Nuno Espirito Santo on the brink?
On matchday 10 of the Premier League, West Ham United welcomes Newcastle United to its home ground, London Stadium. West Ham has won only one of its nine PL games and lost seven times – this puts Nuno Espirito Santo in a dangerous position and the Londoners in 19th place. The Magpies, on the other hand, have won five of their last six games and, according to our tip, are again the favorites in this game and will win. However, the truth is that Howe’s team is still winless away from home in the league – but the Hammers have lost all four of their home games.
West Ham is in deep crisis and, with only four points after nine games, has had the worst Premier League start in the club’s history. Never before have the Hammers suffered eight defeats in their first ten league games. They also have massive problems defensively: with 20 goals conceded, they currently have the weakest defense in the league, and they have allowed 133 shots on goal – only one team has allowed more. This is the first time since the 1967/68 season that West Ham have conceded more than 20 goals so early in a season.
Coach Nuno Espírito Santo is under intense pressure after three consecutive defeats. He has already suffered three defeats in a row several times in the Premier League, but never four in a row. We don’t think West Ham will beat Newcastle at home either – the Londoners have won only two of their last twelve league games against the Magpies, both away from home.
Newcastle travel with a mixed record: the Magpies have not won any of their last seven Premier League away games (four draws, three defeats) and have failed to score in four of those games – their longest away drought since 2021. As a result, we predict that they will once again score no more than one goal – for this tip, you can expect attractive odds of 2.12 at Betano for the West Ham vs. Newcastle match.
However, they feel at home at the London Stadium: in eight Premier League away games there, they have only suffered one defeat (five wins, two draws) and remain unbeaten in their last six encounters. Offensively, Newcastle have often been effective late in games this season – seven of their last 13 league goals have come in the last 15 minutes. Bruno Guimarães has already scored three goals in eight games, just two fewer than in the entire previous season. Particularly noteworthy: Newcastle have won 19 of the 21 Premier League games in which he has scored. Coach Eddie Howe also has a strong record against the Hammers: seven wins, six draws, and four defeats—only against Aston Villa has he won more often.
West Ham – Newcastle Head-to-head record
In the 114 Premier League matches between West Ham United and Newcastle United to date, the Magpies have had the clear advantage. Newcastle have won 48 of these encounters, while West Ham have recorded 37 wins; 29 games ended in a draw. The goal difference of 184:164 also slightly favors the visitors from the north.
West Ham – Newcastle Tip
Newcastle have yet to win an away league game this season, but are still clear favorites in this match according to the West Ham vs. Newcastle betting odds. The Magpies have lost only one of their last eight away games at London Stadium, while West Ham have lost all four of their home games so far. However, Howe’s side have struggled offensively on the road, scoring only one goal in their four PL away games, so we predict that they will not score more than one goal, even though the Londoners have the worst defense in the league.
West Ham themselves have only scored two goals in their four home games so far, while Newcastle have conceded just two in five away games. Therefore, we can’t imagine both teams scoring here either – as was the case in both meetings in the last Premier League season.
