Will the Nerazzurri win their third game?
Inter Milan had a slightly difficult start under new coach Cristian Chivu. However, the Nerazzurri are now back up to speed. In Serie A, they secured an important 1-0 away win in Saturday’s top-of-the-table clash with AS Roma. Thanks in part to defending champions Napoli’s slip-up, the Lombards are now back at the top of the table.
Finally, “La Beneamata” also started the Champions League group stage with two wins – and in both cases did not concede a single goal. No other team in the premier class has had such a high clean sheet ratio since the start of the 2022/23 season. The Nerazzurri have kept a clean sheet in 22 of 38 games (58 percent). It is therefore conceivable to extend the prediction for Union Saint Gilloise vs. Inter Milan to an away win for the Italians by betting on a clean sheet victory. This can be done via the Betano app at odds of 2.92.
Another factor in favor of a clean sheet for the Lombards is that Union Saint Gilloise has lost its last two European home games without scoring. On the last matchday, the Unionistes were even crushed 4-0 by Newcastle United. Therefore, the odds for Union Saint Gilloise vs. Inter Milan are interesting, with the Nerazzurri winning in Flanders by either 1-0, 2-0, or 3-0. Winamax is offering odds of 3.45 for this exact prediction.
Union Saint Gilloise vs. Inter Milan Prediction AI
Every now and then, our human prediction and the AI prediction contradict each other sharply. However, this is not the case in this match, as the AI prediction for Union Saint Gilloise vs. Inter Milan also points to an away win for the Nerazzurri. However, AI calculates that the Lombards have a 60.5 percent chance of winning, which makes this tip a value tip.
Union Saint Gilloise – Statistics & current form
Union Saint Gilloise is still the team to beat in Belgium despite its recent 0-1 away defeat to Club Brugge, sitting at the top of the table with 26 out of a possible 33 points. In the Champions League, however, it was unable to build on its 3-1 opening win at PSV Eindhoven. The Flemish side lost their first home game of this Champions League season 4-0 to Newcastle United.
Previously, only one Belgian club had lost its first two home games in the Champions League (Royal Antwerp in 2023/24). In addition, they suffered two consecutive European home defeats without scoring a goal (0-2 against Ajax, 0-4 against Newcastle). It is therefore somewhat surprising that the Bet-at-home app is offering odds of just 1.40 on Union Saint Gilloise scoring more than 0.5 home goals against Inter Milan.
Union Saint Gilloise with a presence in the center
The challenge is clear: Inter have won both games without conceding a goal in this Champions League season and have held the record for clean sheets since the start of the 2022/23 season (22; in 58 percent of games). Union SG will therefore need maximum effectiveness around the second ball to break down the Italian defensive concept.
At least Flanders’ presence in midfield is quite consistent. Ousseynou Niang has won the ball back more often than any other player this Champions League season (18; tied with Micky van de Ven) and clearly leads the ranking. If they manage to convert their ball recoveries into clean transitions, the risk of slipping into a third consecutive goalless European home game will decrease.
Inter Milan – Statistics & current form
Inter Milan not only climbed to second place in Serie A with a 1-0 away win at AS Roma, making a strong comeback in the battle for the Scudetto, but also got off to a perfect start in the Champions League. With plenty of momentum behind them, the Biscione return to Belgium. The last three wins in a row (all against Anderlecht between 1997 and 2004) were against Belgian clubs.
In this Champions League season, Inter has two wins without conceding a goal (2-0 against Ajax, 3-0 against Slavia Prague). Three opening wins with a clean sheet would be a first in the club’s history. In general, the defensive base is impressive: since the start of the 2022/23 season, Inter have recorded more clean sheets than any other team in the Champions League (22), which corresponds to 58 percent of all games.
Will Lautaro Martínez score again for Inter Milan?
Lautaro Martínez is the top Champions League scorer in 2025 alongside Harry Kane and Kylian Mbappé (ten goals in nine appearances) and has been more efficient than any other player with at least ten attempts during this period, with a conversion rate of 48 percent (ten out of 21 shots). In addition, with his 60th appearance in the Champions League for “La Beneamata,” he could catch up with Iván Córdoba and share third place in the club’s history (behind Javier Zanetti and Esteban Cambiasso).
In goal, Yann Sommer is underlining his impact: Since the start of the 2023/24 season, no other keeper in the Champions League has prevented more goals based on xG on target (+6.98; 19 goals conceded with 25.98 xG). With this axis and the current defensive stability, Cristian Chivu’s team travels to Belgium as the clear favorite.
Union Saint Gilloise – Inter Milan Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
There has never been an international competitive match between the two teams before. This means that there is no head-to-head data available that could influence our prediction for Union Saint Gilloise vs. Inter Milan in any way.
Union Saint Gilloise – Inter Milan Tip
Not only from a human perspective, but also according to the AI’s assessment, there is virtually no alternative to betting on an away win for the Nerazzurri in Union Saint Gilloise vs. Inter Milan. The Lombards are in very good form, defend consistently and, at the same time, always pose the necessary threat in front of goal, even when playing a not-so-defensive style. It is therefore likely to be difficult for the Belgians to stop their current run of two consecutive home defeats in Europe.
In principle, bets on a clean sheet victory for the defensively strong Italians would also be conceivable. However, our main recommendation is to stick with the three-way system and log tip 2. The odds for Union Saint Gilloise vs. Inter Milan are 1.68, which we are betting on at Winamax with six out of ten units.
