Can Saint-Gilloise get their first home win?

On Tuesday, the Champions League returns to the pitch, revealing the possibility for a Royale Union SG vs. Marseille tip. The table ahead of matchday 6 shows that both sides are in desperate need of a win.

The French are the favorites, but Marseille have also only managed to pick up six points from five games so far. This puts coach Roberto De Zerbi’s team in 21st place, which would be enough to qualify for the next round. Union SG, on the other hand, would be eliminated in 25th place.

A home win would be hugely important for Royale Union, especially as they have not managed one so far. Their only two wins have come away from home, while their home games have been lost by a clear margin. This is another reason why the visitors must be considered favorites in the Royale Union SG vs. Marseille prediction.

Whether via the best betting app or normally via your browser, you can place your bets in any case. The visitors are favored, but they have yet to earn any points away from home. It would be another setback for the loser, especially since there are only two match days left after that.

The hosts have yet to win a home game, and the visitors are still without points away from home. These are interesting conditions, but the bottom line is that Marseille can be seen as the favorites. A bet on an away win could be good value, as the actual probabilities are higher than the Royale Union SG – Marseille odds offered by the bookmakers.

It won’t be easy for Marseille, but they are the stronger team, even though they have only picked up one point from their last two league games. However, the same applies to the hosts. In addition, Royale Union has lost both of its previous home games against Newcastle and Inter 0-4.

You can also bet on more than 2.5 goals, as both teams are capable of scoring at least one goal. Marseille could score two goals in the first half and is currently the Champions League team that has squandered the most leads. Against Royale Union, the chances are good that a lead will also lead to victory.

Royale Union SG vs. Marseille Prediction AI

A tip on Marseille also coincides with the assessment of artificial intelligence, which draws on a large amount of data to estimate the chances of victory. With a 48% chance of victory, the AI sees better chances than the bookmakers, whose assessment is more in the range of 42-43%.

The expected goals are estimated at 1.32 and 1.81, which means that more than 2.5 goals could be scored. This results in a 61.5% chance that both teams will score in this match. Nevertheless, the AI sees Marseille in the lead. The probability of a home win, on the other hand, is only 29%, which is lower than the odds behind Royale Union SG vs. Marseille betting odds.

Royale Union SG – Statistics & current form

The Belgian champions are having a good season domestically and currently lead the Jupiler Pro League by a clear margin. If they can keep up the pace, defending their title should be a mere formality.

Recently, however, Saint-Gilloise has stumbled, winning only one of its last four league games, which was a home win against Club Brugge. In Anderlecht, on the other hand, they were defeated.

The dress rehearsal before the Champions League game against Marseille ended in a 1-1 draw against KAA Gent. Despite home advantage and more possession, they were unable to secure the three points.

Defense the big weak point

Royale Union has only managed to keep a clean sheet in one of its five games in the Champions League so far, which was against Galatasaray Istanbul in November. They have conceded a lot of goals, especially against the stronger teams Newcastle, Inter, and Atlético.

If the hosts want to score points on Tuesday, they will need to stabilize their defense. David Hubert, who took over as coach on October 13, has not yet managed to do this.

This leaves Royal Union with a goal difference of minus seven, which could prove to be important, as 25th place is the cutoff for qualification. Five goals scored is also not enough, especially since they failed to score in two games. And both times in home games.

In their domestic league, Saint-Gilloise can be classified as strong at home, but internationally, the team has suffered significant setbacks and is playing in the top flight for the first time anyway. There is no way around their underdog status.

Marseille – Statistics & current form

After a year without international competition, Marseille is back in the Champions League. In principle, the team has a good chance of reaching the next round. But at the moment, it could be very close.

Just like Royale Union, Marseille has only managed to pick up six points from five games and is currently in 21st place. A defeat in Belgium could see Marseille slip below 24th place, which would not be enough to qualify for the next round.

With Liverpool FC and Club Brugge away in January, Marseille needs a win on Tuesday to give itself some breathing room. However, it has yet to pick up any points away from home.

Marseille erratic after taking the lead

Basically, Marseille is in a good position. The team has scored in four of five games and has conceded only six goals so far, including away games against Real Madrid and Sporting Lisbon.

In fact, Marseille has played well, but has not always been able to bring the results home. No other team in the current Champions League has given up the lead so often. Only one first half has been lost so far.

Interestingly, the victory against Newcastle came in the only game in which Marseille trailed at halftime. But two goals from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang in the second half ultimately secured the three points.

With Aubameyang and Igor Paixao, Marseille has two players in its ranks who have each scored three times and can also pose a threat in Saint-Gilloise.

Royale Union SG – Marseille Head-to-head record

There have only been two games between the two sides so far, but both took place in 1962, more than 63 years ago. At that time, the two teams met in the Trade Fair Cup. The cup was created in connection with trade fairs and was last held in 1971. The record winner is FC Barcelona.

Both teams won one game each at the time, so the record is even. This comparison is completely irrelevant for Tuesday’s game. In terms of points, however, it will be a duel between two evenly matched teams.

Royale Union SG – Marseille Tip

For sports betting, however, the Royale Union vs. Marseille match is an obvious choice.

Neither team has been entirely convincing this season, at least internationally. Marseille, under coach Robert De Zerbi, has shown many good approaches, but ultimately has been rewarded too little. Therefore, Marseille can be seen as the favorite for Tuesday.

It is to be expected that Royale Union will not make things easy at home, but Marseille is considered to be the stronger team. Both sides have dropped points domestically recently, which evens things out.

A bet can therefore be placed on Olympique Marseille to win, which would see the team climb a few places and greatly increase their chances of reaching the next round. The hosts will need to keep their defense under control on Tuesday if they want to prevent that from happening.