Will Djokovic maintain his superb form?

One year after missing out on their duel due to injury, Alex de Minaur faces Novak Djokovic once again – but this time without any restrictions. The Serb has been in phenomenal form in his matches so far and is the clear favorite in our de Minaur vs. Djokovic tip.

Both opponents have dropped only one set in their previous three rounds. The spectators saw better tennis from the 38-year-old record champion, who can continue his dominance in the de Minaur vs. Djokovic prediction.

Alex de Minaur – Statistics & current form

The Australian has been in the top 10 for years. His quick feet are a must in any training manual for aspiring tennis pros. Alex de Minaur builds his game on this strength, defending with heart and soul, which currently gives him the best return rating of any player on tour (163.1).

The 26-year-old has not allowed his first-round exit at Queen’s Club (0-2 vs. J. Lehecka) to damage his confidence in the long term. At the All England Club, the Australian has marched through his matches with confidence so far, dropping only one set in three rounds and winning a total of 15 return games.

This does little to improve his prospects in the de Minaur vs. Djokovic prediction. Although the green surface is one of the world number 11’s best, the same can be said of his opponent. In addition, there are obvious problems in the Australian’s game.

De Minaur’s serve will be his downfall

Unlike Djokovic, the 26-year-old has a clear weakness to hide – his serve. The Australian struggled through the tournament with a first serve percentage of 54 percent. His points won percentage is impressive (80 percent), but it won’t be enough against Djoker. You can see that from the de Minaur – Djokovic odds.

For a better overview of the Australian’s serve quality, we look at his service rating over the past 52 weeks. Among all tour players, the nine-time tour title winner is outside the top 50 (58th) with a rating of 264.1.

In addition, the 26-year-old lacks the breaks that could earn him free points. De Minaur served no more than twelve aces during this year’s Wimbledon tournament. By comparison, Novak Djokovic has racked up a much higher number (49).

Novak Djokovic – Statistics & current form

The Serb has won the battle against his own age for now. Djokovic is playing an impressive Wimbledon tournament, has only dropped one set and looks more focused than ever. The 38-year-old is driven by the goal of adding a 25th Grand Slam trophy to his collection at home.

Djokovic makes no secret of the fact that the classic grass court tournament in London is his favorite Grand Slam and that he sees his best chance of winning another Grand Slam title there. The Djoker has demonstrated his affection for the All England Club by reaching the final in each of his six previous appearances.

Since 2017, Nole has not lost to any player other than Carlos Alcaraz at Wimbledon. That’s a span of eight years and 45 matches. The 38-year-old proved what he is still capable of in his third-round match against Miomir Kecmanovic (3-0).

Djokovic approaches the perfect game

The Djoker easily won the match against his compatriot, celebrating his 100th victory at the All England Club. The manner in which he did so should give de Minaur pause for thought. Djokovic made almost no unforced errors (19), attacked at every opportunity (60 winners) and served more aces in this match (16) than the Australian hit in all three matches combined (twelve).

The seven-time Wimbledon champion is playing incredibly well at the only grass court Grand Slam of 2025. His first serve percentage (72 percent) is the fourth best among all participants and his point winning percentage (84 percent) is only surpassed by Halys, who has already been eliminated (86 percent).

In addition, Djoker showed no mercy in his return games, already winning 94 return points on his opponent’s first serve (2nd). Equally impressive is the number of points he has won after his opponent’s second serve (78).

Alex de Minaur – Novak Djokovic Head-to-head record / H2H record

The Serb leads the head-to-head record by a narrow margin of 2:1. The former world number one lost only the United Cup match against the Australian (0:2). The two remaining matches at the 2023 Australian Open (6-2, 6-1, 6-2) and in Monte Carlo (7-5, 6-4) ended in victory for the record Grand Slam champion. In addition, de Minaur was unable to compete against the Serb in the quarterfinals at Wimbledon last year.

Alex de Minaur – Novak Djokovic Tip

In his current form, there are few players who can challenge Djokovic at Wimbledon. De Minaur lacks the skills on his own serve to seriously trouble the Serb in a best-of-five format. Therefore, we ultimately do not expect any major threat to the 100-time tour title winner.

In order to play a profitable de Minaur – Djokovic bet, we are choosing a handicap bet at Vbet and are going for the de Minaur vs. Djokovic tip “Djokovic to win (HC -5.5 games)” at odds of 1.71.

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