Can Villarreal get their first three points in the Champions League?

The chances of these two teams reaching the next round are currently not good. The Yellow Submarine, in particular, is lagging well behind its own expectations. The question for the Villarreal vs. FC Copenhagen tip is therefore whether the hosts can finally secure their first win.

Coach Marcelino’s team has only one point to its name, even though it is doing very well domestically and is hot on the heels of Barcelona and Real Madrid. On Wednesday, however, it will face opponents who recently secured their first win. This is an opportunity for Villarreal to pick up three points.

Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the Champions League table. Mathematically, both still have a chance of advancing, but this is becoming increasingly unlikely. The hosts are favorites in the Villarreal vs. FC Copenhagen prediction, but without a home win, the next round is no longer achievable.

With only one point to their name, Villarreal’s problem can be broken down to their offense. Only Slavia Prague and Ajax Amsterdam had a similarly low yield in front of the opponent’s goal. For Wednesday, that means the offense will be particularly important.

Based on previous results alone, Villarreal’s clear favoritism in the Villarreal vs. FC Copenhagen odds is somewhat surprising, but in their own stadium, the Spaniards must still be seen as the favorites for a number of reasons.

Although they have only earned one point so far, their schedule with Tottenham, Juventus, Manchester City, and Dortmund has been anything but easy. The only surprise was the defeat in Paphos. On the other hand, Copenhagen has also only managed to pick up four points so far. In this respect, the tip is for a home win. Since the xG value for the game is over 3, the tip can be combined with over 2.5 goals. Betano is offering odds of 2.02 for this.

Villarreal vs. FC Copenhagen Prediction AI

Almost all of Villarreal’s opponents so far can be classified as heavyweights, so even after the defeats, they remain the favorites for Wednesday. This is also evident in the artificial intelligence prediction, which sees a 66.3% chance of a home win. This largely coincides with the Villarreal – FC Copenhagen betting odds.

A Copenhagen win, on the other hand, is only considered a 14.9% probability. It would be a big surprise if Copenhagen were to take all three points. However, goals are very likely. The “expected goals” values for both teams are 2.12 and 0.94, so the AI also sees a chance for more than 2.5 goals.

Villarreal – Statistics & current form

It is clear that Villarreal CF is playing in two different competitions. It is obvious that different trends can emerge, but these are currently very clear. Villarreal is still in contention for the national title, but has struggled in the Champions League so far.

Just in time for Champions League week, the team won 2-0 against Getafe in La Liga, securing their sixth consecutive victory. This puts Villarreal in third place, one point behind Real Madrid.

They have only suffered two defeats in the league so far. Both Atlético and Real Madrid had to admit defeat. Internationally, however, they have suffered nothing but defeats, with the exception of a draw at home against Juventus.

Villarreal’s offense has fallen short of expectations so far

It is mainly the offense that is struggling in the Champions League. Villarreal has only scored in one game, meaning they have failed to score in four games. The xG value shows how far this falls short of expectations.

The xG value for the games so far is 6.10, which means the team is 4.08 goals behind the expected value. Hardly any other team in the Champions League has such a large discrepancy between potential and actual goals.

Villarreal has repeatedly created scoring chances, but inaccuracies have prevented them from converting them into goals. In contrast, this works very well at the national level. Villarreal has failed to score in only one of 15 games so far. So if the Spaniards can get their offense under control on Wednesday, they can win at home. Juan Foyth will not be available as he is serving a red card suspension.

FC Copenhagen – Statistics & current form

FC Copenhagen is not far behind Villarreal, with the team performing almost as well as expected in the run-up to the game. It would, of course, be an important success for the Danes if they could pick up points in Spain.

With their victory against Kairat Almaty in November, the team has put itself in a position to possibly reach the next round after all. However, the team is under pressure in Villarreal, as Napoli and Barcelona are still waiting as opponents, which makes points even more unlikely. Away from home, they have not yet managed to score a point or even a goal, which is why it is clear that Copenhagen will undoubtedly be the underdogs.

Copenhagen delivers as expected so far

Domestically, things are not going so well for the champions. It has been a difficult season so far, with three defeats in the last four league games. Defending the title is therefore becoming increasingly unlikely.

Internationally, they managed a draw against Leverkusen and also picked up three points with a win against Kairat Almaty. However, they suffered heavy defeats away to Qarabağ and Tottenham.

The expected goals value for the games so far was calculated at 7.3, and Copenhagen has scored seven goals. This means that the team is performing almost exactly as predicted.

This is interesting, as the xG value for Wednesday is 0.94, which can be classified as very accurate. A goal is therefore entirely possible. The question is therefore how strong the defense can be. They have conceded 14 goals after five matchdays, which is one of the worst records in the current Champions League.

Villarreal – FC Copenhagen Head-to-head record

There has not been a match between these two teams before, so a direct comparison is not possible. Looking at the table, however, it will be a game between two evenly matched teams, at least at this point in time. With a home win, Villarreal could draw level on points.

Villarreal – FC Copenhagen Tip

Villarreal’s chances of advancing are already very slim, which is not surprising given that they have only earned one point in five games so far. However, it is not impossible. Nevertheless, a win is needed on Wednesday. The team knows what is at stake.

The results of recent weeks, together with the expected goals, suggest a home win with at least three goals scored. That’s why you can bet on exactly that: a Villarreal win with over 2.5 goals in total. This Villarreal vs. FC Copenhagen tip comes with solid odds.

Copenhagen is certainly capable of scoring, especially since Villarreal’s defense is anything but solid. Goals on both sides are therefore possible. Goals from FC Copenhagen in the range of one to two are also worth considering.

Whoever loses this game will basically have to say goodbye to the intermediate round, especially since the rest of the schedule will not be easy either. A defeat for the hosts would be a bitter disappointment, especially since the team is also showing what it is capable of domestically.