Will Slavia Prague get their first CL win?
Take five! The Champions League is back and, thanks to the new league format, there is plenty of excitement ahead of the fifth matchday. Two teams that would have been eliminated from the competition as things stand today will face each other in our Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction in the Czech capital.
Neither team has really found its feet in Europe’s top competition yet and both have had mixed results in the Champions League so far. Nevertheless, both the Basques and the Czech champions can take a big step up the table with a win, as the coveted 24th place is not too far away for either of them. The Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction from betting providers assumes that the Spaniards are more likely to succeed in taking this important step.
Given the Červenobili’s poor record against La Liga teams, this assessment seems reasonable at first glance. However, the team from the Basque Country is not exactly a force to be reckoned with away from home.
Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao AI prediction
The Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao AI prediction remains just below our expectation of less than 2.5 goals. While the hosts have an xG value of 1.02, the AI calculates an xG value of 1.4 for Bilbao.
In addition, the Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao AI prediction estimates the chances of victory for the visitors from Spain to be about four percentage points lower than the odds offered by betting providers. Value can therefore be found in betting on an unbeaten game for the Czech hosts.
Slavia Prague – Statistics & current form
At the national level, the Czech champions are already back in front. However, the top flight is once again proving to be at least one size too big for Jindrich Trpisovsky’s team. After four matchdays, the “Červenobili” are still without a win in the league phase (0-2-2). And the Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao odds in the sports betting apps also show that the Czechs are the underdogs.
Will Slavia Prague get their first CL win?
Admittedly, the omens for their first win in the top flight could be better. Not only has Trpisovsky’s team only managed one win in their last 13 matches against Spanish teams, but the Czech champions have now gone eleven European matches without a win (0-4-7). Their last European victory came in September 2024 against Ludogorets Razgrad at home in the Fortuna Arena.
In seven of their last eight games at European level, the “Sešívaní” have also conceded at least two goals. However, three of their four opponents in the Champions League so far, Atalanta Bergamo, Inter Milan, and Arsenal, have been of very high quality. In contrast, the 2-2 draw against Norwegian champions Bodö/Glimt at home was rather disappointing.
Despite the weak defensive statistics, we do not expect the visitors, who tend to be weak in attack away from home, to score a barrage of goals in the Czech capital. That is why the bookies are not offering particularly high odds for a Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao tip of more than one goal for the slight favorites. Nevertheless, we can well imagine that a bet on fewer than two goals from the Spaniards at the Fortuna Arena will pay off.
Athletic Bilbao – Statistics & current form
Thanks to a strong fourth place finish in the Spanish league last season, the Basques are back in Europe’s premier competition for the first time since the 2014/15 season. However, Ernesto Valverde’s team quickly realized that the bar is set higher there. They suffered heavy defeats against Arsenal, Dortmund, and Newcastle, with “Los Leones” managing just one goal in those games.
Second CL win for Bilbao?
At least they managed a home win against Qarabag FK from Azerbaijan, so their chances of qualifying for the next round of the Champions League are still alive. Nevertheless, the Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao odds suggest that the Basques will win the game in the Czech capital, and for good reason, so it’s probably best to just bet on a freebet.
Valverde’s team, which is strong at home, is almost traditionally much weaker away. At home in La Liga, they have managed just one away win in five games so far (1-1-3). And at European level, their away record this calendar year looks even more disastrous. Five of their six away games in 2025 have been lost, and they have yet to win an away game (0-1-5).
That’s why we’re rather skeptical about a Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction for an away win, even though their record against Czech teams has been positive so far (2-1-1). Last season, Bilbao stormed into the semifinals of the Europa League, where they were then eliminated by Manchester United. However, the Red and Whites are currently a long way from the gala form they displayed last season.
Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao Head-to-head record/H2H record
There has only been one direct comparison between the two teams so far. Last season, Bilbao won their home game against Slavia Prague in the Europa League. In general, the Czech champions do not have a good record against teams from Spain. Jindrich Trpisovsky’s team has won only one of their last 13 European Cup main round matches against Spanish teams (1-6-6).
Bilbao, on the other hand, has lost only one game against a Czech team so far (2-1-1). If, as expected, the Spanish favorites remain undefeated again on Tuesday, you won’t find high betting odds for this tip at Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao.
Slavia Prague – Athletic Bilbao Tip
The bookmakers see the probability of a tip for less than three goals in the game between Slavia Prague and Athletic Bilbao as higher than the probability of the opposite event. And we share this skepticism. We also expect a scrappy and competitive game at the Fortuna Arena. It is no coincidence that eight of Bilbao’s 13 games in the Spanish league so far have ended with fewer than three goals scored during the game.
In addition, Slavia Prague’s previous games in the Champions League have not been particularly exciting either. This is underlined by the fact that the Czech team’s Champions League games have had the least amount of net playing time of all games. Therefore, next Tuesday could once again be a battle with many interruptions, especially as there is a lot at stake for both teams.
The only previous meeting between the two teams in the previous season also produced just one meager goal. We expect a similar game in the upcoming clash, which is why our Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is that fewer than three goals will be scored in the Czech capital and that both teams will not score.
