How much energy has VfB saved for the Europa League?
Red Bulls sandwiched between Porto matches—that’s VfB’s schedule these days. Between the two Round of 16 Europa League clashes against the historic Portuguese club, the top Bundesliga matchup against Leipzig is set for this coming Sunday.
The battle for the coveted starting spots in Europe’s premier competition is tighter and more exciting this season than ever before. Following Leipzig’s victory and Stuttgart’s dropped point last matchday, both teams are level on points heading into the upcoming showdown. On Sunday, however, the Saxons face one of the league’s strongest home teams. Our VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig prediction therefore does not lean toward an away win.
When the Red Bulls have faced the Red-and-Whites recently, the matches have always been high-scoring. Both teams possess a lot of quality on offense, which is why we almost inevitably expect another goal-filled match this coming Sunday.
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig AI Prediction
According to the VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig AI prediction, there is no value in betting on a home win. While Betano offers odds of 2.27 for this, the AI calculates only fair odds of 2.35. The AI derives very slight value for the away win, which stands at 2.8 according to the AI (Betano currently offers 2.85).
Just as we would with our human judgment, the VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig AI prediction forecasts several goals in the upcoming match (xG value is 1.9 to 1.68). For the bet that both teams will score, the AI calculates a high probability of 68.7%. However, this probability is still significantly lower than the 1.33 odds offered by Betano for both teams to score.
VfB Stuttgart – Stats & Current Form
The fact remains that VfB simply feels more at home at the Neckar this season. In their last three Bundesliga away games against relegation candidates St. Pauli, Heidenheim, and Mainz, Sebastian Hoeneß’s team managed to secure just two measly points. Stuttgart’s young coach must be glad that his team has another home game coming up this weekend.
Another home win for VfB?
After all, at home in the MHP Arena, the Red-and-Whites have won each of their last three home games in the Bundesliga. In fact, only Bayern Munich has managed to take all three points from the Swabian capital this season. That’s why our VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig prediction is that the Swabians will secure at least one point this coming Sunday.
After all, VfB has almost always dominated recent matchups against the Red Bulls. The only slip-up against the Saxons in the last three Bundesliga seasons was the loss in the first half of this season. At home, however, Hoeneß’s squad definitely has the potential to break down Leipzig.
Above all, Stuttgart’s offense, led by the currently in-form strikers Deniz Undav and Ermedin Dermirovic, is likely to pose some problems for Leipzig’s defense.
RB Leipzig – Statistics & Current Form
For much of last week, it looked as though Leipzig would also fall victim to FC Augsburg’s current form. It wasn’t until stoppage time that the Saxons managed to score the decisive goal against the Fuggerstadt side. An enormously important three points for Ole Werner’s team, which thus stays in the hunt for Champions League spots in the tight race against their upcoming opponent.
Will Leipzig overtake VfB?
Level on points with the Swabians, the Red Bulls lie in fifth place, lying in wait, and could overtake VfB Stuttgart in the table with a win in the upcoming match. However, online bookmakers aren’t convinced of an away win on the Neckar, which is why the VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig odds for this coming Sunday show Ole Werner’s team as the underdog.
Recently, though, the Saxons have been impressive on the road, losing just one of their last five away games (3-1-1). A closer look at their last five away opponents, however, reveals that for a team with ambitions of reaching the Champions League, there were also some absolute must-win matches among them.
It is unlikely to be quite as easy this coming Sunday in Stuttgart as it was recently against the two promoted teams, HSV and Cologne, where the Red Bulls have fallen short in the last two seasons. However, in our VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig prediction, we’re expecting at least one goal from the visitors—who have failed to score just twice on the road this season—in a high-scoring match.
VfB Stuttgart – RB Leipzig Head-to-Head Record
The overall record for this matchup so far clearly favors the Red Bulls. Leipzig has won ten of the 16 encounters, while VfB has been victorious four times. Only twice has this match ended in a draw. After RB clearly dominated this rivalry for a long time following their promotion to the Bundesliga, the balance of power between the two teams has shifted in recent matches.
The Red-Whites have celebrated their four wins against Leipzig in the last five encounters. However, the Saxons won the first leg at home. Nevertheless, the Red-Whites enter the second leg as favorites in the VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig betting odds.
VfB Stuttgart – RB Leipzig Prediction
While Stuttgart had to push themselves to their limits against Porto in the Europa League on Thursday, Leipzig was able to prepare all week for this top Bundesliga clash and enters the match well-rested—a clear advantage for RB Leipzig.
Nevertheless, we remain skeptical about Ole Werner’s team securing three points.
However, we believe it’s a safer bet than picking a winner that goals will be scored in Bad Cannstatt on Sunday. After all, both teams have an attacking mindset firmly embedded in their DNA and will look to push forward in this pivotal match for both sides.
That’s why we expect several goals this coming Sunday, with both sides finding the net. In the last five Bundesliga clashes between the two teams, a total of 23 goals were scored—more than four per game. In their last three home matches against the Red Bulls in the league and DFB-Pokal, VfB also celebrated convincing victories.
It remains to be seen whether the Swabians, still feeling the effects of their tough Europa League match against Porto, can pull this off again against a well-rested Bullen side. An early lead would certainly play into Sebastian Hoeneß’s team’s hands on Sunday. Ultimately, however, we expect the Red-Whites—who are strong at home—to pick up at least one point in this match.
