How well has Zverev recovered?
Carlos Alcaraz rarely experiences the feeling of losing a match. The Spaniard is more familiar with the sensations that follow a victory. Apart from the 22-year-old, no other professional has surpassed the 50-win mark this calendar year (52-6).
However, the world number two is very familiar with fluctuations within a match. These phases can be seen time and again in the matches of the five-time Grand Slam champion and must be taken into account in the Zverev vs. Alcaraz prediction.
As a rule, however, the 21-time ATP title holder finds ways and means to win his matches despite occasional crises. We tend to see the brilliant Spaniard in the Zverev vs. Alcaraz prediction just as far ahead as the new betting providers indicate in their Zverev – Alcaraz betting odds.
However, a victory for the best German tennis player cannot be ruled out. The Hamburg native has won 16 of his 18 previous matches at the Cincinnati Open and even crowned himself champion in 2021. However, after his physical difficulties in the semi-final against Ben Shelton (6-2, 6-2), it is unclear in what condition the 28-year-old will take to the court.
As at the National Bank Open in Toronto (semi-finals), Zverev is one of the best players in Cincinnati. The German has not dropped a set so far and has conceded only one break in four matches. He is capable of forcing his Spanish opponent into a decisive set. Anything is possible there.
Alexander Zverev – Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-head record / H2H record
The two top-3 players have plenty of experience against each other and will meet for the twelfth time in the semifinals of the 2025 Cincinnati Open. So far, the German has a narrow lead (6:5). The 28-year-old has been slightly more successful on hard courts (5:2).
This calendar year, both Zverev (19-5) and Alcaraz (19-4) have won 19 matches on hard courts. In contrast to the world number three from Germany (43-15), Alcaraz has only suffered six defeats this season (52-6).
Alexander Zverev – Carlos Alcaraz Tip
Zverev has reached the semifinals of the Cincinnati Open for the third time in a row. The 28-year-old really likes this tournament and his serve is working extremely well in this edition (only one break conceded). For Alcaraz, it is the first tournament since losing in the Wimbledon final.
The 22-year-old is still looking for consistency, especially on his serve. In his four appearances so far, the five-time Grand Slam champion has had to come back from seven breaks. He also struggled through a third set against Andrey Rublev, making 15 unforced errors and three double faults.
The Spaniard can throw Zverev off rhythm with his creative shots, but he must be careful not to lose his own rhythm in the process. The Spaniard has won 15 Masters matches in a row and has established great confidence in his own abilities.
As in the semi-final against Ben Shelton (winning 81 percent of points on his own serve), Zverev will have to serve at the highest level and show consistency in the rallies. There is a high probability that spectators will see a duel that goes the full distance.
