Will Chelsea leave nothing to chance?

A clash of opposites! Our Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea tip pits two teams against each other whose squad values are among the most disparate in the Champions League. The bookies’ assessment is accordingly, with the Blues expected to be clear favorites in the away game in Azerbaijan.

London and Agdam are 3,700 km apart as the crow flies, and the Chelsea stars are also traveling to a different time zone. Will the Blues suffer from a little jet lag in our Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea prediction? In any case, this was not a problem in the English team’s only away game at Qarabag Agdam so far. At that time, Enzo Maresca’s team won convincingly in Azerbaijan.

The Blues have certainly been prone to slip-ups in recent weeks. Nevertheless, we are inclined to bet on the favorites to win away in Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea. Ultimately, the significantly higher quality of the English Premier League team should prevail in this clash.

Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea Prediction AI

The Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea AI prediction calculates clear advantages for the English side. Unsurprisingly, the Blues have a significantly higher xG value (2.47) than their Azerbaijani hosts (xG value 0.68).

And despite the low odds for an away win, the Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea AI prediction even finds value in the three-way market. The artificial intelligence estimates the chances of victory for Enzo Maresca’s team to be approximately four percentage points higher than the bookies’ odds.

Qarabag FC – Statistics & current form

The champions from Azerbaijan were the surprise of the first two Champions League matchdays. After two wins, Agdam surprisingly topped the table in Europe’s premier club competition. But then came their first defeat in Bilbao, and the Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea odds from German bookmakers show that the high-flyers are likely to be brought back down to earth after Wednesday’s game.

Will Qarabag pull off another surprise?

It was one of the biggest surprises of the first Champions League match day. The no-name club from Azerbaijan won 3-2 at traditional Portuguese club Benfica Lisbon. The team from the Nagorno-Karabakh region followed up their away win in Portugal with a confident home win against Copenhagen. And in Bilbao, Qurban Qurbanov’s team took a 1-0 lead, but ultimately had to bow to their Spanish hosts.

Nevertheless, the results so far have clearly shown that the team from Azerbaijan can certainly hold its own in the premier class. They scored in each of the three aforementioned games, which is why we can well imagine that Qurbanov’s team will also score against the Premier League team in our Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea prediction. Since the bookies don’t really believe in Qarabag scoring for historical reasons, this bet also offers a certain amount of value.

Nevertheless, we do not expect them to score against the Blues. With all due respect to the Azerbaijani champions’ first three group opponents, the Blues are still in a different league. That’s why we expect the favorites to win on Wednesday.

Chelsea – Statistics & current form

Enzo Maresca’s team still lacks consistency. Strong performances such as the 5-1 home win against Ajax in the Champions League are followed by inexplicable slip-ups such as the 1-2 defeat against newly promoted Sunderland in the subsequent home game.

Chelsea once again dominant in the Champions League?

The Blues got off to a disastrous start to this Champions League season with an away defeat in Munich. However, this was followed by two commanding victories against Benfica Lisbon and Ajax Amsterdam in this competition, both at home at Stamford Bridge. Now they face their second away game in faraway Agdam.

Enzo Maresca’s team is rightly considered the clear favorite in this match, as the better individual players are naturally to be found in the team from England’s capital. Nevertheless, the Blues should be warned, as the Azerbaijani champions showed in their first three Champions League games that they can play really good soccer. Nevertheless, we do not expect another surprise this coming Wednesday.

Ultimately, the team from the English Premier League should be able to bag the three points against the underdogs from Azerbaijan. Especially considering that the Blues have been more convincing in their away games in the domestic league than in front of their own fans. With three wins and only one defeat, Enzo Maresca’s team is currently one of the strongest away teams in the Premier League. If they can reproduce this form in the Champions League, we see little reason why a Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea tip for an away win should not come to fruition.

Qarabag FC – Chelsea Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

There have been two matches in the history of this rivalry so far. In the Champions League group stage in the 2017/18 season, the Blues clearly defeated the Azerbaijani champions 6-0 at home and 4-0 away. And according to the Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea betting odds, the English side are once again clear favorites in the upcoming clash.

Qarabag FC – Chelsea Tip

Next Wednesday, two worlds will collide in Agdam, Azerbaijan. The Blues’ luxury squad is worth over a billion. In contrast, the Qarabag Agdam squad has a total value of less than €25 million. That’s a value that would hardly be enough to sign a single player from the Blues’ current squad.

In addition, Qarabag has lost all seven games against English teams in European competition, conceding 21 goals in the process. They have only managed to score once, which explains the bookies’ skepticism about the team from the Nagorno-Karabakh region scoring. Nevertheless, we see potential in a Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea tip for the underdog to score, as Qurban Qurbanov’s team has been dangerous in front of goal in the Champions League so far and Chelsea has been vulnerable in defense.

However, we do not believe that the underdogs will get anything out of the game, as Chelsea have won 20 of their last 23 international games (including the FIFA Club World Cup). On average, the Blues scored 2.9 goals per game (66 in total). A Qarabag FC vs. Chelsea prediction of more than two goals for the favorites can therefore be considered, and we certainly expect several goals from the offensively strong English team.

Chelsea has lost its last three away games in the Champions League. A fourth consecutive away defeat in this competition against Qarabag must be avoided at all costs. In their history, the Blues have only lost four away games in a row in the Champions League once (2004/05). A second home win in a row for the Azerbaijani champions would also be historic in the European Cup, as Qarabag have never had two home wins in a row at European level before.