Will Stuttgart finally celebrate a home win again?
The stage is set for the penultimate round of the Bundesliga season. However, all eyes in the Swabian capital of Stuttgart are already on the cup final in Berlin. The trip to Berlin is the highlight of the season for the Swabians, who can still salvage a rather disappointing campaign.
Nevertheless, they still need to finish the league season on a high note. And the bookies’ prediction for VfB Stuttgart against Augsburg is quite optimistic that the Brustringträger will see their fans off into the summer break with a home win.
The visitors from Augsburg, on the other hand, are out of the race for European places after their completely unexpected home defeat against Holstein Kiel last weekend. The Bavarian Swabians are therefore also looking to finish the season on a high note without pursuing any higher goals. If VfB Stuttgart beat Augsburg, Jess Thorup’s team could overtake their upcoming hosts in the table.
VfB Stuttgart vs. Augsburg prediction AI
The artificial intelligence sees the home team’s chances of winning on Sunday as slightly lower than the bookies. From the AI’s point of view, there is therefore slight value in betting on an unbeaten result for the underdogs.
Just like us, the VfB Stuttgart vs. Augsburg AI prediction also expects that a bet on more than two goals being scored in the game will pay off. While Hoeneß’s team has an xG value of 1.72 according to the AI lady BETSiE, she does not quite believe that the visitors from Augsburg will score a goal at the MHP Arena (xG value 0.89).
VfB Stuttgart – Statistics & current form
Was this the turning point for VfB? After all the setbacks of recent weeks, the away win at St. Pauli was balm for the battered Swabian football soul. And betting provider NEO.bet is very confident that Hoeneß’s team will celebrate their second win in a row this Saturday, with a generous NEO.bet deposit bonus currently on offer. In any case, the home team is the clear favorite in the VfB Stuttgart vs. Augsburg odds. Perhaps even too clear?
Seventh home defeat in a row?
Admittedly, six home defeats in a row do not necessarily inspire confidence in a VfB Stuttgart vs. Augsburg tip for the home team. However, the last home defeats against Leverkusen, Bremen, and Heidenheim were not necessarily deserved. Especially in the most recent home game against Heidenheim, luck was by no means on Stuttgart’s side. Based on the xG values in that game, VfB fans were right to wonder how their team could have lost that match.
The question of VfB’s motivation in the remaining two Bundesliga games also remains. This lies in getting back into top form in time for the cup final and finishing the season on a high note. And, if possible, making up a few places in the table to earn a few extra euros in TV money.
One or two players will also need to take the opportunity to recommend themselves for a place in the cup final with strong performances. FCA are a welcome guest on the Neckar. Each of the last five home games against the Bavarian Swabians went to Hoeneß’s team. That’s why we’re expecting another VfB victory against the slightly weakened visitors on Sunday.
Augsburg – Statistics & current form
FC Augsburg has been transformed in the second half of the season. After a desolate first half, which saw them lose 5-1 to newly promoted Kiel in what was an absolute low point, Jess Thorup’s team has gone from strength to strength. Above all, the return of former German U21 national goalkeeper Finn Dahmen between the posts more than paid off for the Fuggerstadt club. At one point, the Bavarian Swabians even had the strongest defense in Europe’s top leagues this calendar year.
Next defeat for FCA?
However, the dip in form came at an inopportune moment for Danish coach Jess Thorup’s team. Just as hopes of European football were beginning to blossom in Augsburg, suddenly very little was going right for the Bundesliga’s eleventh-placed side. The team from southern Bavaria has celebrated just one win in its last six games. The home defeat against Kiel was the low point of the recent negative trend.
Holstein Kiel again – so the circle is complete for the Fuggerstadt club. It’s impossible to imagine where FCA would be if they had picked up six points against the promoted side this season. If, if, if – ultimately, it’s now just a matter of pride for the visitors in our VfB Stuttgart vs. Augsburg tip with the bet365 deposit bonus. In all likelihood, it will not be enough for a place in the European Cup.
Therefore, it is to be expected that Thorup’s team could be running out of steam a little on Sunday. In any case, we do not expect VfB to mess up their seventh home game in a row against their favorite opponents from Augsburg. After losing only one of their first 13 games in the second half of the season, Augsburg have now suffered two defeats in a row.
VfB Stuttgart – Augsburg Head-to-head record / H2H record
The two teams have faced each other 57 times in total. VfB have dominated proceedings, winning 31 times, while Augsburg have only managed half as many victories (17). The points have been shared just nine times. The Bavarian Swabians’ record in Württemberg is even worse.
At home on the Neckar, VfB has celebrated 19 wins in 29 encounters. Only six times has FCA taken all three points from the Swabian capital (19-4-6). That’s why the betting odds for VfB Stuttgart against Augsburg are pointing to another three points in the upcoming home game.
VfB Stuttgart – Augsburg betting tip
The two teams have met twice so far this season, but only VfB have fond memories of those games. After a 1-0 away win in the first round, the home game in the DFB Cup quarter-finals a few weeks later ended with the same result for Hoeneß’s side. Overall, the Brustringträger have won their last six competitive games in a row against FCA.
In our VfB Stuttgart vs. Augsburg prediction, we are therefore following the bookmakers’ assessment. Stuttgart are the better-equipped team in the upcoming duel and were convincing in their recent away win at St. Pauli. Now they want to break the spell in their home games as well. Augsburg, on the other hand, suffered a bitter home defeat against second-bottom Kiel last weekend, picking up just one point from their last three games.
Jess Thorup’s team has managed just one measly goal in its last three games. FCA has also failed to score in both of its encounters with VfB this season. This makes the Fuggerstadt club the only team apart from VfL Bochum this season to fail to overcome the vulnerable Schwaben defense in two competitive games.
However, VfB also only scored once in each of their two games against Augsburg. So, there hasn’t exactly been a spectacle in the previous encounters between VfB Stuttgart and Augsburg.
Nevertheless, we believe that a few goals are likely to be scored at the MHP Arena this time around. The pressure is off both teams, so we are expecting a lively and entertaining game on Sunday afternoon. Both defenses have looked vulnerable recently, but both teams have some quality going forward.