Will Heidenheim be the party pooper again?

Once again, VfB Stuttgart is the clear favorite in the “El Schwabico” against its small neighbor from the Swabian province. But in the only two meetings so far at the MHP Arena in the German top flight, the neighbor from the Ostalb has been the spoilsport. Nevertheless, there are good reasons to bet on a home win for VfB Stuttgart against Heidenheim this time.

Because while Heidenheim has been out of luck in its away games so far this season, the Brustringträger have been confident in their home games. And it goes without saying that the hosts have significantly more quality on their side. Our VfB Stuttgart vs. Heidenheim prediction therefore assumes that the MHP Arena will remain a fortress even after the sixth matchday in the German top flight.

Heidenheim’s offense has finally improved somewhat after scoring only one goal in the first three matchdays. Since VfB is known to always concede a goal, we believe the underdogs will also score at the MHP Arena.

However, we do not believe Schmidt’s team will score big. Anyone looking for high odds on VfB Stuttgart vs. Heidenheim could therefore be right to bet on a VfB victory with a goal conceded.

VfB Stuttgart vs. Heidenheim AI prediction

AI lady BETSiE sees an even greater chance of victory for the home team than the bookies in her VfB Stuttgart vs. Heidenheim AI prediction, so there is actually still some value in the low odds for a favorite win. In addition, the AI predicts several goals in the match, just like us.

While VfB has an impressive xG value of 2.45, their small neighbors Heidenheim, with an xG value of 0.92, are still close to scoring a goal from BETSiE’s point of view. We can only fully agree with this VfB Stuttgart vs. Heidenheim AI prediction.

VfB Stuttgart – Statistics & current form

VfB is at the top of the 1. Bundesliga after their away win in Cologne last week. With nine points from their first five games, they are currently in fifth place, so they have already achieved their league target for the season. And it gets even better.

Will VfB stumble again against their smaller neighbors?

Nevertheless, Sebastian Hoeneß is likely to rub salt in the wound for VfB. He is well aware that veteran coach Frank Schmidt has stolen points from him in both of their only two encounters at the MHP Arena in the German top flight, in what has been a David versus Goliath matchup. Will it be worth betting on the underdog again on Sunday when VfB Stuttgart take on Heidenheim?

In any case, we don’t believe Frank Schmidt and his team will pull off a third win on the Neckar. And with good reason, because VfB have been strong in their home games in the league and Europa League so far – and Heidenheim have been weak away from home. Last Sunday, the Swabians also secured their first away win of the new season. So it seems that the newly formed VfB are slowly finding their groove.

Woltemade and Millot are gone, Undav is injured. So what? With the strong new signings, who have quickly settled into VfB’s style of play, Sebastian Hoeneß has even more options than last season. Bilal El Khannous and Lorenz Assignon are already established in the starting lineup. In addition, Chema Andres and Badredine Bouanani are pushing for a place in the starting lineup, in which even captain Atakan Karazor was no longer guaranteed a place.

So VfB has enough quality and options at its disposal. If Sebastian Hoeneß finds the right tactics against his small neighbors, who will mainly focus on defending and counterattacking, and his players reach anything close to their normal form, nothing should stand in the way of the first Bundesliga home win against FCH this time.

Heidenheim – Statistics & current form

A liberating victory for 1. FC Heidenheim in the Bundesliga relegation battle. After four defeats at the start of the season, Schmidt’s team finally managed to secure three points again last weekend in their home game against Augsburg. This raises the question of whether the victory against the Fuggerstadt team was a spark or just a flash in the pan. In any case, the VfB Stuttgart vs. Heidenheim odds at sports betting sites with cash out do not give the Ostälbler the best chances of scoring at the MHP Arena.

Will Heidenheim score again in Stuttgart?

However, the bookies didn’t do this before the Brenzstadt team’s first two appearances in the German top flight against their big neighbors VfB Stuttgart. And both times, Schmidt’s team remained undefeated on the Neckar. Heidenheim seems to feel at home in VfB’s living room. After a spectacular draw two years ago, the team from the Swabian Ostalb even won the game last year – and without conceding a goal. 

There was certainly a good dose of luck involved in last year’s victory. However, a strong defense and passionate fighting spirit, as seen in that victory, will also be necessary this coming Sunday in order to take home some points. In addition, we can hope that our opponents will be suffering from European Cup fatigue. Nevertheless, our VfB Stuttgart vs. Heidenheim tip leans toward the hosts.

Last weekend, the defense was finally secure again until the late goal in stoppage time, although in the end, once again, they did not keep a clean sheet. Against Stuttgart, veteran coach Frank Schmidt’s vulnerable defense is likely to cause him more headaches than against the harmless Augsburg team.

And even the Brenzstadt team’s previously weak offense scored twice against the Fuggerstadt team. However, Augsburg was probably the right opponent in this situation, as Sandro Wagner’s team put in a desolate performance at the Schlossberg. A much more difficult task now awaits Schmidt’s team in the local derby in the Swabian capital, which we are eagerly looking forward to this coming Sunday.

VfB Stuttgart – Heidenheim Head-to-head record

The two teams have faced each other in a total of eight competitive matches in the professional leagues so far. And indeed, the small club from the edge of the Ostalb has managed to keep the overall record even against the five-time German champions from the Swabian capital. Each side has won three games, with two draws. Frank Schmidt’s team also won the away game at the MHP Arena last season. 

VfB Stuttgart – Heidenheim Tip

With their victory over FC Augsburg, Heidenheim was able to give themselves some breathing room in the relegation battle. However, the victory against a very weak Augsburg team, who suffered their fourth Bundesliga defeat in a row at the Schlossberg, should not be overrated. Frank Schmidt’s team will certainly have gained new confidence from their first Bundesliga win in a long time. However, their upcoming opponents are also brimming with confidence.

VfB have taken maximum points from their last three league games. In addition, the team from the Swabian capital still have something to prove in the derby against their smaller neighbors. In three of the four encounters in the German top flight so far, VfB has failed to beat Heidenheim – derbies have their own rules, after all. However, as we consider the Heidenheim team to be weaker this season than in the previous two years, our VfB Stuttgart vs. Heidenheim prediction still leans towards a win for the favorites.

The question remains as to how the game might unfold. Basically, we expect to see a few goals again this coming Sunday. In two of the last three Swabian neighborhood derbies, the three-goal mark was broken. In addition, we can well imagine that FCH, buoyed by last weekend’s victory, will initially be able to keep up well at the MHP Arena, perhaps even surprising VfB with an early goal.

“Heidenheim scores first” is therefore an interesting tip for the match between VfB Stuttgart and Heidenheim. The same applies to a tip on a VfB victory with a goal conceded or a victory for Hoeneß’s team after falling behind. However, these tips certainly fall into the category of risky tips. A safer and more solid bet, but also one with much lower odds, is to bet on a home win with at least two goals in the game, which we, like the bookies, consider very likely.