Karaiskakis Stadium, however, Real Madrid have yet to win in four visits (three draws, one defeat).

Olympiakos Piraeus – Real Madrid Tip

In fact, there are plenty of good reasons to predict a point for the Greeks in the match between Olympiakos Piraeus and Real Madrid. However, the fact that the record Champions League winners have never won an away game in Greece is clearly not enough for us. Instead, the Merengues have won three of their first four games in the current league phase (one defeat) and have conceded only two goals in total.

The Erythroleykoi, on the other hand, have yet to show that they have the necessary firepower to trouble the Blancos again. So far, that has certainly not been the case. Only Ajax Amsterdam (one) has scored fewer goals than Olympiacos (two) in the first four matchdays.

We don’t expect it to be as clear-cut as Real’s away win in Kazakhstan (5-0 at Kairat). Nevertheless, we believe the Blancos are capable of securing their first competitive win in Greece, which is why we recommend the match combo from tip 2 with under 4.5 goals.

Merkur Bets is offering odds of 1.97 for Olympiacos Piraeus vs. Real Madrid, with the Royals winning for the first time after three consecutive competitive games without a win (two draws, one defeat) and a maximum of four goals being scored.