Will Rublev play to his strengths?

It has to be the biggest stage possible this season – that’s when Lorenzo Sonego is in top form. The Italian surprised everyone at the start of the season by reaching the quarter-finals of the Australian Open, and he also found his way into the fourth round at Wimbledon. In our Rublev vs. Sonego tip, however, we expect the 30-year-old to be eliminated early.

The Turin native enjoys longer matches, where he can make the most of his versatility. Over the past 52 weeks, he has a positive record in best-of-five matches (7-4), but a negative record in the more common best-of-three matches (17-24). This information contributes to our Rublev vs. Sonego prediction, as do the impressions gained from previous encounters.

Andrey Rublev – Lorenzo Sonego Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

Previous encounters reinforce the Rublev vs. Sonego odds in favor of the Russian. Although the overall record of the four direct duels is even (2-2), the 27-year-old has won both matches on hard courts without losing a set (2-0, 2-0)!

The fast surface reinforces the advantages of the Russian, who has won 17 ATP titles in his career, eleven of them on hard courts. The odds-on favorite last lifted an ATP trophy in February 2025. He won the tournament in Doha (ATP 500) on hard court thanks to a deserved 2:1 victory in the final against Jack Draper.

Andrey Rublev – Lorenzo Sonego Tip

Both players made their first appearance at the 2025 National Bank Open with maximum seriousness. Rublev (6-2, 6-3 vs. Gaston) and Sonego (6-1, 6-4 vs. Yunchaeokete) won their previous matches without dropping a set. The career record of the world number eleven from Russia on hard courts (249-143) is a clear indication that he is the favorite against the 30-year-old Italian.

So far, Rublev has won all four sets played against Sonego on hard courts. The Russian tennis pro will continue to maintain this clean slate in our Rublev – Sonego tip. At Betano, we are betting on “Rublev to win (HC -1.5 sets)” with odds of 1.98.