Who will confirm the upward trend?
When AC Milan suffered a 1-2 home defeat against promoted Cremonese on the first matchday of the 2025/26 season, despite a summer transfer offensive and a renowned new coach, alarm bells rang throughout Lombardy. However, after two more games, which were won without conceding a goal against Lecce (2-0) and Bologna (1-0), the worst fears do not seem to have been confirmed. However, the Rossoneri now face their baptism of fire in Friuli. If the tip for an away win for Allegri’s team against Udinese comes true, they should finally be able to look up again.
However, Udinese Calcio has had a really strong start to the season, just like last season. The Zebrette have picked up seven out of a possible nine points and are currently in fourth place, but of course this should not be taken too seriously after only three games. Nevertheless, the 2-1 away win at Inter Milan was a statement victory. It is striking that both opponents have only conceded two goals so far, which is why we consider it very appropriate to avoid all the complications of the three-way system by betting on under 2.5 goals.
Basically, many factors, from the quality of the squad to the head-to-head comparison, suggest that the Rossoneri can build on their recent two clean sheet victories in Friuli. Although it is unlikely to be a high-scoring game, the combined tip on double chance X2 with under 3.5 goals is therefore a very logical alternative, which can be played via the practical ODDSET app at Udinese vs. AC Milan at odds of 1.63.
This would also cover a result such as 0-0 and take into account the fact that both teams have focused on defense, with only four goals scored so far. Only champions Napoli have conceded fewer goals (only one) than the Bianconeri and the Rossoneri (two each).
Udinese – AC Milan Head-to-head record / H2H record
Head to head: 23 – 37 – 47
A total of 107 matches have been played between the two teams so far, and AC Milan, who have won all of their last three Serie A games against Udinese Calcio, lead the head-to-head record with a total of 47 wins. In fact, the Rossoneri have lost only two of their last eleven competitive games against the Zebrette (six wins, three draws). The Rossoneri have also lost only one of their last five away games at the Friulani (three wins, one draw).
Udinese – AC Milan Tip
Basically, our prediction for Udinese vs. AC Milan leans toward the Rossoneri, who simply have more quality in their ranks and have won the last three games against the Bianconeri for good reason. Nevertheless, the Friulani’s strong start to the season, with seven out of a possible nine points and a respectable 2-1 away win at runners-up and Champions League finalists Inter Milan, has caught the attention. It could therefore be costly to rush into betting on an away win for the Rossoneri, especially as Il Diavolo stumbled against underdogs Cremonese on the first matchday (1-2).
Considering that the 2025/26 Serie A season is only three league games old, we would advise staying away from the three-way system. Instead, in light of two very stable defensive lines, which have each conceded only two goals in the first three matchdays, a bet on under 2.5 goals is a good option.
For a maximum of two goals to be scored in this traditional derby, the betting odds for Udinese vs. AC Milan are 1.78, which we are betting on at NEO.bet with four out of ten units.
