Can Werder convert their home advantage into three points?

This duel will take place on Sunday on the 14th matchday of the 1. Bundesliga, for which a Werder Bremen – VfB Stuttgart tip can be placed. The visitors are favored, but have not been able to win against Werder in three games.

With 22 points and in 6th place, Stuttgart is currently in contention for international spots, while Bremen is in mid-table with 16 points and in 11th place. A home win could close the gap to VfB and mathematically move them up to 8th place.

Stuttgart are going into this game less rested, as they were already on the pitch on Thursday in the Europa League. This must be taken into account for the Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart prediction. This could be an advantage for the hosts.

Both teams are under pressure, as neither has been able to win three consecutive games in the league recently.

It could be a high-scoring game. There have been more than 2.5 goals in each of the last three encounters. In any case, more goals can be expected in the second half this Sunday, with at least two goals. Bremen have conceded 54% of their goals in the last 30 minutes, while Stuttgart have conceded 46%. Late goals are therefore to be expected. At NEO.bet, you can bet on over 1.5 goals in the second half at odds of 1.74.

If you want to pick a winner, you can bet on Werder Bremen with a draw no bet. Bremen have only lost one home game, while Stuttgart have lost 57% of their away games so far. Bremen’s actual chances of winning are likely to be higher than the Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart odds suggest, so there is value in this tip.

Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart Prediction AI

Our AI has also taken a look at this upcoming game and has a clear tendency. Stuttgart goes into this game with a 40.1% chance of winning, while Bremen stands at 36.4%. So the AI would bet on an away win, but at the same time it could still be a close game.

It could definitely be a high-scoring game if the expected goals actually turn into goals. The AI prediction for Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart is 1.52 to 1.61, which would mean at least 3 goals and, of course, goals on both sides. It won’t be an easy game for either team, as the Werder Bremen – VfB Stuttgart betting odds ultimately suggest.

Werder Bremen – Statistics & current form

The season has been anything but outstanding for Werder so far. The team was already eliminated from the DFB Cup in the first round and has only managed 4 wins in 13 league games.

Most recently, they have earned only one point from three games, which came from a draw against 1. FC Köln, while they suffered defeats in Leipzig and Hamburg. Another game without three points would leave Bremen stuck in mid-table. In addition, they are only five points ahead of the relegation spot.

Another game without three points would therefore make the situation more difficult. On the other hand, a home win would be a liberating blow that could even bring Werder closer to the promotion places. Before Christmas, they will face FC Augsburg.

Bremen picks up points mainly at home

There is a clear tendency for Bremen to perform better at home. They have lost only one home game so far. They have earned 11 points in 6 home games, compared to only 5 points in 7 away games.

In this respect, home advantage is an important factor to consider on Sunday. Although Bremen does not blow their opponents out of the stadium, they can rely on a strong defense. In their last four home games, they have conceded only two goals in total. Nevertheless, according to the odds, Werder Bremen is considered to be at a slight disadvantage against VfB Stuttgart.

In Bremen’s games, most of the goals are scored in the second half. 67% of their own goals were scored in the second 45 minutes. On the other hand, 63% of the goals they conceded were scored during this time.

Bremen needs a stable defense if it wants to get points against Stuttgart. Opposing teams have already had 200 chances against Bremen. Only Heidenheim has conceded more. 76 shots were directed at the Bremen goal, which is the highest number in the league.

VfB Stuttgart – Statistics & current form

VfB will go into Sunday’s game on the back of a win, but not in the league. On Thursday, they defeated Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-1, which was a strong performance, but of course also means that there is little time to rest before the next task.

While they are on course to reach the round of 16 in the Europa League, they have only won one of their last five league games. They lost their last two games, with the 5-0 defeat to Bayern at home being particularly emphatic.

VfB are no longer in contention for the championship, but in the battle for Champions League qualification, anything is still possible at this stage. However, another game without three points would worsen Stuttgart’s chances. Before the winter break, they will also face Hoffenheim. The odds for a Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart tip on the winner imply that Stuttgart are slight favorites.

Stuttgart’s away weakness costs points

Just like Werder Bremen, Stuttgart also struggles away from home, which of course doesn’t exactly improve their chances on Sunday. So far, they have lost four of seven away games, conceding an average of two goals per game.

In their last three away games, they have only picked up one point, a 3-3 draw at Borussia Dortmund, with Deniz Undav scoring the equalizer in stoppage time. Conceding goals is the biggest problem, as Stuttgart scores a lot of goals themselves.

22 goals conceded so far is too many if you want to compete at the top of the top flight. Stuttgart has only kept a clean sheet four times. Overall, however, the team is well positioned in terms of play, as can be seen from their strong pass accuracy of 85%. Only Bayern Munich and Leverkusen have better figures.

Deniz Undav could once again play an important role this weekend. With seven goals, he is currently Stuttgart’s top scorer and is also well ahead in the overall scoring charts. The absence of Lorenz Assignon due to a red card will not make things any easier for the visitors.

Werder Bremen – VfB Stuttgart Head-to-head record / H2H record

After 116 matches against each other, the teams have managed to achieve an almost even record. Werder have won 41 times and Stuttgart 40. The two teams have been facing each other since the Bundesliga was founded and have mostly only played each other in the 1. Bundesliga.

Bremen has had the upper hand recently, losing only one of its last six matches against Stuttgart. Last season, the teams played to a 2-2 draw in Bremen, followed by a 2-1 win for Werder in the return match. Is a similar prediction worthwhile for Werder Bremen and VfB Stuttgart?

Werder Bremen – VfB Stuttgart Tip

It will be difficult for Stuttgart, but Bremen also needs to step up its game after the last few weeks. Therefore, goals can be expected, especially in the second half. Both teams have conceded many goals in the second half, especially in the last 30 minutes.

Therefore, you can bet on over 1.5 goals in the second half. The probability of at least two goals after the break is not low, which is an easy bet to make.

When it comes to the possible winner of the match, Bremen has the edge, even if Stuttgart is favored. Bremen is strong at home, while Stuttgart has already dropped a few points on the road. In addition, Stuttgart has a double burden this week.

To be on the safe side, you can use the 2-way bet. With the Draw No Bet option, you get your stake back if the teams end in a draw. Alternatively, you can use the double chance, which can even be combined with more than 2.5 goals to lead to attractive odds.