Will VfB remain a force to be reckoned with on the Neckar?
Baden-Württemberg derby at the MHP Arena! The betting providers leave no doubt that the hosts are the favorites in our VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg tip.
After the Swabians clearly won the last two duels against their Baden rivals in their own living room, this assessment is certainly correct.
VfB sent SC Freiburg home with 4-0 and 5-0 defeats on the Neckar. In addition, the duel between the two Europa League participants pits a strong home team against a rather weak away team. And the current form of both teams also favors the hosts.
That’s why our VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg prediction is once again leaning towards a home win this coming Sunday.
The most recent encounters between the two teams have also mostly been high-scoring affairs. However, we expect most of the goals in the upcoming match to come from the Swabians.
VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg prediction AI
The current odds of 1.75 for a home win, which we found at the betting provider Betano, correspond to a 57.1% probability of victory. In contrast, the VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg AI prediction calculates only a 51.6% probability of a home win.
Conversely, AI sees the probability of an away win at 25.5%. This means that the odds for a Freiburg win should be around four. In fact, however, we currently find 4.40 for tip 2. According to the VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg AI prediction, value can therefore be derived from betting on an away win.
VfB Stuttgart – Statistics & current form
Things continue to go well for VfB in the Bundesliga in 2026. They have won three of their four games, with the only slight blemish being the draw in their last home game against Union Berlin. After VfB had already shown themselves to be strong at home in the first half of the season, but were always prone to slip-ups away from home, the Swabians won both away games in the second half of the season at the start of the year.
Will Stuttgart continue their winning streak?
Nevertheless, our VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg prediction must not ignore the fact that Hoeneß’s team has only won one of its last four home games on the Neckar. In particular, the style of play of Hoffenheim and, most recently, Union Berlin, both of which took home a point, is likely to serve as a blueprint for SC Freiburg this coming Sunday.
With a strong defensive unit, the two aforementioned teams managed to take the wind out of VfB’s sails in their own living room. However, the Brustringträger’s numerous missed chances meant that luck certainly played a part in both points wins.
Nevertheless, the VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg odds from the best sports betting providers are predicting another home win. With a little more concentration and a bit of luck in front of goal, we see little reason to disagree with the bookies’ assessment.
Freiburg – Statistics & current form
SC Freiburg has felt much more comfortable at home this season than away from home. As soon as SC left the Black Forest this season, Julian Schuster’s team played a class worse than at their home stadium, the Europaparkstadion. They have five defeats and only two wins in their Bundesliga away record (2-3-5), with the low point being the defeat at bottom-of-the-table Heidenheim.
Another defeat away from home?
Julian Schuster’s team has scored only 13 times in away games so far, but has conceded 21 goals. We would therefore not rule out the possibility of SC Stuttgart keeping a clean sheet again, as they did in their last two away games on the Neckar. VfB Stuttgart has been largely convincing defensively this season.
We also see potential for a VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg tip on more than one goal from the offensively strong hosts – and it’s even risk-free for new customers with the Oddset free bet without deposit. The Breisgauers have major problems in defense in away games, conceding more than twice on average against keeper Noah Atubolu. In their two Bundesliga away games this year in Leipzig and Augsburg, they conceded two goals in each.
VfB Stuttgart – Freiburg Head-to-head record
With 28 wins from 52 games, VfB leads the head-to-head comparison. Freiburg has won 19 times, with only five games ending in a draw. Sebastian Hoeneß’s team has also dominated most of the recent encounters between the two sides.
The Swabians have won three of the last five encounters, including the last two home games against the Breisgauers. Not least because of this, the betting odds for VfB Stuttgart against Freiburg on Sunday are once again favoring the home team.
VfB Stuttgart – Freiburg Tip
Both teams played in the Europa League during the week. However, while Stuttgart hosted Young Boys Bern at home on the Neckar, Freiburg are still feeling the effects of their trip and tough game in Lille. This is certainly an advantage for Sebastian Hoeneß’s team.
In addition, they are still looking for revenge for their defeat in the first leg. VfB lost in Breisgau in the first half of the season and naturally want to avoid a second defeat in a season against Julian Schuster’s team. In any case, we are confident that they will succeed, according to our VfB Stuttgart vs. Freiburg prediction.
Stuttgart is the stronger team in this match, with greater individual talent and better playing skills. In addition, as mentioned above, a team that is strong at home is facing a team that is rather weak away, which is why the roles are clearly defined ahead of the upcoming match. For these reasons, we expect Stuttgart to win the upcoming match and score at least two goals in the process.
In three of four second-half matches in the Bundesliga, VfB scored at least three goals. Due to the high odds, it therefore makes sense to bet that Sebastian Hoeneß’s team will score more than twice again this Sunday. As we know, they already managed this in their last two home games against Freiburg.
