Will Werder score points on the Spree?
The visitors from the Weser have been welcome guests this season: the North Germans have won only one of twelve away games, with two-thirds ending in defeat! Read our Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen tip to find out how the visitors’ prospects look for their upcoming match in Berlin!
One of the visitors’ shortcomings is their often harmless offense on the road, and this problem has recently become even more acute: looking back at their last five away games, Bremen have scored only one goal! Just how weak Werder’s attack is on their travels can also be seen from the fact that they score less than once on average (0.91).
However, there is hope in Bremen thanks to a new signing. We are talking about Jovan Milošević. The Serbian was loaned from Stuttgart in mid-January this year and has quickly settled in.
Although he has mainly been used for short spells so far, he has scored in three of his eight appearances. He also found the net on the last matchday in the home win against Heidenheim. A three-pointer that should have calmed the nerves of the visitors at least a little. Thanks to this success, Thioune’s team ended a run of 13 league games without a win!
Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen AI prediction
AI has compared the available odds with the calculated probabilities of victory for both teams and has not found any value in the odds for both teams to score. Our artificial intelligence estimates the probability of this Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen AI prediction at 52.9 percent.
Union Berlin – Statistics & current form
The Köpenickers are in tenth place in the middle of the table. The lack of sporting prospects seems to be leading to a slight drop in motivation on the pitch. One example was the last match in Gladbach, which was only lost due to a penalty for the opponents in injury time, but the defeat was not undeserved given Berlin’s poor offensive play.
At least at home, however, Union are largely stable: they recently defeated Leverkusen, one of the top teams in the league, and only three of the twelve home games played this season ended in defeat for coach Steffen Baumgart’s team.
However, their defensive performances in front of their own fans have often been lacking this season. This is also evident from the fact that two-thirds of the twelve home games played ended with both sides scoring goals.
Coach Baumgart recently had to replace three injured defenders, Rothe, Leite and Juranovic, and rebuild his defense by promoting Frenchman Stanley N’Soki to the starting lineup, among other changes.
Union coach Baumgart may reconsider the latter personnel decision, as N’Soki’s individual error in the last match against Mönchengladbach led to a decisive penalty for the opponents.
Will both sides score?
In view of this, we believe that the betting odds for both sides to score again in the match between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen are also attractive.
Furthermore, the hosts are not performing well at the moment: they have lost four of their last six Bundesliga matches (1-1-4) – that’s as many defeats as in their previous 15 games in the German top flight. Both Union and Werder Bremen have also only picked up five points in the second half of the season. Only Heidenheim and Wolfsburg (2 each) have scored fewer points.
Werder Bremen – Statistics & current form
The kickers from the Weser have had a new coach, Daniel Thioune, for four match days. The former Düsseldorf coach took over Horst Steffen’s team in 15th place and with a heavy mental burden on the team due to ten games without a win.
At first, Thioune was unable to reverse the downward trend. On the contrary, his record in the first three games under his leadership was very poor, with zero points and only one goal scored. Last weekend, however, they secured their first three points in a home game against Heidenheim.
The victory should give the players from the Weser a new boost. However, one shortcoming of the offense is its particularly harmless performance in the first halves of games. With seven goals before the break, Werder has the lowest number in the league in this phase of the game.
No goals from Bremen in the first half again?
In light of this record, the odds on the visitors not scoring before the break are also attractive in the match between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen.
Due to their offensive weakness in the first halves, the North Germans have only been ahead at halftime in two of eleven away games this season, and the majority (5) of their eight away defeats were accompanied by a deficit after the first half.
Schmid can take on Olise!
In addition to new signing Milosevic, the visitors are also relying on Romano Schmid in attack. The 26-year-old Austrian recently set up his sixth goal of this Bundesliga season, equaling his personal BL record (as in 2023/24). On top of that, his 55 goal assists from the current season are tied for the league lead with Bayern’s Michael Olise, which should certainly be interesting for a potential Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen tip!
Union Berlin – Werder Bremen Head-to-head record
The Kicker from the Spree lost their last duel against the four-time German champions 0-1 last October on the Weser. Due to this defeat, Berlin have been waiting for a win in this pairing for three meetings (0-1-2).
However, the home record is much more positive from the capital city club’s point of view: they have not lost to Werder in four games in front of their own fans and have only failed to win once. The odds for the upcoming match between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen once again give the home side a slight advantage.
Union Berlin – Werder Bremen Tip
Union ended a previous run of seven league games without a win with a home victory against Leverkusen on the penultimate matchday. It was also their first win this year, but it was followed by another defeat in Gladbach.
We therefore still do not consider the Köpenick team to be consistent. In addition, they have never celebrated two wins in a row in their last 26 Bundesliga home games. Among the current Bundesliga clubs, only bottom-of-the-table Heidenheim has also failed to celebrate two wins in a row in its last 26 home games.
The visitors, for their part, are traveling with renewed confidence. Their latest three points even ended a dry spell of 13 league games without a win. For coach Thioune, these were also his first points, and the North Germans climbed at least to the relegation play-off spot in the table.
There is also hope in Bremen that Jovan Milošević, a strong striker, is finally available. The player, on loan from Stuttgart, has scored in each of the last two games, and that in just 100 minutes of play.
Although he had to be substituted early in the last game due to a back injury, it is probably not a serious injury, so we expect him to be back on the pitch at Wuhlheide. His class comes as no surprise.
In the first half of the season, he also played on loan from Stuttgart at Partizan Belgrade, where Milošević is still the club’s top scorer this season with a dozen goals! Against this backdrop, we are predicting that the visitors will not lose in the match between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen.
