Will the Reds roll over Köpenick too?

FC Bayern Munich is simply unstoppable at the moment. Not only did the Reds, resting several offensive players, defeat the 2024 champions, Bayer Leverkusen, 3-0 last weekend, but they also won 2-1 away at Champions League winners PSG during the week. This means that FCB has won all 16 competitive games in the 2025/26 season. Accordingly, there seems to be no alternative to betting on the dominant record champions to win their next three points against Union Berlin.

The Ironers, on the other hand, are certainly not entirely dissatisfied with their 10th place in the table, but they have a lot of room for improvement, especially in offense. In their recent 0-0 draw with SC Freiburg, the Köpenickers failed to score for the fifth time in the first nine matchdays. The entire Berlin team has scored only eleven Bundesliga goals, which is surpassed by Harry Kane alone on the FCB side (12). It is therefore very likely that the Englishman will score again at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei when Union Berlin take on Bayern.

However, given that FCU have struggled to score goals at times, it would also be very conceivable to bet on a shutout victory for Munich.

Union Berlin vs. Bayern prediction AI

Due to the fact that Munich are currently steamrolling every opponent by every trick in the book, the odds for Köpenick to win a point are so high that AI actually sees the greatest value in Union Berlin vs. Bayern in the AI prediction. For the double chance 1X, the Bet-at-home app is offering odds of 4.20, which translates into a probability of 23.8 percent. The AI, on the other hand, calculates that Union Berlin has a 26.3 percent chance of winning a point, resulting in a positive expected value. However, due to the very high risk, caution should still be exercised when placing a bet.

Union Berlin – Statistics & current form

After finishing 13th in the final table of the 2025/26 season, 1. FC Union Berlin is in a solid tenth place after nine match days with eleven out of a possible 27 points. The Iron Ones also advanced to the round of 16 of the DFB Cup, where they will face the German record champions again in three and a half weeks. Against this backdrop, this game is also about making a small statement.

However, the Köpenickers have already failed to score in five Bundesliga games this season and, at only 33 percent, have the lowest possession rate in the league. Defensively, they face an extreme test, as Bayern have never fallen behind this season and have not conceded a single goal before the break. Steffen Baumgart’s starting eleven is also one of the older ones in the league (average age 27 years and 340 days), which highlights their experience but makes precision and relief even more important in transition phases.

Steffen Baumgart has to do without Christopher Trimmel

The fact that we see no value in betting on Union Berlin to get a point against Bayern is also due to the absence of captain Christopher Trimmel, who is suspended after picking up a yellow card. His 22 assists are only surpassed by Leipzig’s David Raum. Last season, FCU averaged only 0.5 points from eight Bundesliga games without him, compared to 1.4 with him.

Up front, Andrej Ilic is working against a striking record: no goals from 3.4 expected goals (-3.4 is the highest negative value in the league). Against an opponent that has kept six clean sheets, the quality of the first touch in the penalty area and robustness on second balls will be crucial. Set pieces, clean deep runs, and avoiding mistakes in the first line of build-up play are the ways to disrupt Bayern’s streak and break their own goal drought.

Bayern – Statistics & current form

It is therefore clear and unambiguous that the odds for Union Berlin against Bayern are in favor of the visitors, whose away win is priced at just 1.25 at Interwetten.

The season is going like clockwork with nine wins from nine Bundesliga games. Even their own record of ten wins at the start of the 2015/16 season is within reach. In addition, Bayern have scored at least twice in each of their last 17 league games. The last time this was not the case was in the 1-1 draw with Union Berlin. This season, the league leaders have never fallen behind and have not conceded a goal before half-time. This profile is underpinned by 64 percent possession and six clean sheets.

Will Kane get back on the scoresheet in Berlin?

Harry Kane came off the bench against Leverkusen (3-0) but was unable to get on the scoresheet against the Werkself, he has already scored twelve Bundesliga goals in 2025/26, exceeding his expected goals value by 5.3 goals (twelve goals at 6.7 xG) – the best in the league.

Vincent Kompany’s goal-getter needed just 47 minutes on average per goal involvement in the top flight of German soccer, which is why the Köpenickers are in for a tough time if he starts again. After all, Munich has not had much trouble against FCU so far. In twelve Bundesliga matches against the capital city club, they have never lost (eight wins, four draws).

Union Berlin – Bayern Head-to-head record

Head to head: 0 – 4 – 8

The two teams have crossed paths twelve times so far, with these twelve competitive games dating back to the last six years together in the Bundesliga. In all twelve cases, 1. FC Union Berlin remained completely winless against the German record champions, who lead the head-to-head record with eight wins. Never before in Bundesliga history has a team played so often against a single opponent without ever winning a game.

Union Berlin – Bayern Tip

There is little to no reason to believe that Union Berlin will get a point against Bayern, having failed to score in five of their nine league games and now facing an opponent who has won two-thirds of all Bundesliga games without conceding a goal.

Moreover, FCB has never lost to Union Berlin in twelve encounters (eight wins, four draws) and is traveling to the German capital in exhilarating form shortly before the international break. The Reds have won all 16 competitive games of the 2025/26 season.

It is striking that Harry Kane has not scored in two consecutive competitive games, but has not only scored twelve goals in the Bundesliga, but has also needed an average of just 47 minutes per goal involvement. Accordingly, we believe that the British player is likely to score again at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei.